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MSFU vs. SPXS
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

MSFU vs. SPXS - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares (MSFU) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (SPXS). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, MSFU achieves a -40.99% return, which is significantly lower than SPXS's -24.50% return.


MSFU

1D
2.98%
1M
-1.77%
6M
-39.20%
YTD
-40.99%
1Y
-48.71%
3Y*
-7.95%
5Y*
10Y*

SPXS

1D
2.30%
1M
-3.30%
6M
-20.30%
YTD
-24.50%
1Y
-40.89%
3Y*
-39.60%
5Y*
-33.12%
10Y*
-41.27%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

MSFU vs. SPXS - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025202420232022
MSFU
Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares
-40.99%13.36%5.80%83.04%-13.28%
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares
-24.50%-41.53%-42.84%-45.97%-4.50%

Correlation

The correlation between MSFU and SPXS is -0.41, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.41

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

-0.60

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 7, 2022

-0.65

Over the past year, the inverse relationship between MSFU and SPXS has weakened: their correlation has moved from -0.65 to -0.41, meaning they move in opposite directions less often than they have historically.

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Return for Risk

MSFU vs. SPXS — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

MSFU
MSFU Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
MSFU Sharpe Ratio Rank: 22
Sharpe Ratio Rank
MSFU Sortino Ratio Rank: 33
Sortino Ratio Rank
MSFU Omega Ratio Rank: 22
Omega Ratio Rank
MSFU Calmar Ratio Rank: 33
Calmar Ratio Rank
MSFU Martin Ratio Rank: 22
Martin Ratio Rank

SPXS
SPXS Risk / Return Rank: 11
Overall Rank
SPXS Sharpe Ratio Rank: 11
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SPXS Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
Sortino Ratio Rank
SPXS Omega Ratio Rank: 11
Omega Ratio Rank
SPXS Calmar Ratio Rank: 11
Calmar Ratio Rank
SPXS Martin Ratio Rank: 00
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

MSFU vs. SPXS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares (MSFU) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (SPXS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


MSFUSPXSDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.19

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+0.43

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.84

0.82

+0.03

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.78

-0.94

+0.16

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-1.37

-1.64

+0.27

MSFU vs. SPXS - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current MSFU Sharpe Ratio is -0.90, which is comparable to the SPXS Sharpe Ratio of -1.09. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of MSFU and SPXS, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

MSFU vs. SPXS - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum MSFU drawdown since its inception was -62.43%, smaller than the maximum SPXS drawdown of -100.00%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MSFU and SPXS.


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Drawdown Indicators


MSFUSPXSDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-62.43%

-100.00%

+37.57%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-62.43%

-43.64%

-18.79%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-62.43%

-84.13%

+21.70%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-90.11%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-99.56%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-54.32%

-100.00%

+45.68%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-17.52%

-96.30%

+78.78%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

35.61%

24.98%

+10.63%

Volatility

MSFU vs. SPXS - Volatility Comparison

Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares (MSFU) has a higher volatility of 20.77% compared to Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (SPXS) at 12.80%. This indicates that MSFU's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPXS based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


MSFUSPXSDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

20.77%

12.80%

+7.97%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

48.85%

30.04%

+18.81%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

54.11%

37.71%

+16.40%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

47.02%

50.75%

-3.73%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

47.02%

53.52%

-6.50%

MSFU vs. SPXS - Expense Ratio Comparison

MSFU has a 0.98% expense ratio, which is lower than SPXS's 1.08% expense ratio.


Dividends

MSFU vs. SPXS - Dividend Comparison

MSFU's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 12.55%, more than SPXS's 4.50% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018
MSFU
Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares
12.55%8.15%7.00%2.11%0.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares
4.50%4.93%6.18%5.66%0.00%0.00%0.51%1.74%0.58%

Frequently Asked Questions


MSFU and SPXS have a correlation of -0.41, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

MSFU has higher volatility (20.77%) compared to SPXS (12.80%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MSFU dropped -62.43% vs SPXS's -100.00%.

On 3-year performance, MSFU leads with -7.95% vs -39.60% for SPXS. On fees, MSFU is cheaper at 0.98% per year. On volatility, SPXS has been the lower-risk option at 12.80%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 3-year period, MSFU has performed better with a -7.95% return vs -39.60%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

MSFU is cheaper with a 0.98% expense ratio, compared with 1.08% for SPXS.

MSFU has the higher dividend yield at 12.55%, compared with 4.50% for SPXS.

MSFU is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while SPXS is Inverse Equities. MSFU tracks Microsoft Corporation (200%), while SPXS tracks S&P 500 Index (-300%). Their fees differ too: 0.98% for MSFU and 1.08% for SPXS.

MSFU currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.90 vs -1.09), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for MSFU and SPXS

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