Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AAHTX American Funds 2045 Target Date Retirement Fund | Target Retirement Date | 6.34% |
ARKK ARK Innovation ETF | Actively Managed, Technology Equities | 5% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | Government Bonds | 12.99% |
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | Short-Term Bond | 12.60% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 5% | |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 5% | |
GLDM SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust | Precious Metals, Gold | 8.29% |
LINK-USD ChainLink | 5% | |
NLR VanEck Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Energy ETF | Alternative Energy Equities | 5% |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | Precious Metals | 5.38% |
SMR Nuscale Power Corp | Industrials | 5% |
VDE Vanguard Energy ETF | Energy Equities | 5.87% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | Foreign Large Cap Equities | 6.08% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | REIT | 6.29% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | Emerging Markets Equities | 6.15% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in existing conditions optimized, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Dec 9, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of SMR
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio existing conditions optimized | -0.01% | -4.51% | -2.40% | -8.16% | 29.59% | 22.65% | 12.06% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
ARKK ARK Innovation ETF | 0.23% | -8.50% | -10.87% | -22.37% | 51.95% | 20.43% | -10.47% | 14.27% |
VDE Vanguard Energy ETF | 0.76% | 6.41% | 34.23% | 35.74% | 43.94% | 15.51% | 23.51% | 11.00% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | -0.77% | -3.90% | 3.65% | 7.84% | 33.16% | 16.09% | 8.76% | 9.49% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | -0.72% | -3.17% | 0.11% | 0.16% | 23.95% | 13.41% | 3.75% | 7.73% |
SMR Nuscale Power Corp | -1.07% | -19.06% | -28.37% | -74.70% | -28.22% | 3.90% | 0.18% | — |
NLR VanEck Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Energy ETF | -0.51% | -8.41% | 7.62% | -3.10% | 88.84% | 37.36% | 23.42% | 13.89% |
AAHTX American Funds 2045 Target Date Retirement Fund | -0.13% | -4.15% | -2.18% | -0.16% | 21.85% | 14.94% | 7.89% | 10.86% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 0.02% | 0.30% | 0.90% | 1.83% | 4.00% | 4.71% | 3.28% | 2.13% |
ETH-USD Ethereum | -0.23% | -3.55% | -30.83% | -54.56% | 12.98% | 3.12% | -0.23% | 69.54% |
LINK-USD ChainLink | 0.07% | -7.61% | -29.08% | -61.63% | -33.00% | 5.43% | -22.42% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 10, 2020, existing conditions optimized's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.43%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.1 years.
Historically, 60% of months were positive and 40% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +13.1%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -7.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, existing conditions optimized closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +6.2%, while the worst single day was Mar 19, 2024 at -6.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.56% | -0.39% | -4.71% | -0.71% | -2.40% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 6.24% | -6.93% | -1.65% | 2.16% | 10.47% | 5.62% | 6.25% | 3.36% | 3.38% | 1.23% | -5.68% | 0.91% | 26.80% |
| 2024 | -1.67% | 7.52% | 7.30% | -3.81% | 8.64% | 0.69% | 0.48% | -2.35% | 4.83% | 3.29% | 13.08% | -6.86% | 33.60% |
| 2023 | 9.66% | -2.76% | 3.96% | 0.05% | -2.82% | 2.46% | 4.16% | -4.93% | -0.40% | 1.40% | 7.35% | 4.49% | 23.90% |
| 2022 | -4.44% | 0.87% | 2.43% | -7.79% | -2.68% | -7.70% | 9.69% | -4.27% | -5.37% | 3.56% | 2.37% | -3.26% | -16.65% |
| 2021 | 10.56% | 4.26% | 6.43% | 5.54% | -1.25% | -3.38% | 1.46% | 3.50% | -3.83% | 9.15% | -3.01% | -2.61% | 28.65% |
Benchmark Metrics
existing conditions optimized has an annualized alpha of 4.61%, beta of 0.72, and R² of 0.42 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 10, 2020.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (82.92%) than losses (76.11%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- R² of 0.42 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 4.61%
- Beta
- 0.72
- R²
- 0.42
- Upside Capture
- 82.92%
- Downside Capture
- 76.11%
Expense Ratio
existing conditions optimized has an expense ratio of 0.17%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Top 10 holdings
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
existing conditions optimized ranks 34 for risk / return — below 34% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.43 | 0.88 | +0.55 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.03 | 1.37 | +0.66 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.23 | 1.21 | +0.02 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.16 | 1.39 | -1.54 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.34 | 6.43 | -6.77 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ARKK ARK Innovation ETF | 44 | 0.93 | 1.56 | 1.18 | 1.39 | 3.54 |
VDE Vanguard Energy ETF | 58 | 1.30 | 1.70 | 1.25 | 1.74 | 4.96 |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 81 | 1.73 | 2.36 | 1.35 | 2.64 | 10.14 |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 61 | 1.22 | 1.74 | 1.25 | 1.78 | 6.68 |
SMR Nuscale Power Corp | 29 | -0.31 | 0.21 | 1.02 | -0.38 | -0.67 |
NLR VanEck Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Energy ETF | 81 | 1.99 | 2.57 | 1.32 | 3.30 | 7.88 |
