Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 40% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | Total Bond Market | 20% |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | Global Equities | 20% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 15% | |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 5% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Crypto Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 18, 2026, the Crypto Portfolio returned 0.16% Year-To-Date and 29.19% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -1.21% | 0.23% | 8.39% | 10.39% | 24.03% | 18.94% | 12.24% | 13.61% |
Portfolio Crypto Portfolio | -1.05% | -2.17% | 0.16% | 1.76% | 9.33% | 20.36% | 11.66% | 29.19% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | -0.37% | 0.96% | 0.38% | 0.48% | 4.50% | 3.96% | -0.02% | 1.55% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -1.83% | -16.28% | -26.38% | -25.28% | -38.41% | 34.73% | 12.44% | 55.71% |
ETH-USD Ethereum | -2.18% | -17.68% | -40.94% | -38.13% | -30.21% | 0.61% | -4.75% | 64.13% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | -1.24% | 0.94% | 9.44% | 11.26% | 25.88% | 20.20% | 12.60% | 15.02% |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | -0.55% | 3.14% | 14.31% | 17.16% | 31.59% | 18.16% | 9.07% | 10.12% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Aug 7, 2015, Crypto Portfolio's average daily return is +0.09%, while the average monthly return is +2.72%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.2 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Mar 2016 with a return of +26.8%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -15.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, Crypto Portfolio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 13, 2020 with a return of +9.0%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -16.7%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.59% | -1.61% | -3.73% | 7.91% | 1.79% | -3.15% | 0.16% | ||||||
| 2025 | 3.43% | -4.33% | -3.18% | 2.39% | 7.10% | 3.40% | 4.29% | 2.29% | 2.56% | 0.38% | -3.20% | 0.03% | 15.51% |
| 2024 | 0.17% | 11.37% | 5.58% | -5.85% | 5.78% | -0.20% | 1.92% | -0.78% | 2.81% | -0.27% | 11.18% | -3.30% | 30.51% |
| 2023 | 12.77% | -2.14% | 7.18% | 1.47% | -1.80% | 5.47% | 1.41% | -3.96% | -2.62% | 2.69% | 8.35% | 6.52% | 39.72% |
| 2022 | -7.22% | 0.11% | 2.00% | -9.15% | -2.99% | -11.37% | 10.22% | -5.58% | -7.85% | 5.42% | 1.94% | -3.91% | -26.72% |
| 2021 | 5.72% | 7.95% | 10.31% | 4.80% | -4.34% | -0.74% | 4.00% | 5.62% | -4.85% | 11.75% | -2.15% | -3.02% | 38.84% |
Benchmark Metrics
Crypto Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 17.10%, beta of 0.75, and R2 of 0.41 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since August 07, 2015.
- This portfolio captured 119.10% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 56.38% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
- R2 of 0.41 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 17.10%
- Beta
- 0.75
- R²
- 0.41
- Upside Capture
- 119.10%
- Downside Capture
- 56.38%
Expense Ratio
Crypto Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.03%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Crypto Portfolio ranks 8 for risk / return — in the bottom 8% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Crypto Portfolio and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.63 | 1.94 | -1.31 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.95 | 2.64 | -1.69 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.10 | 1.35 | -0.25 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.71 | 2.65 | -1.94 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.81 | 11.88 | -10.07 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 34 | 1.22 | 1.82 | 1.21 | 1.69 | 4.86 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 32 | -0.90 | -1.23 | 0.87 | -0.75 | -1.29 |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 71 | -0.45 | -0.28 | 0.97 | -0.45 | -0.76 |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 67 | 2.05 | 2.78 | 1.37 | 2.91 | 13.05 |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | 63 | 1.98 | 2.71 | 1.37 | 2.82 | 10.84 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Crypto Portfolio provided a 1.74% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.74% | 1.86% | 1.91% | 1.84% | 1.80% | 1.53% | 1.47% | 1.87% | 2.01% | 1.74% | 1.86% | 1.87% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 3.96% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.03% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | 2.66% | 3.18% | 3.37% | 3.24% | 3.09% | 3.10% | 2.14% | 3.06% | 3.18% | 2.73% | 2.93% | 2.83% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Crypto Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Crypto Portfolio was 36.65%, occurring on Dec 25, 2018. Recovery took 183 trading sessions.
The current Crypto Portfolio drawdown is 5.28%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -36.65%Dec 2018 | 1y 8d | 6mo 3d | 1y 6moDec 2017 - Jun 2019 |
Bear market2022 | -35.92%Oct 2022 | 11mo 10d | 1y 4mo | 2y 3moNov 2021 - Feb 2024 |
COVID crash2020 | -32.28%Mar 2020 | 1mo 2d | 4mo 13d | 5mo 15dFeb 2020 - Jul 2020 |
2025 selloff2025 | -17.64%Apr 2025 | 3mo 22d | 1mo 19d | 5mo 11dDec 2024 - May 2025 |
2026 correction2026 | -13.17%Mar 2026 | 5mo 23d | — | 8mo 14dOct 2025 - now |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
AI Analysis
The gist
The portfolio is a three-part bet: U.S. equities through Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), foreign equities through Vanguard Total International Stock ETF (VXUS), and a crypto sleeve in Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and Ethereum (ETH-USD), with bonds from Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) sitting off to the side. It is diversified, such as it is, but the equity sleeve and the crypto sleeve each contain their own little internal monoculture.
The numbers
- Diversification ratio is 1.40 inceptively and 1.23 over 1Y, placing it around the 67th and 41st percentiles, respectively; the math says decent structural diversification, then somewhat less of it lately.
- Effective asset count is 3.77 of 5, which is healthy enough to avoid calling this concentrated in the formal sense.
- Average correlation is 0.22, but the interesting part is the clustering: VTI and VXUS are 0.75 correlated, and BTC-USD and ETH-USD are 0.66 correlated.
The good
- BND is nearly orthogonal to the rest, with correlations around 0.02-0.05; that is real ballast, not decorative ballast.
- The portfolio spans distinct economic drivers: rates, global equity growth, and crypto risk, which helps the whole thing avoid being one trade in a trench coat.
The bad
- VTI and VXUS are doing a familiar imitation of each other, so the “U.S. versus international” distinction is thinner than the labels suggest.
- BTC-USD and ETH-USD are also moving as a pair, so the crypto sleeve behaves more like one factor than two assets.
- VTI and BTC-USD load heavily into the portfolio’s own movement, which means the portfolio’s risk is mostly being set by a few correlated equity and crypto exposures.
The ugly
- If equity correlations rise in a macro drawdown, the VTI-VXUS cluster can stop looking like diversification and start looking like a single global risk sleeve.
- If crypto trades as high-beta liquidity risk, BTC-USD and ETH-USD can fall into the same correlation hole at the same time, which is a neat trick markets perform with some regularity.
Next steps
- Portfolios with this structure are typically strengthened by exposures whose return drivers are less tied to global equity and crypto liquidity.
- The 1Y versus 10Y DR gap suggests recent correlation compression has been weaker than the long-run picture, so the portfolio has been getting less diversification from its own ingredients.
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.77, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.23 | 1.32 | 1.29 | 1.36 | 1.40 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.40, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Crypto Portfolio correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.83 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.75 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.76 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.65 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 7, 2015 | 0.63 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VTI has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.99, while BND has the lowest at 0.02.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Crypto Portfolio is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Crypto Portfolio is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification