VGLT vs. CTA

Last updated Jun 9, 2026

VGLT (Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF) and CTA (Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - VGLT is a Government Bonds fund tracking the Bloomberg U.S. Long Treasury Index, while CTA is a Systematic Trend fund actively managed by Simplify. VGLT is passively managed, while CTA is actively managed. Over the past 3 years, VGLT returned -0.94%/yr vs 10.94%/yr for CTA. At a correlation of -0.30, they often move in opposite directions. VGLT charges 0.03%/yr vs 0.78%/yr for CTA.

Performance

VGLT vs. CTA - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) and Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, VGLT achieves a -1.16% return, which is significantly lower than CTA's 9.63% return.

VGLT

• 1D: -0.40%
• 1M: -1.25%
• YTD: -1.16%
• 6M: -1.18%
• 1Y: 4.15%
• 3Y*: -0.94%
• 5Y*: -5.66%
• 10Y*: -1.28%

CTA

• 1D: 0.52%
• 1M: -4.51%
• YTD: 9.63%
• 6M: 12.55%
• 1Y: 10.03%
• 3Y*: 10.94%
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

VGLT vs. CTA - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022
VGLT Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF	-1.16%	5.35%	-6.28%	3.27%	-24.59%
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF	9.63%	0.88%	24.15%	-2.23%	9.55%

Correlation

The correlation between VGLT and CTA is -0.31, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.31
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	-0.33
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 9, 2022	-0.30

Return for Risk

VGLT vs. CTA — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

VGLT

VGLT Risk / Return Rank: 17
VGLT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 17
VGLT Sortino Ratio Rank: 17
VGLT Omega Ratio Rank: 16
VGLT Calmar Ratio Rank: 17
VGLT Martin Ratio Rank: 17

CTA

CTA Risk / Return Rank: 19
CTA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 18
CTA Sortino Ratio Rank: 17
CTA Omega Ratio Rank: 18
CTA Calmar Ratio Rank: 22
CTA Martin Ratio Rank: 21

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

VGLT vs. CTA - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) and Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	VGLT	CTA	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	0.48	0.50	-0.02
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	0.75	0.78	-0.03
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.08	1.10	-0.02
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	0.60	0.92	-0.32
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	1.53	2.32	-0.80
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

VGLT vs. CTA - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current VGLT Sharpe Ratio is 0.48, which is comparable to the CTA Sharpe Ratio of 0.50. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of VGLT and CTA, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	VGLT	CTA	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.48	0.50	-0.02
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	-0.39	—	—
Sharpe Ratio (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	-0.09	—	—
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	0.18	0.58	-0.39

Drawdowns

VGLT vs. CTA - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum VGLT drawdown since its inception was -46.18%, which is greater than CTA's maximum drawdown of -18.07%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VGLT and CTA.

Drawdown Indicators

	VGLT	CTA	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-46.18%	-18.07%	-28.11%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-7.01%	-11.00%	+3.99%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-17.68%	-11.23%	-6.45%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-40.98%	—	—
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-46.18%	—	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-37.30%	-10.05%	-27.25%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-15.08%	-5.69%	-9.39%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	2.72%	4.33%	-1.61%

Volatility

VGLT vs. CTA - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) is 2.50%, while Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) has a volatility of 6.73%. This indicates that VGLT experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than CTA based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	VGLT	CTA	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	2.50%	6.73%	-4.23%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	5.96%	17.43%	-11.47%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	8.71%	20.21%	-11.50%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	14.57%	16.59%	-2.02%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	13.82%	16.59%	-2.77%

VGLT vs. CTA - Expense Ratio Comparison

VGLT has a 0.03% expense ratio, which is lower than CTA's 0.78% expense ratio.

Dividends

VGLT vs. CTA - Dividend Comparison

VGLT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.64%, less than CTA's 4.97% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF	4.97%	3.19%	4.80%	7.78%	6.58%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
VGLT Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF	4.64%	4.44%	4.33%	3.33%	2.84%	1.82%	2.15%	2.46%	2.71%	2.55%	2.69%	3.21%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both VGLT and CTA in my portfolio?

VGLT and CTA have a correlation of -0.31, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, VGLT or CTA?

CTA has higher volatility (6.73%) compared to VGLT (2.50%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VGLT dropped -46.18% vs CTA's -18.07%.

Which ETF is better, VGLT or CTA?

On 3-year performance, CTA leads with 10.94% vs -0.94% for VGLT. On fees, VGLT is cheaper at 0.03% per year. On volatility, VGLT has been the lower-risk option at 2.50%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, VGLT or CTA?

Over the 3-year period, CTA has performed better with a 10.94% return vs -0.94%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, VGLT or CTA?

VGLT is cheaper with a 0.03% expense ratio, compared with 0.78% for CTA.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, VGLT or CTA?

CTA has the higher dividend yield at 4.97%, compared with 4.64% for VGLT.

What is the main difference between VGLT and CTA?

VGLT is categorized as Government Bonds, while CTA is Systematic Trend. They also come from different issuers: Vanguard and Simplify. Their fees differ too: 0.03% for VGLT and 0.78% for CTA.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

CTA currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.50 vs 0.48), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.