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Tom's Optimizer Top 40
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


40 positions 100.00%EquityEquity
PositionCategory/SectorTarget Weight
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
Healthcare
2.50%
ADBE
Adobe Inc
Technology
2.50%
AKREX
Akre Focus Fund Retail Class
Large Cap Growth Equities
2.50%
AMT
American Tower Corporation
Real Estate
2.50%
AWK
American Water Works Company, Inc.
Utilities
2.50%
CDNS
Cadence Design Systems, Inc.
Technology
2.50%
COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
Consumer Defensive
2.50%
DHR
Danaher Corporation
Healthcare
2.50%
EXPO
Exponent, Inc.
Industrials
2.50%
FTEC
Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF
Technology Equities
2.50%
IGM
iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF
Technology Equities
2.50%
IGV
iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ET
Technology Equities
2.50%
IHI
iShares U.S. Medical Devices ETF
Health & Biotech Equities
2.50%
INTU
Intuit Inc.
Technology
2.50%
IWY
iShares Russell Top 200 Growth ETF
Large Cap Growth Equities
2.50%
JGLTX
Janus Henderson VIT Global Technology and Innovation Portfolio
Technology Equities
2.50%
MGGIX
Morgan Stanley Institutional Fund, Inc. Global Opportunity Portfolio
Global Equities
2.50%
MGGPX
Morgan Stanley Global Opportunity Portfolio Class A
Global Equities
2.50%
MSCI
MSCI Inc.
Financial Services
2.50%
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
Technology
2.50%
NASDX
Shelton Capital Management Nasdaq-100 Index Fund Direct Shares
Large Cap Growth Equities
2.50%
NEE
NextEra Energy, Inc.
Utilities
2.50%
NOW
ServiceNow, Inc
Technology
2.50%
PLD
Prologis, Inc.
Real Estate
2.50%
POOL
Pool Corporation
Consumer Cyclical
2.50%
PRMTX
T. Rowe Price Communications & Technology Fund
Communications Equities
2.50%
PYPL
PayPal Holdings, Inc.
Financial Services
2.50%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
Large Cap Growth Equities
2.50%
QTEC
First Trust NASDAQ-100 Technology Sector Index Fund
Technology Equities
2.50%
RTH
VanEck Vectors Retail ETF
Consumer Discretionary Equities
2.50%
SNPS
Synopsys, Inc.
Technology
2.50%
STE
STERIS plc
Healthcare
2.50%
TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Healthcare
2.50%
USNQX
USAA Nasdaq 100 Index Fund
Large Cap Growth Equities
2.50%
VEEV
Veeva Systems Inc.
Healthcare
2.50%
VGT
Vanguard Information Technology ETF
Technology Equities
2.50%
VITAX
Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund Admiral Shares
Technology Equities
2.50%
VONG
Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth ETF
Large Cap Growth Equities
2.50%
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Technology Equities
2.50%
ZTS
Zoetis Inc.
Healthcare
2.50%

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Tom's Optimizer Top 40, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 20, 2015, corresponding to the inception date of PYPL

Returns By Period

As of Apr 4, 2026, the Tom's Optimizer Top 40 returned -9.30% Year-To-Date and 17.63% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-4.18%-3.84%-1.98%21.98%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
Tom's Optimizer Top 40
0.39%-5.08%-9.30%-11.50%5.93%10.67%6.34%17.63%
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
1.11%-7.83%-22.60%-27.51%0.86%10.00%9.94%22.58%
ZTS
Zoetis Inc.
0.55%-6.37%-5.86%-18.83%-25.03%-10.05%-4.76%10.82%
DHR
Danaher Corporation
0.17%-6.45%-16.33%-10.79%-2.76%-4.31%-0.40%12.31%
POOL
Pool Corporation
1.42%-7.34%-10.76%-33.74%-34.12%-14.49%-9.28%10.08%
NOW
ServiceNow, Inc
-1.96%-10.42%-33.42%-44.10%-34.11%3.16%0.12%23.01%
COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
1.85%0.82%17.86%11.19%5.53%28.60%24.74%22.54%
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
0.48%-9.05%-17.48%-22.84%-20.38%2.41%-1.07%11.35%
TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
-0.62%-4.05%-15.10%-9.39%4.94%-4.53%1.77%13.38%
PYPL
PayPal Holdings, Inc.
1.59%-3.02%-22.10%-34.18%-26.13%-15.40%-28.71%1.63%
EXPO
Exponent, Inc.
2.35%-8.38%-3.77%0.01%-13.84%-11.30%-6.51%11.52%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 21, 2015, Tom's Optimizer Top 40's average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +1.40%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.2 years.

Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +13.5%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -11.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, Tom's Optimizer Top 40 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +9.3%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -12.0%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026-2.14%-2.45%-5.62%0.67%-9.30%
20253.37%-2.50%-5.37%1.34%6.41%3.81%1.01%0.58%1.43%1.21%-2.49%-0.50%8.01%
20241.80%4.03%0.72%-5.80%4.03%4.06%2.21%2.44%2.21%-2.83%5.91%-3.48%15.61%
20239.47%-3.02%6.51%-0.30%2.57%5.90%3.97%-1.65%-5.73%-2.92%11.44%5.60%34.84%
2022-10.79%-4.94%3.04%-11.24%-1.38%-6.02%11.39%-5.40%-10.65%4.22%6.38%-6.15%-29.58%
2021-0.53%-0.05%1.15%6.25%-1.05%6.51%4.92%4.80%-5.90%8.52%-0.48%2.70%29.25%

Benchmark Metrics

Tom's Optimizer Top 40 has an annualized alpha of 4.94%, beta of 1.04, and R² of 0.88 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 21, 2015.

  • This portfolio captured 116.03% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 92.08% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 4.94% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • With beta of 1.04 and R² of 0.88, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.

Alpha
4.94%
Beta
1.04
0.88
Upside Capture
116.03%
Downside Capture
92.08%

Expense Ratio

Tom's Optimizer Top 40 has an expense ratio of 0.23%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Top 10 holdings

Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Tom's Optimizer Top 40 ranks 5 for risk / return — in the bottom 5% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


Tom's Optimizer Top 40 Risk / Return Rank: 55
Overall Rank
Tom's Optimizer Top 40 Sharpe Ratio Rank: 55
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Tom's Optimizer Top 40 Sortino Ratio Rank: 44
Sortino Ratio Rank
Tom's Optimizer Top 40 Omega Ratio Rank: 55
Omega Ratio Rank
Tom's Optimizer Top 40 Calmar Ratio Rank: 77
Calmar Ratio Rank
Tom's Optimizer Top 40 Martin Ratio Rank: 77
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

0.08

0.88

-0.80

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

0.25

1.37

-1.12

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.03

1.21

-0.17

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.15

1.39

-1.24

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

0.45

6.43

-5.98


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
35-0.060.111.01-0.05-0.12
ZTS
Zoetis Inc.
9-0.93-1.170.84-0.80-1.36
DHR
Danaher Corporation
30-0.19-0.060.99-0.16-0.46
POOL
Pool Corporation
5-1.07-1.550.82-0.88-1.78
NOW
ServiceNow, Inc
9-0.90-1.280.84-0.71-1.49
COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
460.290.561.070.360.72
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
7-0.89-1.080.85-0.81-2.01
TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
390.030.291.030.080.17
PYPL
PayPal Holdings, Inc.
12-0.78-0.900.87-0.62-1.39
EXPO
Exponent, Inc.
13-0.58-0.740.92-0.82-1.39

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Tom's Optimizer Top 40 Sharpe ratios as of Apr 4, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 0.08
  • 5-Year: 0.32
  • 10-Year: 0.88
  • All Time: 0.84

