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UST vs. DBO
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

UST vs. DBO - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) and Invesco DB Oil Fund (DBO). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, UST achieves a -2.88% return, which is significantly lower than DBO's 84.75% return. Over the past 10 years, UST has underperformed DBO with an annualized return of -2.13%, while DBO has yielded a comparatively higher 11.37% annualized return.


UST

1D
-0.56%
1M
-0.51%
YTD
-2.88%
6M
-4.24%
1Y
3.81%
3Y*
-0.51%
5Y*
-6.75%
10Y*
-2.13%

DBO

1D
2.27%
1M
-2.34%
YTD
84.75%
6M
81.10%
1Y
80.26%
3Y*
21.86%
5Y*
15.98%
10Y*
11.37%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

UST vs. DBO - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
-2.88%10.26%-6.19%0.16%-30.19%-7.81%18.83%13.34%-1.09%3.21%
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
84.75%-11.71%7.85%-4.44%13.04%60.74%-20.99%28.05%-15.22%4.86%

Correlation

The correlation between UST and DBO is -0.40, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.40

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

-0.22

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.18

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.19

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 3, 2010

-0.23

The correlation between UST and DBO shifts across timeframes, from -0.40 (1 year) to -0.18 (5 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

UST vs. DBO - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
UST
DBO

Financial Services

97.4%
116.0%

Basic Materials

-

-

Communication Services

-

-

Consumer Cyclical

-

-

Consumer Defensive

-

-

Energy

-

-

Healthcare

-

-

Industrials

-

-

Real Estate

-

-

Technology

-

-

Utilities

-

-

Financial Services

UST
97.4%
DBO
116.0%

Basic Materials

UST

-

DBO

-

Communication Services

UST

-

DBO

-

Consumer Cyclical

UST

-

DBO

-

Consumer Defensive

UST

-

DBO

-

Energy

UST

-

DBO

-

Healthcare

UST

-

DBO

-

Industrials

UST

-

DBO

-

Real Estate

UST

-

DBO

-

Technology

UST

-

DBO

-

Utilities

UST

-

DBO

-

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Return for Risk

UST vs. DBO — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

UST
UST Risk / Return Rank: 1414
Overall Rank
UST Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1515
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UST Sortino Ratio Rank: 1313
Sortino Ratio Rank
UST Omega Ratio Rank: 1313
Omega Ratio Rank
UST Calmar Ratio Rank: 1414
Calmar Ratio Rank
UST Martin Ratio Rank: 1515
Martin Ratio Rank

DBO
DBO Risk / Return Rank: 6565
Overall Rank
DBO Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7070
Sharpe Ratio Rank
DBO Sortino Ratio Rank: 6262
Sortino Ratio Rank
DBO Omega Ratio Rank: 6060
Omega Ratio Rank
DBO Calmar Ratio Rank: 8383
Calmar Ratio Rank
DBO Martin Ratio Rank: 5252
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

UST vs. DBO - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) and Invesco DB Oil Fund (DBO). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


USTDBODifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-1.94

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-2.29

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.07

1.38

-0.30

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.44

4.44

-4.00

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

1.26

9.02

-7.76

UST vs. DBO - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current UST Sharpe Ratio is 0.40, which is lower than the DBO Sharpe Ratio of 2.34. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of UST and DBO, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


USTDBODifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.40

2.34

-1.94

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.44

0.50

-0.94

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.16

0.36

-0.52

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.19

0.02

+0.17

Drawdowns

UST vs. DBO - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum UST drawdown since its inception was -47.99%, smaller than the maximum DBO drawdown of -90.18%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UST and DBO.


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Drawdown Indicators


USTDBODifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-47.99%

-90.18%

+42.19%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-8.75%

-18.19%

+9.44%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-16.87%

-28.20%

+11.33%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-43.97%

-37.68%

-6.29%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-47.99%

-61.69%

+13.70%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-38.33%

-51.38%

+13.05%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-15.13%

-62.25%

+47.12%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

3.03%

8.92%

-5.89%

Volatility

UST vs. DBO - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) is 3.10%, while Invesco DB Oil Fund (DBO) has a volatility of 12.61%. This indicates that UST experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than DBO based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


USTDBODifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.10%

12.61%

-9.51%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

6.58%

28.20%

-21.62%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

9.50%

34.46%

-24.96%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

15.47%

32.29%

-16.82%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

13.18%

31.78%

-18.60%

UST vs. DBO - Expense Ratio Comparison

UST has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than DBO's 0.78% expense ratio.


Dividends

UST vs. DBO - Dividend Comparison

UST's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.49%, more than DBO's 1.90% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
1.90%3.51%4.68%4.59%0.66%0.00%0.00%1.63%1.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
3.49%3.65%4.09%3.49%0.47%0.27%0.53%1.42%1.71%0.84%0.64%0.75%

Frequently Asked Questions


UST and DBO have a correlation of -0.40, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

DBO has higher volatility (12.61%) compared to UST (3.10%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UST dropped -47.99% vs DBO's -90.18%.

On 10-year performance, DBO leads with 11.37% vs -2.13% for UST. On fees, DBO is cheaper at 0.78% per year. On volatility, UST has been the lower-risk option at 3.10%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 10-year period, DBO has performed better with a 11.37% return vs -2.13%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

DBO is cheaper with a 0.78% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for UST.

UST has the higher dividend yield at 3.49%, compared with 1.90% for DBO.

UST is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while DBO is Oil & Gas. UST tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%), while DBO tracks DBIQ Optimum Yield Crude Oil Index Excess Return. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Invesco. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for UST and 0.78% for DBO.

DBO currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.34 vs 0.40), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for UST and DBO

Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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