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MSFU vs. SPXS
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

MSFU vs. SPXS - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares (MSFU) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (SPXS). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, MSFU achieves a -22.90% return, which is significantly higher than SPXS's -27.08% return.


MSFU

1D
-8.36%
1M
12.13%
YTD
-22.90%
6M
-25.88%
1Y
-21.45%
3Y*
1.80%
5Y*
10Y*

SPXS

1D
-0.39%
1M
-14.03%
YTD
-27.08%
6M
-27.23%
1Y
-50.67%
3Y*
-43.09%
5Y*
-35.40%
10Y*
-42.14%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

MSFU vs. SPXS - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025202420232022
MSFU
Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares
-22.90%13.36%5.80%83.04%-13.28%
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares
-27.08%-41.53%-42.84%-45.97%0.90%

Correlation

The correlation between MSFU and SPXS is -0.45, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.45

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

-0.62

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 8, 2022

-0.67

Over the past year, the inverse relationship between MSFU and SPXS has weakened: their correlation has moved from -0.67 to -0.45, meaning they move in opposite directions less often than they have historically.

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Return for Risk

MSFU vs. SPXS — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

MSFU
MSFU Risk / Return Rank: 55
Overall Rank
MSFU Sharpe Ratio Rank: 55
Sharpe Ratio Rank
MSFU Sortino Ratio Rank: 55
Sortino Ratio Rank
MSFU Omega Ratio Rank: 55
Omega Ratio Rank
MSFU Calmar Ratio Rank: 55
Calmar Ratio Rank
MSFU Martin Ratio Rank: 55
Martin Ratio Rank

SPXS
SPXS Risk / Return Rank: 00
Overall Rank
SPXS Sharpe Ratio Rank: 00
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SPXS Sortino Ratio Rank: 00
Sortino Ratio Rank
SPXS Omega Ratio Rank: 00
Omega Ratio Rank
SPXS Calmar Ratio Rank: 00
Calmar Ratio Rank
SPXS Martin Ratio Rank: 00
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

MSFU vs. SPXS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares (MSFU) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (SPXS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


MSFUSPXSDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

-0.43

-1.43

+1.00

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

-0.30

-2.45

+2.14

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

0.96

0.74

+0.22

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

-0.35

-1.01

+0.67

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

-0.67

-1.72

+1.05

MSFU vs. SPXS - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current MSFU Sharpe Ratio is -0.43, which is higher than the SPXS Sharpe Ratio of -1.43. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of MSFU and SPXS, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


MSFUSPXSDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.43

-1.43

+1.00

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.71

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.79

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.24

-0.84

+1.07

Drawdowns

MSFU vs. SPXS - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum MSFU drawdown since its inception was -59.83%, smaller than the maximum SPXS drawdown of -100.00%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MSFU and SPXS.


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Drawdown Indicators


MSFUSPXSDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-59.83%

-100.00%

+40.17%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-59.83%

-50.77%

-9.06%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-59.83%

-84.13%

+24.30%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-90.11%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-99.63%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-40.32%

-100.00%

+59.68%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-16.48%

-96.30%

+79.82%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

30.83%

29.88%

+0.95%

Volatility

MSFU vs. SPXS - Volatility Comparison

Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares (MSFU) has a higher volatility of 18.49% compared to Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (SPXS) at 8.20%. This indicates that MSFU's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPXS based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


MSFUSPXSDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

18.49%

8.20%

+10.29%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

44.94%

26.76%

+18.18%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

49.77%

35.48%

+14.29%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

46.23%

50.38%

-4.15%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

46.23%

53.55%

-7.32%

MSFU vs. SPXS - Expense Ratio Comparison

MSFU has a 1.04% expense ratio, which is lower than SPXS's 1.08% expense ratio.


Dividends

MSFU vs. SPXS - Dividend Comparison

MSFU's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 10.26%, more than SPXS's 5.02% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018
MSFU
Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares
10.26%8.15%7.00%2.11%0.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares
5.02%4.93%6.18%5.66%0.00%0.00%0.51%1.74%0.58%

Frequently Asked Questions


MSFU and SPXS have a correlation of -0.45, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

MSFU has higher volatility (18.49%) compared to SPXS (8.20%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MSFU dropped -59.83% vs SPXS's -100.00%.

On 3-year performance, MSFU leads with 1.80% vs -43.09% for SPXS. On fees, MSFU is cheaper at 1.04% per year. On volatility, SPXS has been the lower-risk option at 8.20%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 3-year period, MSFU has performed better with a 1.80% return vs -43.09%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

MSFU is cheaper with a 1.04% expense ratio, compared with 1.08% for SPXS.

MSFU has the higher dividend yield at 10.26%, compared with 5.02% for SPXS.

MSFU is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while SPXS is Inverse Equities. MSFU tracks Microsoft Corporation (150%), while SPXS tracks S&P 500 Index (-300%). Their fees differ too: 1.04% for MSFU and 1.08% for SPXS.

MSFU currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.43 vs -1.43), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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