UST vs. DBO
UST (ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury) and DBO (Invesco DB Oil Fund) are both exchange-traded funds - UST is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%), while DBO is a Oil & Gas fund tracking the DBIQ Optimum Yield Crude Oil Index Excess Return. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, UST returned -2.13%/yr vs 11.37%/yr for DBO. At a correlation of -0.23, they often move in opposite directions. UST charges 0.95%/yr vs 0.78%/yr for DBO.
Performance
UST vs. DBO - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UST achieves a -2.88% return, which is significantly lower than DBO's 84.75% return. Over the past 10 years, UST has underperformed DBO with an annualized return of -2.13%, while DBO has yielded a comparatively higher 11.37% annualized return.
UST
- 1D
- -0.56%
- 1M
- -0.51%
- YTD
- -2.88%
- 6M
- -4.24%
- 1Y
- 3.81%
- 3Y*
- -0.51%
- 5Y*
- -6.75%
- 10Y*
- -2.13%
DBO
- 1D
- 2.27%
- 1M
- -2.34%
- YTD
- 84.75%
- 6M
- 81.10%
- 1Y
- 80.26%
- 3Y*
- 21.86%
- 5Y*
- 15.98%
- 10Y*
- 11.37%
UST vs. DBO - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UST ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury | -2.88% | 10.26% | -6.19% | 0.16% | -30.19% | -7.81% | 18.83% | 13.34% | -1.09% | 3.21% |
DBO Invesco DB Oil Fund | 84.75% | -11.71% | 7.85% | -4.44% | 13.04% | 60.74% | -20.99% | 28.05% | -15.22% | 4.86% |
Correlation
The correlation between UST and DBO is -0.40, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.40 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.22 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.18 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.19 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 3, 2010 | -0.23 |
The correlation between UST and DBO shifts across timeframes, from -0.40 (1 year) to -0.18 (5 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
UST vs. DBO - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
UST
DBO
Financial Services
Basic Materials
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-
Communication Services
-
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
-
Consumer Defensive
-
-
Energy
-
-
Healthcare
-
-
Industrials
-
-
Real Estate
-
-
Technology
-
-
Utilities
-
-
Financial Services
UST
DBO
Basic Materials
UST
-
DBO
-
Communication Services
UST
-
DBO
-
Consumer Cyclical
UST
-
DBO
-
Consumer Defensive
UST
-
DBO
-
Energy
UST
-
DBO
-
Healthcare
UST
-
DBO
-
Industrials
UST
-
DBO
-
Real Estate
UST
-
DBO
-
Technology
UST
-
DBO
-
Utilities
UST
-
DBO
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Return for Risk
UST vs. DBO — Risk / Return Rank
UST
DBO
UST vs. DBO - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) and Invesco DB Oil Fund (DBO). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| UST | DBO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.94 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.29 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.07 | 1.38 | -0.30 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.44 | 4.44 | -4.00 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.26 | 9.02 | -7.76 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| UST | DBO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.40 | 2.34 | -1.94 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.44 | 0.50 | -0.94 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.16 | 0.36 | -0.52 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.19 | 0.02 | +0.17 |
Drawdowns
UST vs. DBO - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UST drawdown since its inception was -47.99%, smaller than the maximum DBO drawdown of -90.18%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UST and DBO.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UST | DBO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -47.99% | -90.18% | +42.19% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -8.75% | -18.19% | +9.44% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -16.87% | -28.20% | +11.33% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -43.97% | -37.68% | -6.29% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -47.99% | -61.69% | +13.70% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -38.33% | -51.38% | +13.05% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -15.13% | -62.25% | +47.12% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 3.03% | 8.92% | -5.89% |
Volatility
UST vs. DBO - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) is 3.10%, while Invesco DB Oil Fund (DBO) has a volatility of 12.61%. This indicates that UST experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than DBO based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UST | DBO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 3.10% | 12.61% | -9.51% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 6.58% | 28.20% | -21.62% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 9.50% | 34.46% | -24.96% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 15.47% | 32.29% | -16.82% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 13.18% | 31.78% | -18.60% |
UST vs. DBO - Expense Ratio Comparison
UST has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than DBO's 0.78% expense ratio.
Dividends
UST vs. DBO - Dividend Comparison
UST's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.49%, more than DBO's 1.90% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DBO Invesco DB Oil Fund | 1.90% | 3.51% | 4.68% | 4.59% | 0.66% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.63% | 1.58% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UST ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury | 3.49% | 3.65% | 4.09% | 3.49% | 0.47% | 0.27% | 0.53% | 1.42% | 1.71% | 0.84% | 0.64% | 0.75% |
Frequently Asked Questions
UST and DBO have a correlation of -0.40, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
DBO has higher volatility (12.61%) compared to UST (3.10%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UST dropped -47.99% vs DBO's -90.18%.
On 10-year performance, DBO leads with 11.37% vs -2.13% for UST. On fees, DBO is cheaper at 0.78% per year. On volatility, UST has been the lower-risk option at 3.10%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, DBO has performed better with a 11.37% return vs -2.13%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
DBO is cheaper with a 0.78% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for UST.
UST has the higher dividend yield at 3.49%, compared with 1.90% for DBO.
UST is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while DBO is Oil & Gas. UST tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%), while DBO tracks DBIQ Optimum Yield Crude Oil Index Excess Return. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Invesco. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for UST and 0.78% for DBO.
DBO currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.34 vs 0.40), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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