VTHRX vs. AAETX
VTHRX (Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund) and AAETX (American Funds 2030 Target Date Retirement Fund) are both Target Retirement Date funds. Over the past 10 years, VTHRX returned 8.89%/yr vs 9.03%/yr for AAETX. With a 0.98 correlation, they move nearly in lockstep. VTHRX charges 0.08%/yr vs 0.33%/yr for AAETX.
Performance
VTHRX vs. AAETX - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, VTHRX achieves a 7.80% return, which is significantly higher than AAETX's 5.73% return. Both investments have delivered pretty close results over the past 10 years, with VTHRX having a 8.89% annualized return and AAETX not far ahead at 9.03%.
VTHRX
- 1D
- 0.15%
- 1M
- 3.00%
- YTD
- 7.80%
- 6M
- 8.65%
- 1Y
- 19.60%
- 3Y*
- 14.42%
- 5Y*
- 6.97%
- 10Y*
- 8.89%
AAETX
- 1D
- -0.10%
- 1M
- 2.12%
- YTD
- 5.73%
- 6M
- 6.48%
- 1Y
- 16.21%
- 3Y*
- 13.32%
- 5Y*
- 6.63%
- 10Y*
- 9.03%
VTHRX vs. AAETX - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VTHRX Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund | 7.80% | 16.25% | 10.43% | 16.24% | -16.28% | 11.37% | 14.11% | 21.08% | -5.85% | 15.24% |
AAETX American Funds 2030 Target Date Retirement Fund | 5.73% | 15.41% | 10.50% | 14.08% | -14.74% | 12.79% | 14.81% | 19.64% | -4.56% | 18.11% |
Correlation
The correlation between VTHRX and AAETX is 0.97 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.97 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.96 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.98 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.98 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 5, 2007 | 0.98 |
The correlation between VTHRX and AAETX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.96 to 0.98 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
VTHRX vs. AAETX — Risk / Return Rank
VTHRX
AAETX
VTHRX vs. AAETX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund (VTHRX) and American Funds 2030 Target Date Retirement Fund (AAETX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| VTHRX | AAETX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.48 | 2.30 | +0.18 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.54 | 3.33 | +0.21 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.47 | 1.44 | +0.03 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.05 | 2.73 | +0.32 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.41 | 12.21 | +1.19 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| VTHRX | AAETX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 2.48 | 2.30 | +0.18 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.68 | 0.68 | -0.01 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.79 | 0.85 | -0.06 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.50 | 0.52 | -0.02 |
Drawdowns
VTHRX vs. AAETX - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum VTHRX drawdown since its inception was -49.57%, roughly equal to the maximum AAETX drawdown of -49.49%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VTHRX and AAETX.
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Drawdown Indicators
| VTHRX | AAETX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -49.57% | -49.49% | -0.08% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -6.56% | -6.12% | -0.44% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -9.64% | -8.67% | -0.97% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -22.75% | -21.01% | -1.74% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -24.86% | -22.37% | -2.49% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | 0.00% | -0.10% | +0.10% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -6.19% | -6.41% | +0.22% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 1.49% | 1.37% | +0.12% |
Volatility
VTHRX vs. AAETX - Volatility Comparison
Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund (VTHRX) has a higher volatility of 2.60% compared to American Funds 2030 Target Date Retirement Fund (AAETX) at 2.22%. This indicates that VTHRX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than AAETX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| VTHRX | AAETX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 2.60% | 2.22% | +0.38% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 6.53% | 5.76% | +0.77% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 8.09% | 7.23% | +0.86% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 10.36% | 9.73% | +0.63% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 11.26% | 10.66% | +0.60% |
VTHRX vs. AAETX - Expense Ratio Comparison
VTHRX has a 0.08% expense ratio, which is lower than AAETX's 0.33% expense ratio.
Dividends
VTHRX vs. AAETX - Dividend Comparison
VTHRX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.74%, less than AAETX's 5.99% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AAETX American Funds 2030 Target Date Retirement Fund | 5.99% | 6.33% | 3.73% | 2.69% | 4.39% | 6.47% | 3.57% | 3.95% | 4.46% | 2.46% | 3.46% | 5.52% |
VTHRX Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund | 3.74% | 4.03% | 3.63% | 2.59% | 2.53% | 17.56% | 2.56% | 2.38% | 2.71% | 0.06% | 2.38% | 3.72% |
Frequently Asked Questions
With a correlation of 0.97, VTHRX and AAETX move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.
VTHRX has higher volatility (2.60%) compared to AAETX (2.22%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VTHRX dropped -49.57% vs AAETX's -49.49%.
VTHRX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.48 vs 2.30), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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