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.99 to 1.69, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Tom's Optimizer Top 40 compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Tom's Optimizer Top 40 provided a 2.67% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio2.67%2.51%2.16%1.68%3.36%1.53%1.08%1.17%1.11%1.21%2.32%1.68%
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
0.93%0.70%0.73%0.74%1.06%0.68%0.94%1.20%1.69%1.86%2.37%2.33%
ZTS
Zoetis Inc.
1.72%1.59%1.06%0.76%0.89%0.41%0.48%0.50%0.59%0.58%0.71%0.69%
DHR
Danaher Corporation
0.71%0.56%0.47%12.64%0.38%0.26%0.32%0.44%0.62%0.60%32.55%0.58%
POOL
Pool Corporation
2.46%2.16%1.38%1.08%1.26%0.53%0.61%0.99%1.16%1.10%1.14%1.24%
NOW
ServiceNow, Inc
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
0.51%0.59%0.49%2.87%0.76%0.54%3.38%0.86%1.08%4.81%1.09%4.06%
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
2.33%1.88%1.95%1.85%1.71%1.28%1.32%1.47%1.55%1.86%2.71%2.14%
TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
0.36%0.30%0.30%0.26%0.22%0.16%0.19%0.23%0.30%0.32%0.43%0.42%
PYPL
PayPal Holdings, Inc.
0.62%0.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
EXPO
Exponent, Inc.
1.82%1.73%1.26%1.18%0.97%0.69%0.84%0.93%1.03%1.18%1.19%1.20%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Tom's Optimizer Top 40. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Tom's Optimizer Top 40 was 35.09%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 345 trading sessions.

The current Tom's Optimizer Top 40 drawdown is 13.28%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-35.09%Dec 28, 2021203Oct 14, 2022345Mar 1, 2024548
-28.9%Feb 20, 202023Mar 23, 202047May 29, 202070
-19.12%Dec 5, 202484Apr 8, 202554Jun 26, 2025138
-17.49%Sep 17, 201869Dec 24, 201835Feb 14, 2019104
-15.98%Oct 28, 2025104Mar 27, 2026

