MSFD vs. SPXS
MSFD (Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares) and SPXS (Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares) are both Inverse Equities funds from Direxion - MSFD tracks the Microsoft Corporation (-100%) while SPXS tracks the S&P 500 Index (-300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 3 years, MSFD returned -3.82%/yr vs -39.60%/yr for SPXS. A 0.65 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. MSFD charges 1.06%/yr vs 1.08%/yr for SPXS.
Performance
MSFD vs. SPXS - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, MSFD achieves a 19.79% return, which is significantly higher than SPXS's -24.50% return.
MSFD
- 1D
- -1.53%
- 1M
- -0.73%
- 6M
- 18.10%
- YTD
- 19.79%
- 1Y
- 25.82%
- 3Y*
- -3.82%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
SPXS
- 1D
- 2.30%
- 1M
- -3.30%
- 6M
- -20.30%
- YTD
- -24.50%
- 1Y
- -40.89%
- 3Y*
- -39.60%
- 5Y*
- -33.12%
- 10Y*
- -41.27%
MSFD vs. SPXS - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSFD Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares | 19.79% | -13.36% | -7.86% | -35.90% | 3.88% |
SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares | -24.50% | -41.53% | -42.84% | -45.97% | -4.50% |
Correlation
The correlation between MSFD and SPXS is 0.40, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.40 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.60 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 7, 2022 | 0.65 |
Over the past year, the correlation between MSFD and SPXS has dropped to 0.40 - well below their long-term average of 0.65, suggesting their price drivers have been diverging.
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Return for Risk
MSFD vs. SPXS — Risk / Return Rank
MSFD
SPXS
MSFD vs. SPXS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (SPXS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| MSFD | SPXS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +2.04 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +3.20 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.19 | 0.82 | +0.38 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.12 | -0.94 | +2.06 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 3.58 | -1.64 | +5.22 |
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Drawdowns
MSFD vs. SPXS - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum MSFD drawdown since its inception was -59.90%, smaller than the maximum SPXS drawdown of -100.00%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MSFD and SPXS.
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Drawdown Indicators
| MSFD | SPXS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -59.90% | -100.00% | +40.10% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -23.25% | -43.64% | +20.39% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -40.50% | -84.13% | +43.63% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -90.11% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -99.56% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -45.97% | -100.00% | +54.03% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -41.64% | -96.30% | +54.66% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 7.23% | 24.98% | -17.75% |
Volatility
MSFD vs. SPXS - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD) is 10.57%, while Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (SPXS) has a volatility of 12.80%. This indicates that MSFD experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than SPXS based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| MSFD | SPXS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 10.57% | 12.80% | -2.23% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 23.99% | 30.04% | -6.05% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 27.34% | 37.71% | -10.37% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 26.39% | 50.75% | -24.36% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 26.39% | 53.52% | -27.13% |
MSFD vs. SPXS - Expense Ratio Comparison
MSFD has a 1.06% expense ratio, which is lower than SPXS's 1.08% expense ratio.
Dividends
MSFD vs. SPXS - Dividend Comparison
MSFD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.30%, less than SPXS's 4.50% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSFD Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares | 3.30% | 3.33% | 4.46% | 4.43% | 0.74% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares | 4.50% | 4.93% | 6.18% | 5.66% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.51% | 1.74% | 0.58% |
Frequently Asked Questions
MSFD and SPXS have a correlation of 0.40, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
SPXS has higher volatility (12.80%) compared to MSFD (10.57%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MSFD dropped -59.90% vs SPXS's -100.00%.
On 3-year performance, MSFD leads with -3.82% vs -39.60% for SPXS. On fees, MSFD is cheaper at 1.06% per year. On volatility, MSFD has been the lower-risk option at 10.57%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 3-year period, MSFD has performed better with a -3.82% return vs -39.60%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
MSFD is cheaper with a 1.06% expense ratio, compared with 1.08% for SPXS.
SPXS has the higher dividend yield at 4.50%, compared with 3.30% for MSFD.
MSFD tracks Microsoft Corporation (-100%), while SPXS tracks S&P 500 Index (-300%). Their fees differ too: 1.06% for MSFD and 1.08% for SPXS.
MSFD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.95 vs -1.09), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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