AAHTX American Funds 2045 Target Date Retirement Fund | 61 | 1.23 | 1.83 | 1.26 | 1.86 | 7.86 |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 100 | 19.57 | 254.91 | 180.89 | 367.86 | 4,130.10 |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 74 | 0.17 | 0.82 | 1.09 | -0.93 | -1.58 |
LINK-USD ChainLink | 67 | -0.40 | -0.09 | 0.99 | -0.94 | -1.42 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
existing conditions optimized provided a 2.23% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.23% | 2.31% | 2.16% | 2.22% | 1.78% | 1.36% | 1.43% | 1.75% | 2.00% | 1.50% | 1.38% | 1.57% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
ARKK ARK Innovation ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.70% | 0.00% | 0.55% | 1.64% | 0.38% | 3.14% | 1.32% | 0.00% | 2.27% |
VDE Vanguard Energy ETF | 2.34% | 3.11% | 3.23% | 3.34% | 3.65% | 4.13% | 4.76% | 3.42% | 3.35% | 2.90% | 2.31% | 3.17% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 2.90% | 3.22% | 3.35% | 3.15% | 2.91% | 3.16% | 2.04% | 3.04% | 3.35% | 2.77% | 3.05% | 2.92% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 2.70% | 2.79% | 3.20% | 3.52% | 4.11% | 2.63% | 1.91% | 3.23% | 2.88% | 2.30% | 2.52% | 3.26% |
SMR Nuscale Power Corp | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NLR VanEck Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Energy ETF | 2.37% | 2.55% | 0.76% | 4.54% | 2.02% | 1.99% | 2.23% | 2.21% | 3.91% | 4.86% | 3.62% | 3.30% |
AAHTX American Funds 2045 Target Date Retirement Fund | 5.98% | 5.85% | 3.37% | 2.46% | 6.75% | 4.62% | 3.19% | 4.24% | 4.85% | 2.33% | 3.50% | 4.74% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 3.96% | 4.13% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% | 0.00% |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
LINK-USD ChainLink | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the existing conditions optimized. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the existing conditions optimized was 27.14%, occurring on Oct 15, 2022. Recovery took 503 trading sessions.
The current existing conditions optimized drawdown is 12.25%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -27.14% | Nov 9, 2021 | 341 | Oct 15, 2022 | 503 | Mar 1, 2024 | 844 |
| -18.61% | Dec 9, 2024 | 121 | Apr 8, 2025 | 45 | May 23, 2025 | 166 |
| -14.64% | May 10, 2021 | 71 | Jul 19, 2021 | 98 | Oct 25, 2021 | 169 |
| -13.81% | Jan 29, 2026 | 61 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -11.41% | Oct 16, 2025 | 37 | Nov 21, 2025 | 54 | Jan 14, 2026 | 91 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 15 assets, with an effective number of assets of 13.09, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BIL | BSV | GLDM | VDE | SMR | SLV | LINK-USD | VNQ | BTC-USD | ETH-USD | NLR | ARKK | VWO | VEA | AAHTX | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.01 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.35 | 0.32 | 0.23 | 0.34 | 0.62 | 0.37 | 0.38 | 0.58 | 0.70 | 0.62 | 0.78 | 0.96 | 0.63 |
| BIL | -0.01 | 1.00 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 0.02 | -0.04 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.04 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| BSV | 0.12 | 0.09 | 1.00 | 0.33 | -0.07 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| GLDM | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 0.71 | 0.06 | 0.16 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.27 | 0.10 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| VDE | 0.35 | 0.02 | -0.07 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.08 | 0.25 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.33 | 0.16 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| SMR | 0.32 | -0.04 | 0.02 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.32 | 0.48 |
| SLV | 0.23 | 0.06 | 0.20 | 0.71 | 0.21 | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.33 | 0.18 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| LINK-USD | 0.34 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.70 | 0.77 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.75 |
| VNQ | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 0.16 | 0.25 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.37 | 0.55 | 0.59 | 0.39 |
| BTC-USD | 0.37 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 0.16 | 0.70 | 0.19 | 1.00 | 0.81 | 0.25 | 0.36 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.72 |
| ETH-USD | 0.38 | -0.00 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 0.77 | 0.19 | 0.81 | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 0.30 | 0.33 | 0.77 |
| NLR | 0.58 | -0.00 | 0.09 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.41 | 0.33 | 0.23 | 0.39 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.49 | 0.57 | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| ARKK | 0.70 | 0.01 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.35 | 0.18 | 0.31 | 0.40 | 0.36 | 0.35 | 0.43 | 1.00 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.69 | 0.57 |
| VWO | 0.62 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.26 | 0.39 | 0.25 | 0.37 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.49 | 0.53 | 1.00 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.54 |
| VEA | 0.78 | 0.03 | 0.19 | 0.31 | 0.37 | 0.27 | 0.40 | 0.26 | 0.55 | 0.29 | 0.30 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.72 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 0.58 |
| AAHTX | 0.96 | 0.04 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.59 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.59 | 0.69 | 0.67 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.61 |
| Portfolio | 0.63 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 0.29 | 0.33 | 0.48 | 0.38 | 0.75 | 0.39 | 0.72 | 0.77 | 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.54 | 0.58 | 0.61 | 1.00 |