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 40 assets, with an effective number of assets of 40.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkAWKNEEAMTEXPOCOSTPLDPOOLSTEABTZTSDHRTMOVEEVPYPLMSCINOWINTUADBERTHCDNSSNPSIHIMSFTAKREXMGGPXMGGIXQTECIGVPRMTXXLKJGLTXUSNQXFTECVGTVITAXIGMIWYNASDXQQQVONGPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.280.330.360.520.520.510.530.550.530.550.570.580.550.610.620.580.670.650.790.680.690.730.740.830.800.800.850.790.840.900.860.900.900.900.900.890.930.910.910.940.91
AWK0.281.000.650.530.270.300.480.290.320.350.320.320.280.180.190.300.160.250.210.290.180.180.360.210.370.180.180.140.200.230.180.160.190.170.170.170.170.220.190.200.220.33
NEE0.330.651.000.470.240.260.450.280.290.300.300.290.250.190.220.260.160.240.200.290.200.200.330.240.370.230.230.200.230.270.240.220.240.230.230.230.220.270.250.250.270.35
AMT0.360.530.471.000.260.290.560.330.340.380.380.360.350.260.280.340.260.310.290.320.250.250.410.300.520.290.290.260.290.380.290.290.300.290.290.290.280.320.300.300.330.43
EXPO0.520.270.240.261.000.320.370.430.390.340.370.400.390.360.360.380.310.410.370.460.380.390.460.360.520.400.410.440.440.410.430.430.430.440.440.450.430.430.430.430.450.53
COST0.520.300.260.290.321.000.350.380.330.360.370.350.350.300.330.410.330.420.410.640.400.380.430.440.500.400.400.430.420.450.470.440.490.460.460.460.460.510.510.500.510.53
PLD0.510.480.450.560.370.351.000.420.410.420.450.430.400.320.350.410.290.380.350.460.350.360.490.360.570.410.410.390.390.430.410.400.410.410.410.410.400.440.410.410.450.53
POOL0.530.290.280.330.430.380.421.000.420.370.440.470.440.410.400.450.370.430.420.550.420.430.480.390.550.470.470.470.480.470.460.470.470.470.470.470.470.480.480.480.500.59
STE0.550.320.290.340.390.330.410.421.000.530.490.490.500.430.360.470.370.420.400.480.380.390.680.390.550.440.440.450.450.450.460.460.470.460.460.460.450.480.470.470.500.58
ABT0.530.350.300.380.340.360.420.370.531.000.530.550.580.410.380.440.370.410.410.470.390.380.780.410.540.430.430.430.440.440.440.430.460.440.440.440.440.470.470.470.490.58
ZTS0.550.320.300.380.370.370.450.440.490.531.000.540.540.440.400.490.400.470.440.500.420.430.640.430.560.470.470.470.470.480.470.470.490.480.480.480.470.510.500.500.530.61
DHR0.570.320.290.360.400.350.430.470.490.550.541.000.750.430.420.490.410.460.440.480.460.460.680.450.590.480.480.500.500.480.500.500.500.500.500.500.490.520.510.510.540.63
TMO0.580.280.250.350.390.350.400.440.500.580.540.751.000.450.430.490.430.460.460.480.460.470.720.460.570.490.490.510.510.490.520.510.530.520.520.520.510.540.530.530.560.64
VEEV0.550.180.190.260.360.300.320.410.430.410.440.430.451.000.510.510.590.550.560.470.540.550.560.500.560.600.600.600.680.600.570.630.580.590.590.590.600.570.590.590.600.69
PYPL0.610.190.220.280.360.330.350.400.360.380.400.420.430.511.000.510.560.550.580.530.520.540.520.530.590.650.650.620.660.660.620.630.640.630.640.640.650.630.650.650.640.70
MSCI0.620.300.260.340.380.410.410.450.470.440.490.490.490.510.511.000.540.560.570.540.530.530.580.540.670.580.580.580.640.610.590.610.600.600.600.600.610.610.610.610.630.70
NOW0.580.160.160.260.310.330.290.370.370.370.400.410.430.590.560.541.000.630.670.480.620.620.530.610.590.670.670.660.810.690.650.700.650.680.680.680.690.650.660.660.660.73
INTU0.670.250.240.310.410.420.380.430.420.410.470.460.460.550.550.560.631.000.670.560.650.660.580.640.660.650.650.690.770.680.690.700.690.700.700.700.710.700.700.700.710.77
ADBE0.650.210.200.290.370.410.350.420.400.410.440.440.460.560.580.570.670.671.000.550.640.650.560.680.630.680.680.700.800.700.710.720.710.710.710.710.730.710.720.720.710.77
RTH0.790.290.290.320.460.640.460.550.480.470.500.480.480.470.530.540.480.560.551.000.530.540.610.590.710.670.670.660.630.700.670.670.730.680.680.680.700.740.740.740.750.75
