Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 50% |
VMFXX Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund | Money Market | 30% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 20% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in H4C, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -2.64% | 0.25% | 7.86% | 7.47% | — | — | — | — |
Portfolio H4C | -2.38% | -6.05% | -3.68% | -4.38% | -0.72% | 17.70% | 9.41% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -3.97% | -24.76% | -29.97% | -31.42% | -39.67% | 31.02% | 11.35% | 59.37% |
VMFXX Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund | 0.00% | 0.30% | 1.50% | 1.82% | 3.95% | 3.35% | 2.39% | — |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | -2.68% | 0.42% | 8.72% | 8.29% | 26.04% | 21.08% | 12.19% | 14.71% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 26, 2021, H4C's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.84%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 6.9 years.
Historically, 53% of months were positive and 47% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +13.5%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -10.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 6 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, H4C closed higher 52% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +7.1%, while the worst single day was Jun 13, 2022 at -4.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -1.98% | -4.06% | -2.26% | 8.47% | 2.00% | -5.28% | -3.68% | ||||||
| 2025 | 4.62% | -6.77% | -3.38% | 3.99% | 6.58% | 3.22% | 3.87% | -1.18% | 3.48% | -0.26% | -5.60% | -0.87% | 6.87% |
| 2024 | 0.70% | 11.47% | 5.84% | -6.31% | 5.34% | -0.44% | 1.73% | -1.17% | 2.90% | 2.30% | 13.47% | -2.40% | 36.85% |
| 2023 | 7.97% | -1.16% | 4.66% | 1.12% | -0.76% | 5.46% | 1.43% | -2.62% | -1.94% | 2.92% | 6.48% | 4.98% | 31.72% |
| 2022 | -6.74% | 1.10% | 2.79% | -8.39% | -3.24% | -10.68% | 6.93% | -3.87% | -5.32% | 4.84% | 0.73% | -3.62% | -23.97% |
| 2021 | -0.21% | 0.09% | 4.26% | 4.25% | -3.80% | 12.05% | -2.63% | -3.13% | 10.39% |
Benchmark Metrics
H4C has an annualized alpha of -20.72%, beta of 0.98, and R2 of 0.60 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 26, 2021.
- This portfolio participated in 118.12% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 22.09% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- This portfolio had an annualized alpha of -20.72% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering less than market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 0.98 and R2 of 0.60, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index - much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- -20.72%
- Beta
- 0.98
- R²
- 0.60
- Upside Capture
- 22.09%
- Downside Capture
- 118.12%
Expense Ratio
H4C has an expense ratio of 0.05%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
H4C ranks 4 for risk / return — in the bottom 4% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for H4C and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.04 | — | — |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.05 | — | — |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.01 | — | — |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.04 | — | — |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.08 | — | — |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 30 | -0.93 | -1.30 | 0.87 | -0.78 | -1.39 |
VMFXX Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund | — | 3.67 | — | — | — | — |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 64 | 2.10 | 2.83 | 1.38 | 2.93 | 13.45 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
H4C provided a 1.68% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.68% | 1.80% | 1.12% | 2.08% | 0.83% | 0.61% | 0.71% | 0.89% | 1.02% | 0.85% | 0.96% | 0.99% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VMFXX Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund | 3.87% | 4.14% | 1.63% | 4.53% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.04% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the H4C. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the H4C was 32.37%, occurring on Oct 15, 2022. Recovery took 500 trading sessions.
The current H4C drawdown is 11.27%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -32.37%Oct 2022 | 11mo 10d | 1y 4mo | 2y 3moNov 2021 - Feb 2024 |
2026 correction2026 | -19.00%Mar 2026 | 5mo 23d | — | 8mo 2dOct 2025 - now |
2025 selloff2025 | -17.88%Apr 2025 | 3mo 22d | 1mo 14d | 5mo 6dDec 2024 - May 2025 |
2024 pullback2024 | -8.70%Aug 2024 | 13d | 1mo 20d | 2mo 3dJul 2024 - Sep 2024 |
2021 pullback2021 | -7.50%Sep 2021 | 14d | 20d | 1mo 4dSep 2021 - Oct 2021 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.63, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.18 | 1.24 | 1.22 | 1.22 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.22, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
H4C correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.74 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.74 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.74 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since May 26, 2021 | 0.74 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VTI has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.99, while VMFXX has the lowest at 0.00.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what H4C is missing
See which holdings overlap, where H4C is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification