VGUS vs. TUA
VGUS (Vanguard Ultra-Short Treasury ETF) and TUA (Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - VGUS is a Ultrashort Bond fund tracking the Bloomberg Short Treasury Index, while TUA is a Intermediate Core Bond fund actively managed by Simplify. VGUS is passively managed, while TUA is actively managed. Over the past year, VGUS returned 3.86% vs -3.65% for TUA. At a 0.21 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. VGUS charges 0.07%/yr vs 0.16%/yr for TUA.
Performance
VGUS vs. TUA - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, VGUS achieves a 1.59% return, which is significantly higher than TUA's -6.57% return.
VGUS
- 1D
- 0.01%
- 1M
- 0.18%
- YTD
- 1.59%
- 6M
- 1.69%
- 1Y
- 3.86%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
TUA
- 1D
- -0.49%
- 1M
- -0.93%
- YTD
- -6.57%
- 6M
- -6.35%
- 1Y
- -3.65%
- 3Y*
- -0.34%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
VGUS vs. TUA - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
VGUS Vanguard Ultra-Short Treasury ETF | 1.59% | 3.78% |
TUA Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF | -6.57% | 7.17% |
Correlation
The correlation between VGUS and TUA is 0.18, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.18 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 11, 2025 | 0.21 |
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Return for Risk
VGUS vs. TUA — Risk / Return Rank
VGUS
TUA
VGUS vs. TUA - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Ultra-Short Treasury ETF (VGUS) and Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| VGUS | TUA | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +12.39 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +34.83 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 10.51 | 0.92 | +9.59 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 53.22 | -0.50 | +53.72 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 402.91 | -1.26 | +404.17 |
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Drawdowns
VGUS vs. TUA - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum VGUS drawdown since its inception was -0.07%, smaller than the maximum TUA drawdown of -15.85%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VGUS and TUA.
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Drawdown Indicators
| VGUS | TUA | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -0.07% | -15.85% | +15.78% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -0.07% | -7.37% | +7.30% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -9.14% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | 0.00% | -11.19% | +11.19% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -0.00% | -8.39% | +8.39% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 0.01% | 2.90% | -2.89% |
Volatility
VGUS vs. TUA - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Vanguard Ultra-Short Treasury ETF (VGUS) is 0.12%, while Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) has a volatility of 2.66%. This indicates that VGUS experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TUA based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| VGUS | TUA | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 0.12% | 2.66% | -2.54% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 0.18% | 5.26% | -5.08% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.33% | 7.02% | -6.69% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 0.34% | 10.76% | -10.42% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 0.34% | 10.76% | -10.42% |
VGUS vs. TUA - Expense Ratio Comparison
VGUS has a 0.07% expense ratio, which is lower than TUA's 0.16% expense ratio. Despite the difference, both funds are considered low-cost compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios usually range from 0.3% to 0.9%.
Dividends
VGUS vs. TUA - Dividend Comparison
VGUS's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.60%, which matches TUA's 3.60% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TUA Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF | 3.60% | 3.84% | 5.19% | 4.83% | 0.15% |
VGUS Vanguard Ultra-Short Treasury ETF | 3.60% | 3.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
VGUS and TUA have a correlation of 0.18, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
TUA has higher volatility (2.66%) compared to VGUS (0.12%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VGUS dropped -0.07% vs TUA's -15.85%.
On 1-year performance, VGUS leads with 3.86% vs -3.65% for TUA. On fees, VGUS is cheaper at 0.07% per year. On volatility, VGUS has been the lower-risk option at 0.12%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, VGUS has performed better with a 3.86% return vs -3.65%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
VGUS is cheaper with a 0.07% expense ratio, compared with 0.16% for TUA.
VGUS and TUA have nearly identical dividend yields, around 3.60%.
VGUS is categorized as Ultrashort Bond, while TUA is Intermediate Core Bond. They also come from different issuers: Vanguard and Simplify. Their fees differ too: 0.07% for VGUS and 0.16% for TUA.
VGUS currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (11.86 vs -0.52), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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