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VTIVX vs. FCNTX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

VTIVX vs. FCNTX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund (VTIVX) and Fidelity Contrafund (FCNTX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, VTIVX achieves a 8.87% return, which is significantly higher than FCNTX's 6.65% return. Over the past 10 years, VTIVX has underperformed FCNTX with an annualized return of 11.31%, while FCNTX has yielded a comparatively higher 17.48% annualized return.


VTIVX

1D
2.05%
1M
0.08%
YTD
8.87%
6M
9.59%
1Y
21.67%
3Y*
17.25%
5Y*
8.91%
10Y*
11.31%

FCNTX

1D
1.81%
1M
-0.15%
YTD
6.65%
6M
7.93%
1Y
20.59%
3Y*
26.12%
5Y*
14.41%
10Y*
17.48%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

VTIVX vs. FCNTX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
VTIVX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund
8.87%20.01%13.68%19.72%-17.38%16.16%16.31%24.94%-7.89%19.16%
FCNTX
Fidelity Contrafund
6.65%21.76%36.00%38.67%-28.31%24.52%32.48%30.00%-3.81%32.18%

Correlation

The correlation between VTIVX and FCNTX is 0.84, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.84

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.84

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.89

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.87

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 27, 2003

0.91

The correlation between VTIVX and FCNTX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.84 to 0.91 - a consistent structural relationship.

VTIVX vs. FCNTX - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
VTIVX
FCNTX

Technology

27.4%
27.0%

Financial Services

16.1%
13.8%

Industrials

12.3%
8.6%

Consumer Cyclical

9.4%
10.1%

Healthcare

8.3%
9.2%

Communication Services

8.0%
21.2%

Consumer Defensive

4.8%
3.7%

Energy

4.3%
3.6%

Basic Materials

4.3%
2.1%

Utilities

2.7%
0.5%

Real Estate

2.5%
0.1%

Technology

VTIVX
27.4%
FCNTX
27.0%

Financial Services

VTIVX
16.1%
FCNTX
13.8%

Industrials

VTIVX
12.3%
FCNTX
8.6%

Consumer Cyclical

VTIVX
9.4%
FCNTX
10.1%

Healthcare

VTIVX
8.3%
FCNTX
9.2%

Communication Services

VTIVX
8.0%
FCNTX
21.2%

Consumer Defensive

VTIVX
4.8%
FCNTX
3.7%

Energy

VTIVX
4.3%
FCNTX
3.6%

Basic Materials

VTIVX
4.3%
FCNTX
2.1%

Utilities

VTIVX
2.7%
FCNTX
0.5%

Real Estate

VTIVX
2.5%
FCNTX
0.1%

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Return for Risk

VTIVX vs. FCNTX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

VTIVX
VTIVX Risk / Return Rank: 7373
Overall Rank
VTIVX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7474
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VTIVX Sortino Ratio Rank: 7171
Sortino Ratio Rank
VTIVX Omega Ratio Rank: 7171
Omega Ratio Rank
VTIVX Calmar Ratio Rank: 7272
Calmar Ratio Rank
VTIVX Martin Ratio Rank: 7979
Martin Ratio Rank

FCNTX
FCNTX Risk / Return Rank: 4040
Overall Rank
FCNTX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4040
Sharpe Ratio Rank
FCNTX Sortino Ratio Rank: 3737
Sortino Ratio Rank
FCNTX Omega Ratio Rank: 3939
Omega Ratio Rank
FCNTX Calmar Ratio Rank: 3636
Calmar Ratio Rank
FCNTX Martin Ratio Rank: 4545
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

VTIVX vs. FCNTX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund (VTIVX) and Fidelity Contrafund (FCNTX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


VTIVXFCNTXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.56

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+0.77

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.37

1.26

+0.11

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.68

1.86

+0.82

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

11.59

7.80

+3.79

VTIVX vs. FCNTX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current VTIVX Sharpe Ratio is 2.01, which is higher than the FCNTX Sharpe Ratio of 1.45. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of VTIVX and FCNTX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

VTIVX vs. FCNTX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum VTIVX drawdown since its inception was -51.69%, which is greater than FCNTX's maximum drawdown of -49.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VTIVX and FCNTX.


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Drawdown Indicators


VTIVXFCNTXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-51.69%

-49.19%

-2.50%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-8.30%

-11.30%

+3.00%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-13.40%

-19.75%

+6.35%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-25.10%

-32.59%

+7.49%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-31.42%

-32.59%

+1.17%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-2.00%

-2.41%

+0.41%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-6.33%

-8.16%

+1.83%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.92%

2.69%

-0.77%

Volatility

VTIVX vs. FCNTX - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund (VTIVX) is 4.51%, while Fidelity Contrafund (FCNTX) has a volatility of 5.07%. This indicates that VTIVX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than FCNTX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


VTIVXFCNTXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

4.51%

5.07%

-0.56%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

9.13%

11.16%

-2.03%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

11.10%

14.53%

-3.43%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

13.58%

19.23%

-5.65%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

14.82%

19.71%

-4.89%

VTIVX vs. FCNTX - Expense Ratio Comparison

VTIVX has a 0.08% expense ratio, which is lower than FCNTX's 0.39% expense ratio.


Dividends

VTIVX vs. FCNTX - Dividend Comparison

VTIVX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.29%, less than FCNTX's 4.38% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
FCNTX
Fidelity Contrafund
4.38%5.21%4.19%3.78%11.87%10.80%8.01%4.16%7.46%6.08%3.81%5.33%
VTIVX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund
2.29%2.50%2.36%2.27%2.75%15.40%1.90%2.23%2.52%0.04%2.47%3.29%

Frequently Asked Questions


VTIVX and FCNTX have a correlation of 0.84, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

FCNTX has higher volatility (5.07%) compared to VTIVX (4.51%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VTIVX dropped -51.69% vs FCNTX's -49.19%.

VTIVX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.01 vs 1.45), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for VTIVX and FCNTX

Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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