SPXS vs. MSFD
SPXS (Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares) and MSFD (Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares) are both Inverse Equities funds from Direxion - SPXS tracks the S&P 500 Index (-300%) while MSFD tracks the Microsoft Corporation (-100%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 3 years, SPXS returned -39.52%/yr vs -4.61%/yr for MSFD. A 0.65 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. SPXS charges 1.08%/yr vs 1.06%/yr for MSFD.
Performance
SPXS vs. MSFD - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, SPXS achieves a -24.88% return, which is significantly lower than MSFD's 16.79% return.
SPXS
- 1D
- 1.67%
- 1M
- -0.21%
- 6M
- -21.79%
- YTD
- -24.88%
- 1Y
- -41.05%
- 3Y*
- -39.52%
- 5Y*
- -33.62%
- 10Y*
- -41.24%
MSFD
- 1D
- -1.38%
- 1M
- -2.39%
- 6M
- 10.18%
- YTD
- 16.79%
- 1Y
- 23.32%
- 3Y*
- -4.61%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
SPXS vs. MSFD - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares | -24.88% | -41.53% | -42.84% | -45.97% | -4.50% |
MSFD Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares | 16.79% | -13.36% | -7.86% | -35.90% | 3.88% |
Correlation
The correlation between SPXS and MSFD is 0.40, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.40 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.59 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 7, 2022 | 0.65 |
Over the past year, the correlation between SPXS and MSFD has dropped to 0.40 - well below their long-term average of 0.65, suggesting their price drivers have been diverging.
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Return for Risk
SPXS vs. MSFD — Risk / Return Rank
SPXS
MSFD
SPXS vs. MSFD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (SPXS) and Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| SPXS | MSFD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.95 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -3.08 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.82 | 1.17 | -0.36 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.94 | 1.01 | -1.95 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.62 | 3.20 | -4.81 |
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Drawdowns
SPXS vs. MSFD - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum SPXS drawdown since its inception was -100.00%, which is greater than MSFD's maximum drawdown of -59.90%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SPXS and MSFD.
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Drawdown Indicators
| SPXS | MSFD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -100.00% | -59.90% | -40.10% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -43.64% | -23.25% | -20.39% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -84.13% | -40.50% | -43.63% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -90.11% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -99.56% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -100.00% | -47.33% | -52.67% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -96.31% | -41.66% | -54.65% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 25.40% | 7.32% | +18.08% |
Volatility
SPXS vs. MSFD - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (SPXS) and Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD) have volatilities of 10.70% and 10.74%, respectively, indicating that both stocks experience similar levels of price fluctuations. This suggests that the risk associated with both stocks, as measured by volatility, is nearly the same. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| SPXS | MSFD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 10.70% | 10.74% | -0.04% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 30.07% | 24.21% | +5.86% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 37.65% | 27.50% | +10.15% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 50.74% | 26.41% | +24.33% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 53.50% | 26.41% | +27.09% |
SPXS vs. MSFD - Expense Ratio Comparison
SPXS has a 1.08% expense ratio, which is higher than MSFD's 1.06% expense ratio.
Dividends
SPXS vs. MSFD - Dividend Comparison
SPXS's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.52%, more than MSFD's 3.38% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSFD Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares | 3.38% | 3.33% | 4.46% | 4.43% | 0.74% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares | 4.52% | 4.93% | 6.18% | 5.66% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.51% | 1.74% | 0.58% |
Frequently Asked Questions
SPXS and MSFD have a correlation of 0.40, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
MSFD has higher volatility (10.74%) compared to SPXS (10.70%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SPXS dropped -100.00% vs MSFD's -59.90%.
On 3-year performance, MSFD leads with -4.61% vs -39.52% for SPXS. On fees, MSFD is cheaper at 1.06% per year. Their volatility is very similar. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 3-year period, MSFD has performed better with a -4.61% return vs -39.52%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
MSFD is cheaper with a 1.06% expense ratio, compared with 1.08% for SPXS.
SPXS has the higher dividend yield at 4.52%, compared with 3.38% for MSFD.
SPXS tracks S&P 500 Index (-300%), while MSFD tracks Microsoft Corporation (-100%). Their fees differ too: 1.08% for SPXS and 1.06% for MSFD.
MSFD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.85 vs -1.09), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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