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SHY vs. TUA
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

SHY vs. TUA - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) and Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, SHY achieves a 0.43% return, which is significantly higher than TUA's -5.38% return.


SHY

1D
-0.05%
1M
0.08%
YTD
0.43%
6M
0.69%
1Y
3.32%
3Y*
4.03%
5Y*
1.71%
10Y*
1.65%

TUA

1D
-0.39%
1M
-0.91%
YTD
-5.38%
6M
-5.28%
1Y
-1.78%
3Y*
-0.88%
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

SHY vs. TUA - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025202420232022
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
0.43%4.95%3.92%4.16%0.33%
TUA
Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF
-5.38%7.27%-3.59%-2.04%-0.81%

Correlation

The correlation between SHY and TUA is 0.96 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.96

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.95

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 16, 2022

0.95

The correlation between SHY and TUA has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.95 to 0.96 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

SHY vs. TUA — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

SHY
SHY Risk / Return Rank: 7979
Overall Rank
SHY Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7474
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SHY Sortino Ratio Rank: 8888
Sortino Ratio Rank
SHY Omega Ratio Rank: 8282
Omega Ratio Rank
SHY Calmar Ratio Rank: 7373
Calmar Ratio Rank
SHY Martin Ratio Rank: 7777
Martin Ratio Rank

TUA
TUA Risk / Return Rank: 66
Overall Rank
TUA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 66
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TUA Sortino Ratio Rank: 55
Sortino Ratio Rank
TUA Omega Ratio Rank: 55
Omega Ratio Rank
TUA Calmar Ratio Rank: 66
Calmar Ratio Rank
TUA Martin Ratio Rank: 55
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

SHY vs. TUA - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) and Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


SHYTUADifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+2.75

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+4.43

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.51

0.96

+0.54

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

3.75

-0.27

+4.02

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

15.21

-0.71

+15.91

SHY vs. TUA - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current SHY Sharpe Ratio is 2.49, which is higher than the TUA Sharpe Ratio of -0.26. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of SHY and TUA, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


SHYTUADifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.49

-0.26

+2.75

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.87

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

1.06

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

1.28

-0.13

+1.42

Drawdowns

SHY vs. TUA - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum SHY drawdown since its inception was -5.71%, smaller than the maximum TUA drawdown of -15.85%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SHY and TUA.


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Drawdown Indicators


SHYTUADifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-5.71%

-15.85%

+10.14%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-0.89%

-6.68%

+5.79%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-0.97%

-9.14%

+8.17%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-5.71%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-5.71%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-0.31%

-10.05%

+9.74%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-0.52%

-8.37%

+7.85%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

0.22%

2.53%

-2.31%

Volatility

SHY vs. TUA - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) is 0.35%, while Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) has a volatility of 1.95%. This indicates that SHY experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TUA based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


SHYTUADifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

0.35%

1.95%

-1.60%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

0.92%

4.84%

-3.92%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

1.34%

6.85%

-5.51%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

1.98%

10.76%

-8.78%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

1.57%

10.76%

-9.19%

SHY vs. TUA - Expense Ratio Comparison

SHY has a 0.15% expense ratio, which is lower than TUA's 0.16% expense ratio. Despite the difference, both funds are considered low-cost compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios usually range from 0.3% to 0.9%.


Dividends

SHY vs. TUA - Dividend Comparison

SHY's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.68%, more than TUA's 3.56% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
3.68%3.81%3.92%2.99%1.30%0.26%0.94%2.12%1.72%0.98%0.71%0.54%
TUA
Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF
3.56%3.84%5.19%4.83%0.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.96, SHY and TUA move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

TUA has higher volatility (1.95%) compared to SHY (0.35%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SHY dropped -5.71% vs TUA's -15.85%.

On 3-year performance, SHY leads with 4.03% vs -0.88% for TUA. On fees, SHY is cheaper at 0.15% per year. On volatility, SHY has been the lower-risk option at 0.35%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 3-year period, SHY has performed better with a 4.03% return vs -0.88%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

SHY is cheaper with a 0.15% expense ratio, compared with 0.16% for TUA.

SHY has the higher dividend yield at 3.68%, compared with 3.56% for TUA.

SHY is categorized as Government Bonds, while TUA is Intermediate Core Bond. They also come from different issuers: iShares and Simplify. Their fees differ too: 0.15% for SHY and 0.16% for TUA.

SHY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.49 vs -0.26), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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