USML vs. UGL
USML (ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN) and UGL (ProShares Ultra Gold) are both exchange-traded funds - USML is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Index, while UGL is a Leveraged Commodities fund tracking the Bloomberg Gold Subindex (200%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 5 years, USML returned 7.85%/yr vs 25.50%/yr for UGL. At a 0.15 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. Both charge a 0.95% expense ratio.
Performance
USML vs. UGL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, USML achieves a 1.71% return, which is significantly higher than UGL's -7.82% return.
USML
- 1D
- -1.73%
- 1M
- 3.16%
- YTD
- 1.71%
- 6M
- 1.67%
- 1Y
- 1.50%
- 3Y*
- 16.28%
- 5Y*
- 7.85%
- 10Y*
- —
UGL
- 1D
- -7.30%
- 1M
- -17.17%
- YTD
- -7.82%
- 6M
- -3.83%
- 1Y
- 46.42%
- 3Y*
- 49.47%
- 5Y*
- 25.50%
- 10Y*
- 17.75%
USML vs. UGL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USML ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN | 1.71% | 9.33% | 23.97% | 11.37% | -22.87% | 42.12% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | -7.82% | 137.57% | 46.36% | 15.56% | -7.59% | -2.14% |
Correlation
The correlation between USML and UGL is 0.17, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.17 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.15 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.14 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 8, 2021 | 0.15 |
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Return for Risk
USML vs. UGL — Risk / Return Rank
USML
UGL
USML vs. UGL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN (USML) and ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| USML | UGL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.62 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.90 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.04 | 1.19 | -0.15 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.22 | 1.06 | -0.84 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.67 | 2.56 | -1.88 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| USML | UGL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.18 | 0.80 | -0.62 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.32 | 0.70 | -0.38 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | — | 0.55 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.42 | 0.38 | +0.05 |
Drawdowns
USML vs. UGL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum USML drawdown since its inception was -35.34%, smaller than the maximum UGL drawdown of -75.93%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for USML and UGL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| USML | UGL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -35.34% | -75.93% | +40.59% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -13.09% | -40.22% | +27.13% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -19.14% | -40.22% | +21.08% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -35.34% | -40.23% | +4.89% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -46.23% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -4.86% | -40.22% | +35.36% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -10.40% | -43.63% | +33.23% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 4.35% | 16.70% | -12.35% |
Volatility
USML vs. UGL - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN (USML) is 4.58%, while ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL) has a volatility of 11.42%. This indicates that USML experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than UGL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| USML | UGL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 4.58% | 11.42% | -6.84% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 11.57% | 47.43% | -35.86% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 16.45% | 53.42% | -36.97% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 24.47% | 36.32% | -11.85% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 24.29% | 32.42% | -8.13% |
USML vs. UGL - Expense Ratio Comparison
Both USML and UGL have an expense ratio of 0.95%.
Dividends
USML vs. UGL - Dividend Comparison
Neither USML nor UGL has paid dividends to shareholders.
Frequently Asked Questions
USML and UGL have a correlation of 0.17, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
UGL has higher volatility (11.42%) compared to USML (4.58%). In terms of maximum drawdown, USML dropped -35.34% vs UGL's -75.93%.
On 5-year performance, UGL leads with 25.50% vs 7.85% for USML. Both ETFs have the same 0.95% expense ratio. On volatility, USML has been the lower-risk option at 4.58%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 5-year period, UGL has performed better with a 25.50% return vs 7.85%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
USML and UGL have the same expense ratio: 0.95% per year.
USML and UGL have nearly identical dividend yields, around 0.00%.
USML is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while UGL is Leveraged Commodities. USML tracks MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Index, while UGL tracks Bloomberg Gold Subindex (200%). They also come from different issuers: UBS and ProShares.
UGL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.80 vs 0.18), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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