UDOW vs. NAIL
UDOW (ProShares UltraPro Dow30) and NAIL (Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares) are both Leveraged Equities funds - UDOW tracks the Dow Jones Industrial Average (300%) while NAIL tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, UDOW returned 23.82%/yr vs 6.16%/yr for NAIL. A 0.59 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. UDOW charges 0.95%/yr vs 0.99%/yr for NAIL.
Performance
UDOW vs. NAIL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UDOW achieves a 14.65% return, which is significantly higher than NAIL's -13.15% return. Over the past 10 years, UDOW has outperformed NAIL with an annualized return of 23.82%, while NAIL has yielded a comparatively lower 6.16% annualized return.
UDOW
- 1D
- 2.07%
- 1M
- 8.49%
- YTD
- 14.65%
- 6M
- 11.42%
- 1Y
- 51.98%
- 3Y*
- 32.31%
- 5Y*
- 13.79%
- 10Y*
- 23.82%
NAIL
- 1D
- -2.18%
- 1M
- 25.39%
- YTD
- -13.15%
- 6M
- -27.97%
- 1Y
- -17.64%
- 3Y*
- -11.92%
- 5Y*
- -9.97%
- 10Y*
- 6.16%
UDOW vs. NAIL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UDOW ProShares UltraPro Dow30 | 14.65% | 24.46% | 28.47% | 32.72% | -32.39% | 65.67% | -17.15% | 75.24% | -23.86% | 99.07% |
NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares | -13.15% | -40.43% | -22.83% | 259.61% | -75.23% | 168.20% | -32.08% | 184.63% | -73.96% | 268.71% |
Correlation
The correlation between UDOW and NAIL is 0.63, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.63 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.63 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.66 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.60 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 19, 2015 | 0.59 |
The correlation between UDOW and NAIL has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.59 to 0.66 - a consistent structural relationship.
UDOW vs. NAIL - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
UDOW
NAIL
Financial Services
-
Industrials
Technology
-
Healthcare
-
Consumer Cyclical
Consumer Defensive
-
Basic Materials
Energy
-
Communication Services
-
Real Estate
-
Utilities
-
-
Financial Services
UDOW
NAIL
-
Industrials
UDOW
NAIL
Technology
UDOW
NAIL
-
Healthcare
UDOW
NAIL
-
Consumer Cyclical
UDOW
NAIL
Consumer Defensive
UDOW
NAIL
-
Basic Materials
UDOW
NAIL
Energy
UDOW
NAIL
-
Communication Services
UDOW
NAIL
-
Real Estate
UDOW
-
NAIL
Utilities
UDOW
-
NAIL
-
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Return for Risk
UDOW vs. NAIL — Risk / Return Rank
UDOW
NAIL
UDOW vs. NAIL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (UDOW) and Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NAIL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| UDOW | NAIL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +1.60 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +1.65 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.24 | 1.04 | +0.20 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.86 | -0.26 | +2.12 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 6.59 | -0.45 | +7.04 |
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Drawdowns
UDOW vs. NAIL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UDOW drawdown since its inception was -80.29%, smaller than the maximum NAIL drawdown of -93.75%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UDOW and NAIL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UDOW | NAIL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -80.29% | -93.75% | +13.46% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -28.07% | -67.85% | +39.78% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -44.83% | -82.09% | +37.26% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -55.79% | -84.40% | +28.61% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -80.29% | -93.75% | +13.46% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -2.65% | -75.18% | +72.53% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -14.37% | -43.87% | +29.50% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 7.94% | 39.36% | -31.42% |
Volatility
UDOW vs. NAIL - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (UDOW) is 12.92%, while Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NAIL) has a volatility of 26.93%. This indicates that UDOW experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than NAIL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UDOW | NAIL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 12.92% | 26.93% | -14.01% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 29.12% | 61.98% | -32.86% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 37.38% | 88.92% | -51.54% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 44.39% | 87.27% | -42.88% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 51.84% | 89.35% | -37.51% |
UDOW vs. NAIL - Expense Ratio Comparison
UDOW has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is lower than NAIL's 0.99% expense ratio.
Dividends
UDOW vs. NAIL - Dividend Comparison
UDOW's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.18%, more than NAIL's 0.91% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares | 0.91% | 1.55% | 0.63% | 0.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.17% | 0.35% | 1.25% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UDOW ProShares UltraPro Dow30 | 1.18% | 1.38% | 0.95% | 0.95% | 0.83% | 0.26% | 0.19% | 0.61% | 0.73% | 0.13% | 0.26% | 0.21% |
Frequently Asked Questions
UDOW and NAIL have a correlation of 0.63, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
NAIL has higher volatility (26.93%) compared to UDOW (12.92%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UDOW dropped -80.29% vs NAIL's -93.75%.
On 10-year performance, UDOW leads with 23.82% vs 6.16% for NAIL. On fees, UDOW is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, UDOW has been the lower-risk option at 12.92%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, UDOW has performed better with a 23.82% return vs 6.16%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
UDOW is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 0.99% for NAIL.
UDOW has the higher dividend yield at 1.18%, compared with 0.91% for NAIL.
UDOW tracks Dow Jones Industrial Average (300%), while NAIL tracks Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index (300%). They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for UDOW and 0.99% for NAIL.
UDOW currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.40 vs -0.20), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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