CDNS0.680.180.200.250.380.400.350.420.380.390.420.460.460.540.520.530.620.650.640.531.000.840.560.650.630.670.670.780.780.700.750.780.740.760.760.760.770.730.750.740.750.79
SNPS0.690.180.200.250.390.380.360.430.390.380.430.460.470.550.540.530.620.660.650.540.841.000.560.660.640.670.670.780.780.710.760.790.740.770.780.780.770.740.750.750.760.80
IHI0.730.360.330.410.460.430.490.480.680.780.640.680.720.560.520.580.530.580.560.610.560.561.000.550.710.640.640.630.640.640.630.640.660.640.640.640.640.670.660.660.690.78
MSFT0.740.210.240.300.360.440.360.390.390.410.430.450.460.500.530.540.610.640.680.590.650.660.551.000.650.680.680.730.770.760.830.790.810.820.820.820.810.830.810.820.820.79
AKREX0.830.370.370.520.520.500.570.550.550.540.560.590.570.560.590.670.590.660.630.710.630.640.710.651.000.730.730.710.740.750.740.750.740.750.750.750.750.770.740.740.790.85
MGGPX0.800.180.230.290.400.400.410.470.440.430.470.480.490.600.650.580.670.650.680.670.670.670.640.680.731.001.000.820.820.890.800.870.830.820.820.820.850.830.840.840.850.85
MGGIX0.800.180.230.290.410.400.410.470.440.430.470.480.490.600.650.580.670.650.680.670.670.670.640.680.731.001.000.820.820.890.800.870.830.820.820.820.850.830.840.840.850.85
QTEC0.850.140.200.260.440.430.390.470.450.430.470.500.510.600.620.580.660.690.700.660.780.780.630.730.710.820.821.000.860.830.920.930.900.930.930.930.930.870.920.910.890.89
IGV0.790.200.230.290.440.420.390.480.450.440.470.500.510.680.660.640.810.770.800.630.780.780.640.770.740.820.820.861.000.850.850.890.840.870.870.870.880.840.850.850.860.91
PRMTX0.840.230.270.380.410.450.430.470.450.440.480.480.490.600.660.610.690.680.700.700.700.710.640.760.750.890.890.830.851.000.850.900.900.870.870.870.900.890.900.910.900.89
XLK0.900.180.240.290.430.470.410.460.460.440.470.500.520.570.620.590.650.690.710.670.750.760.630.830.740.800.800.920.850.851.000.940.950.990.990.990.970.950.960.960.950.91
JGLTX0.860.160.220.290.430.440.400.470.460.430.470.500.510.630.630.610.700.700.720.670.780.790.640.790.750.870.870.930.890.900.941.000.940.960.950.960.960.930.940.940.940.92
USNQX0.900.190.240.300.430.490.410.470.470.460.490.500.530.580.640.600.650.690.710.730.740.740.660.810.740.830.830.900.840.900.950.941.000.960.950.960.970.960.990.990.960.91
FTEC0.900.170.230.290.440.460.410.470.460.440.480.500.520.590.630.600.680.700.710.680.760.770.640.820.750.820.820.930.870.870.990.960.961.001.001.000.980.950.960.970.960.92
VGT0.900.170.230.290.440.460.410.470.460.440.480.500.520.590.640.600.680.700.710.680.760.780.640.820.750.820.820.930.870.870.990.950.951.001.001.000.980.950.960.970.960.92
VITAX0.900.170.230.290.450.460.410.470.460.440.480.500.520.590.640.600.680.700.710.680.760.780.640.820.750.820.820.930.870.870.990.960.961.001.001.000.980.950.960.970.960.92
IGM0.890.170.220.280.430.460.400.470.450.440.470.490.510.600.650.610.690.710.730.700.770.770.640.810.750.850.850.930.880.900.970.960.970.980.980.981.000.960.970.980.960.92
IWY0.930.220.270.320.430.510.440.480.480.470.510.520.540.570.630.610.650.700.710.740.730.740.670.830.770.830.830.870.840.890.950.930.960.950.950.950.961.000.970.970.990.92
NASDX0.910.190.250.300.430.510.410.480.470.470.500.510.530.590.650.610.660.700.720.740.750.750.660.810.740.840.840.920.850.900.960.940.990.960.960.960.970.971.001.000.970.92
QQQ0.910.200.250.300.430.500.410.480.470.470.500.510.530.590.650.610.660.700.720.740.740.750.660.820.740.840.840.910.850.910.960.940.990.970.970.970.980.971.001.000.970.92
VONG0.940.220.270.330.450.510.450.500.500.490.530.540.560.600.640.630.660.710.710.750.750.760.690.820.790.850.850.890.860.900.950.940.960.960.960.960.960.990.970.971.000.94
Portfolio0.910.330.350.430.530.530.530.590.580.580.610.630.640.690.700.700.730.770.770.750.790.800.780.790.850.850.850.890.910.890.910.920.910.920.920.920.920.920.920.920.941.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jul 21, 2015