TBF vs. BND
TBF (ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury) and BND (Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - TBF is a Inverse Bonds fund tracking the U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Index (-100%), while BND is a Total Bond Market fund tracking the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Float Adjusted Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, TBF returned 2.89%/yr vs 1.56%/yr for BND. At a correlation of -0.88, they often move in opposite directions. TBF charges 0.94%/yr vs 0.03%/yr for BND.
Performance
TBF vs. BND - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TBF achieves a 1.51% return, which is significantly higher than BND's 0.49% return. Over the past 10 years, TBF has outperformed BND with an annualized return of 2.89%, while BND has yielded a comparatively lower 1.56% annualized return.
TBF
- 1D
- -0.20%
- 1M
- -1.81%
- YTD
- 1.51%
- 6M
- 2.17%
- 1Y
- 1.64%
- 3Y*
- 7.93%
- 5Y*
- 10.42%
- 10Y*
- 2.89%
BND
- 1D
- 0.11%
- 1M
- 0.64%
- YTD
- 0.49%
- 6M
- 0.57%
- 1Y
- 4.23%
- 3Y*
- 3.96%
- 5Y*
- 0.05%
- 10Y*
- 1.56%
TBF vs. BND - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury | 1.51% | 1.27% | 16.33% | 2.43% | 42.37% | 1.33% | -19.35% | -10.96% | 3.26% | -8.46% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 0.49% | 7.08% | 1.38% | 5.65% | -13.11% | -1.86% | 7.71% | 8.84% | -0.12% | 3.57% |
Correlation
The correlation between TBF and BND is -0.91, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.91 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.93 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.92 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.90 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 20, 2009 | -0.88 |
The correlation between TBF and BND has been stable across timeframes, ranging from -0.93 to -0.88 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
TBF vs. BND — Risk / Return Rank
TBF
BND
TBF vs. BND - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (TBF) and Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| TBF | BND | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.96 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.39 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.04 | 1.20 | -0.16 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.23 | 1.59 | -1.36 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.50 | 4.52 | -4.02 |
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Drawdowns
TBF vs. BND - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TBF drawdown since its inception was -70.40%, which is greater than BND's maximum drawdown of -18.58%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TBF and BND.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TBF | BND | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -70.40% | -18.58% | -51.82% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -7.23% | -2.68% | -4.55% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -17.79% | -5.92% | -11.87% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -17.79% | -17.91% | +0.12% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -38.39% | -18.58% | -19.81% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -43.88% | -2.15% | -41.73% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -47.41% | -3.06% | -44.35% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 3.31% | 0.94% | +2.37% |
Volatility
TBF vs. BND - Volatility Comparison
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (TBF) has a higher volatility of 2.20% compared to Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) at 1.08%. This indicates that TBF's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than BND based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TBF | BND | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 2.20% | 1.08% | +1.12% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 6.52% | 2.77% | +3.75% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 9.29% | 3.74% | +5.55% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 15.68% | 6.03% | +9.65% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 14.50% | 5.53% | +8.97% |
TBF vs. BND - Expense Ratio Comparison
TBF has a 0.94% expense ratio, which is higher than BND's 0.03% expense ratio.
Dividends
TBF vs. BND - Dividend Comparison
TBF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.86%, less than BND's 3.96% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 3.96% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury | 2.86% | 3.39% | 4.06% | 4.99% | 0.36% | 0.00% | 0.22% | 1.68% | 0.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TBF and BND have a correlation of -0.91, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
TBF has higher volatility (2.20%) compared to BND (1.08%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TBF dropped -70.40% vs BND's -18.58%.
On 10-year performance, TBF leads with 2.89% vs 1.56% for BND. On fees, BND is cheaper at 0.03% per year. On volatility, BND has been the lower-risk option at 1.08%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, TBF has performed better with a 2.89% return vs 1.56%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
BND is cheaper with a 0.03% expense ratio, compared with 0.94% for TBF.
BND has the higher dividend yield at 3.96%, compared with 2.86% for TBF.
TBF is categorized as Inverse Bonds, while BND is Total Bond Market. TBF tracks U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Index (-100%), while BND tracks Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Float Adjusted Index. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Vanguard. Their fees differ too: 0.94% for TBF and 0.03% for BND.
BND currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.14 vs 0.18), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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