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VTHRX vs. AAETX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

VTHRX vs. AAETX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund (VTHRX) and American Funds 2030 Target Date Retirement Fund (AAETX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, VTHRX achieves a 7.80% return, which is significantly higher than AAETX's 5.73% return. Both investments have delivered pretty close results over the past 10 years, with VTHRX having a 8.89% annualized return and AAETX not far ahead at 9.03%.


VTHRX

1D
0.15%
1M
3.00%
YTD
7.80%
6M
8.65%
1Y
19.60%
3Y*
14.42%
5Y*
6.97%
10Y*
8.89%

AAETX

1D
-0.10%
1M
2.12%
YTD
5.73%
6M
6.48%
1Y
16.21%
3Y*
13.32%
5Y*
6.63%
10Y*
9.03%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

VTHRX vs. AAETX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
VTHRX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund
7.80%16.25%10.43%16.24%-16.28%11.37%14.11%21.08%-5.85%15.24%
AAETX
American Funds 2030 Target Date Retirement Fund
5.73%15.41%10.50%14.08%-14.74%12.79%14.81%19.64%-4.56%18.11%

Correlation

The correlation between VTHRX and AAETX is 0.97 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.97

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.96

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.98

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.98

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 5, 2007

0.98

The correlation between VTHRX and AAETX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.96 to 0.98 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

VTHRX vs. AAETX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

VTHRX
VTHRX Risk / Return Rank: 7070
Overall Rank
VTHRX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7373
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VTHRX Sortino Ratio Rank: 7373
Sortino Ratio Rank
VTHRX Omega Ratio Rank: 7171
Omega Ratio Rank
VTHRX Calmar Ratio Rank: 6363
Calmar Ratio Rank
VTHRX Martin Ratio Rank: 6969
Martin Ratio Rank

AAETX
AAETX Risk / Return Rank: 5959
Overall Rank
AAETX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6161
Sharpe Ratio Rank
AAETX Sortino Ratio Rank: 6363
Sortino Ratio Rank
AAETX Omega Ratio Rank: 6262
Omega Ratio Rank
AAETX Calmar Ratio Rank: 5050
Calmar Ratio Rank
AAETX Martin Ratio Rank: 6161
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

VTHRX vs. AAETX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund (VTHRX) and American Funds 2030 Target Date Retirement Fund (AAETX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


VTHRXAAETXDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.48

2.30

+0.18

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

3.54

3.33

+0.21

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.47

1.44

+0.03

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

3.05

2.73

+0.32

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

13.41

12.21

+1.19

VTHRX vs. AAETX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current VTHRX Sharpe Ratio is 2.48, which is comparable to the AAETX Sharpe Ratio of 2.30. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of VTHRX and AAETX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


VTHRXAAETXDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.48

2.30

+0.18

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.68

0.68

-0.01

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.79

0.85

-0.06

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.50

0.52

-0.02

Drawdowns

VTHRX vs. AAETX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum VTHRX drawdown since its inception was -49.57%, roughly equal to the maximum AAETX drawdown of -49.49%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VTHRX and AAETX.


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Drawdown Indicators


VTHRXAAETXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-49.57%

-49.49%

-0.08%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-6.56%

-6.12%

-0.44%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-9.64%

-8.67%

-0.97%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-22.75%

-21.01%

-1.74%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-24.86%

-22.37%

-2.49%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

0.00%

-0.10%

+0.10%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-6.19%

-6.41%

+0.22%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.49%

1.37%

+0.12%

Volatility

VTHRX vs. AAETX - Volatility Comparison

Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund (VTHRX) has a higher volatility of 2.60% compared to American Funds 2030 Target Date Retirement Fund (AAETX) at 2.22%. This indicates that VTHRX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than AAETX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


VTHRXAAETXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

2.60%

2.22%

+0.38%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

6.53%

5.76%

+0.77%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

8.09%

7.23%

+0.86%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

10.36%

9.73%

+0.63%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

11.26%

10.66%

+0.60%

VTHRX vs. AAETX - Expense Ratio Comparison

VTHRX has a 0.08% expense ratio, which is lower than AAETX's 0.33% expense ratio.


Dividends

VTHRX vs. AAETX - Dividend Comparison

VTHRX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.74%, less than AAETX's 5.99% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
AAETX
American Funds 2030 Target Date Retirement Fund
5.99%6.33%3.73%2.69%4.39%6.47%3.57%3.95%4.46%2.46%3.46%5.52%
VTHRX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund
3.74%4.03%3.63%2.59%2.53%17.56%2.56%2.38%2.71%0.06%2.38%3.72%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.97, VTHRX and AAETX move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

VTHRX has higher volatility (2.60%) compared to AAETX (2.22%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VTHRX dropped -49.57% vs AAETX's -49.49%.

VTHRX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.48 vs 2.30), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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