MUD vs. DOG
MUD (Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares) and DOG (ProShares Short Dow30) are both Inverse Equities funds. MUD is actively managed, while DOG is passively managed. Over the past year, MUD returned -93.62% vs -12.72% for DOG. At a 0.34 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. MUD charges 0.97%/yr vs 0.95%/yr for DOG.
Performance
MUD vs. DOG - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, MUD achieves a -79.58% return, which is significantly lower than DOG's -4.15% return.
MUD
- 1D
- -1.42%
- 1M
- -51.85%
- YTD
- -79.58%
- 6M
- -83.74%
- 1Y
- -93.62%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
DOG
- 1D
- 1.13%
- 1M
- -3.36%
- YTD
- -4.15%
- 6M
- -4.06%
- 1Y
- -12.72%
- 3Y*
- -8.28%
- 5Y*
- -5.31%
- 10Y*
- -11.18%
MUD vs. DOG - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
MUD Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares | -79.58% | -78.75% | 19.12% |
DOG ProShares Short Dow30 | -4.15% | -8.40% | 0.92% |
Correlation
The correlation between MUD and DOG is 0.26, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.26 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 11, 2024 | 0.34 |
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Return for Risk
MUD vs. DOG — Risk / Return Rank
MUD
DOG
MUD vs. DOG - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares (MUD) and ProShares Short Dow30 (DOG). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| MUD | DOG | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.37 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.95 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.53 | 0.84 | -0.31 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -1.00 | -0.87 | -0.13 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.52 | -1.43 | -0.08 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| MUD | DOG | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -1.42 | -1.05 | -0.37 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | — | -0.36 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | — | -0.64 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | -1.25 | -0.57 | -0.68 |
Drawdowns
MUD vs. DOG - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum MUD drawdown since its inception was -96.24%, roughly equal to the maximum DOG drawdown of -92.69%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MUD and DOG.
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Drawdown Indicators
| MUD | DOG | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -96.24% | -92.69% | -3.55% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -93.56% | -14.63% | -78.93% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -28.77% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -33.99% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -70.79% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -96.24% | -92.61% | -3.63% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -50.32% | -66.39% | +16.07% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 61.84% | 8.89% | +52.95% |
Volatility
MUD vs. DOG - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares (MUD) has a higher volatility of 31.94% compared to ProShares Short Dow30 (DOG) at 2.98%. This indicates that MUD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than DOG based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| MUD | DOG | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 31.94% | 2.98% | +28.96% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 56.32% | 9.37% | +46.95% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 65.98% | 12.13% | +53.85% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 67.05% | 14.79% | +52.26% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 67.05% | 17.49% | +49.56% |
MUD vs. DOG - Expense Ratio Comparison
MUD has a 0.97% expense ratio, which is higher than DOG's 0.95% expense ratio.
Dividends
MUD vs. DOG - Dividend Comparison
MUD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 28.85%, more than DOG's 3.49% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DOG ProShares Short Dow30 | 3.49% | 3.65% | 5.72% | 4.54% | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.14% | 1.54% | 0.86% | 0.04% |
MUD Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares | 28.85% | 9.21% | 0.47% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
MUD and DOG have a correlation of 0.26, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
MUD has higher volatility (31.94%) compared to DOG (2.98%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MUD dropped -96.24% vs DOG's -92.69%.
On 1-year performance, DOG leads with -12.72% vs -93.62% for MUD. On fees, DOG is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, DOG has been the lower-risk option at 2.98%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, DOG has performed better with a -12.72% return vs -93.62%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
DOG is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 0.97% for MUD.
MUD has the higher dividend yield at 28.85%, compared with 3.49% for DOG.
They also come from different issuers: Direxion and ProShares. Their fees differ too: 0.97% for MUD and 0.95% for DOG.
DOG currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-1.05 vs -1.42), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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