MUD vs. SPUU
MUD (Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares) and SPUU (Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - MUD is a Inverse Equities fund actively managed by Direxion, while SPUU is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the S&P 500 Index (200% Daily). MUD is actively managed, while SPUU is passively managed. Over the past year, MUD returned -92.46% vs 39.63% for SPUU. At a correlation of -0.55, they often move in opposite directions. MUD charges 0.97%/yr vs 0.60%/yr for SPUU.
Performance
MUD vs. SPUU - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, MUD achieves a -80.74% return, which is significantly lower than SPUU's 13.21% return.
MUD
- 1D
- 0.73%
- 1M
- -37.29%
- YTD
- -80.74%
- 6M
- -80.67%
- 1Y
- -92.46%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
SPUU
- 1D
- -0.25%
- 1M
- -3.30%
- YTD
- 13.21%
- 6M
- 10.18%
- 1Y
- 39.63%
- 3Y*
- 34.28%
- 5Y*
- 18.24%
- 10Y*
- 24.79%
MUD vs. SPUU - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
MUD Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares | -80.74% | -78.75% | 19.12% |
SPUU Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF | 13.21% | 26.55% | 2.07% |
Correlation
The correlation between MUD and SPUU is -0.51, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.51 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 10, 2024 | -0.55 |
The correlation between MUD and SPUU has been stable across timeframes, ranging from -0.55 to -0.51 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
MUD vs. SPUU — Risk / Return Rank
MUD
SPUU
MUD vs. SPUU - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares (MUD) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF (SPUU). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| MUD | SPUU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -2.87 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -5.90 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.58 | 1.28 | -0.69 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.98 | 2.19 | -3.17 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.43 | 9.27 | -10.70 |
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Drawdowns
MUD vs. SPUU - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum MUD drawdown since its inception was -96.89%, which is greater than SPUU's maximum drawdown of -59.35%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MUD and SPUU.
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Drawdown Indicators
| MUD | SPUU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -96.89% | -59.35% | -37.54% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -94.52% | -18.19% | -76.33% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -35.18% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -46.59% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -59.35% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -96.45% | -6.72% | -89.73% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -51.71% | -9.48% | -42.23% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 64.56% | 4.29% | +60.27% |
Volatility
MUD vs. SPUU - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares (MUD) has a higher volatility of 38.32% compared to Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF (SPUU) at 9.63%. This indicates that MUD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPUU based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| MUD | SPUU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 38.32% | 9.63% | +28.69% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 61.87% | 19.85% | +42.02% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 72.59% | 25.15% | +47.44% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 69.99% | 33.67% | +36.32% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 69.99% | 35.80% | +34.19% |
MUD vs. SPUU - Expense Ratio Comparison
MUD has a 0.97% expense ratio, which is higher than SPUU's 0.60% expense ratio.
Dividends
MUD vs. SPUU - Dividend Comparison
MUD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 12.71%, more than SPUU's 1.39% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MUD Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares | 12.71% | 9.21% | 0.47% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPUU Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF | 1.39% | 1.63% | 0.55% | 0.83% | 0.88% | 3.04% | 8.03% | 1.80% | 5.50% | 6.96% | 8.08% | 4.42% |
Frequently Asked Questions
MUD and SPUU have a correlation of -0.51, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
MUD has higher volatility (38.32%) compared to SPUU (9.63%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MUD dropped -96.89% vs SPUU's -59.35%.
On 1-year performance, SPUU leads with 39.63% vs -92.46% for MUD. On fees, SPUU is cheaper at 0.60% per year. On volatility, SPUU has been the lower-risk option at 9.63%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, SPUU has performed better with a 39.63% return vs -92.46%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
SPUU is cheaper with a 0.60% expense ratio, compared with 0.97% for MUD.
MUD has the higher dividend yield at 12.71%, compared with 1.39% for SPUU.
MUD is categorized as Inverse Equities, while SPUU is Leveraged Equities. Their fees differ too: 0.97% for MUD and 0.60% for SPUU.
SPUU currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.59 vs -1.28), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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