MSTX vs. SPUU
MSTX (Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF) and SPUU (Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF) are both Leveraged Equities funds. MSTX is actively managed, while SPUU is passively managed. Over the past year, MSTX returned -98.10% vs 40.22% for SPUU. At a 0.46 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. MSTX charges 1.29%/yr vs 0.60%/yr for SPUU.
Performance
MSTX vs. SPUU - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, MSTX achieves a -77.66% return, which is significantly lower than SPUU's 19.67% return.
MSTX
- 1D
- 1.30%
- 1M
- -46.85%
- 6M
- -78.77%
- YTD
- -77.66%
- 1Y
- -98.10%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
SPUU
- 1D
- 0.89%
- 1M
- 3.56%
- 6M
- 15.49%
- YTD
- 19.67%
- 1Y
- 40.22%
- 3Y*
- 35.03%
- 5Y*
- 18.61%
- 10Y*
- 24.16%
MSTX vs. SPUU - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
MSTX Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF | -77.66% | -89.06% | 134.05% |
SPUU Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF | 19.67% | 26.55% | 14.31% |
Correlation
The correlation between MSTX and SPUU is 0.48, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.48 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 15, 2024 | 0.46 |
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Return for Risk
MSTX vs. SPUU — Risk / Return Rank
MSTX
SPUU
MSTX vs. SPUU - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF (SPUU). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| MSTX | SPUU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -2.23 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -4.68 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.74 | 1.27 | -0.54 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.99 | 2.17 | -3.16 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.20 | 8.99 | -10.19 |
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Drawdowns
MSTX vs. SPUU - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum MSTX drawdown since its inception was -99.46%, which is greater than SPUU's maximum drawdown of -59.35%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MSTX and SPUU.
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Drawdown Indicators
| MSTX | SPUU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -99.46% | -59.35% | -40.11% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -98.63% | -18.19% | -80.44% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -35.18% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -46.59% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -59.35% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -99.31% | -1.40% | -97.91% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -71.33% | -9.46% | -61.87% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 81.26% | 4.38% | +76.88% |
Volatility
MSTX vs. SPUU - Volatility Comparison
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX) has a higher volatility of 53.40% compared to Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF (SPUU) at 8.62%. This indicates that MSTX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPUU based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| MSTX | SPUU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 53.40% | 8.62% | +44.78% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 122.06% | 20.06% | +102.00% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 147.96% | 25.21% | +122.75% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 168.28% | 33.67% | +134.61% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 168.28% | 35.74% | +132.54% |
MSTX vs. SPUU - Expense Ratio Comparison
MSTX has a 1.29% expense ratio, which is higher than SPUU's 0.60% expense ratio.
Dividends
MSTX vs. SPUU - Dividend Comparison
MSTX has not paid dividends to shareholders, while SPUU's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.31%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSTX Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 41.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPUU Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF | 1.31% | 1.63% | 0.55% | 0.83% | 0.88% | 3.04% | 8.03% | 1.80% | 5.50% | 6.96% | 8.08% | 4.42% |
Frequently Asked Questions
MSTX and SPUU have a correlation of 0.48, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
MSTX has higher volatility (53.40%) compared to SPUU (8.62%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MSTX dropped -99.46% vs SPUU's -59.35%.
On 1-year performance, SPUU leads with 40.22% vs -98.10% for MSTX. On fees, SPUU is cheaper at 0.60% per year. On volatility, SPUU has been the lower-risk option at 8.62%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, SPUU has performed better with a 40.22% return vs -98.10%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
SPUU is cheaper with a 0.60% expense ratio, compared with 1.29% for MSTX.
SPUU has the higher dividend yield at 1.31%, compared with 0.00% for MSTX.
They also come from different issuers: Defiance and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 1.29% for MSTX and 0.60% for SPUU.
SPUU currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.56 vs -0.66), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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