SMCZ vs. QQQD
SMCZ (Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF) and QQQD (Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bear 1X Shares) are both Inverse Equities funds. SMCZ is actively managed, while QQQD is passively managed. Over the past year, SMCZ returned -87.72% vs -14.61% for QQQD. A 0.50 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. SMCZ charges 1.29%/yr vs 0.57%/yr for QQQD.
Performance
SMCZ vs. QQQD - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, SMCZ achieves a -87.55% return, which is significantly lower than QQQD's 4.24% return.
SMCZ
- 1D
- 12.25%
- 1M
- -36.38%
- YTD
- -87.55%
- 6M
- -86.35%
- 1Y
- -87.72%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
QQQD
- 1D
- 0.67%
- 1M
- 9.00%
- YTD
- 4.24%
- 6M
- 6.32%
- 1Y
- -14.61%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
SMCZ vs. QQQD - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
SMCZ Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF | -87.55% | -62.31% |
QQQD Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bear 1X Shares | 4.24% | -32.82% |
Correlation
The correlation between SMCZ and QQQD is 0.45, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.45 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 1, 2025 | 0.50 |
The correlation between SMCZ and QQQD has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.45 to 0.50 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
SMCZ vs. QQQD — Risk / Return Rank
SMCZ
QQQD
SMCZ vs. QQQD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF (SMCZ) and Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bear 1X Shares (QQQD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| SMCZ | QQQD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.20 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.42 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.93 | 0.90 | +0.04 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.96 | -0.64 | -0.32 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.95 | -1.01 | -0.94 |
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Drawdowns
SMCZ vs. QQQD - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum SMCZ drawdown since its inception was -97.40%, which is greater than QQQD's maximum drawdown of -49.47%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SMCZ and QQQD.
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Drawdown Indicators
| SMCZ | QQQD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -97.40% | -49.47% | -47.93% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -91.49% | -22.92% | -68.57% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -96.36% | -43.64% | -52.72% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -76.32% | -30.63% | -45.69% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 46.98% | 14.98% | +32.00% |
Volatility
SMCZ vs. QQQD - Volatility Comparison
Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF (SMCZ) has a higher volatility of 85.47% compared to Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bear 1X Shares (QQQD) at 7.17%. This indicates that SMCZ's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than QQQD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| SMCZ | QQQD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 85.47% | 7.17% | +78.30% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 149.88% | 15.65% | +134.23% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 173.51% | 20.89% | +152.62% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 174.65% | 26.85% | +147.80% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 174.65% | 26.85% | +147.80% |
SMCZ vs. QQQD - Expense Ratio Comparison
SMCZ has a 1.29% expense ratio, which is higher than QQQD's 0.57% expense ratio.
Dividends
SMCZ vs. QQQD - Dividend Comparison
SMCZ's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 16.31%, more than QQQD's 3.79% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
QQQD Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bear 1X Shares | 3.79% | 4.33% | 5.17% |
SMCZ Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF | 16.31% | 2.03% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
SMCZ and QQQD have a correlation of 0.45, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
SMCZ has higher volatility (85.47%) compared to QQQD (7.17%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SMCZ dropped -97.40% vs QQQD's -49.47%.
On 1-year performance, QQQD leads with -14.61% vs -87.72% for SMCZ. On fees, QQQD is cheaper at 0.57% per year. On volatility, QQQD has been the lower-risk option at 7.17%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, QQQD has performed better with a -14.61% return vs -87.72%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
QQQD is cheaper with a 0.57% expense ratio, compared with 1.29% for SMCZ.
SMCZ has the higher dividend yield at 16.31%, compared with 3.79% for QQQD.
They also come from different issuers: Defiance and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 1.29% for SMCZ and 0.57% for QQQD.
SMCZ currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.51 vs -0.71), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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