MSFD vs. NVDU
MSFD (Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares) and NVDU (Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - MSFD is a Inverse Equities fund tracking the Microsoft Corporation (-100%), while NVDU is a Leveraged Equities fund actively managed by Direxion. MSFD is passively managed, while NVDU is actively managed. Over the past year, MSFD returned 26.45% vs 51.92% for NVDU. At a correlation of -0.50, they often move in opposite directions. MSFD charges 1.06%/yr vs 1.04%/yr for NVDU.
Performance
MSFD vs. NVDU - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, MSFD achieves a 24.19% return, which is significantly higher than NVDU's 2.08% return.
MSFD
- 1D
- -3.08%
- 1M
- 9.58%
- YTD
- 24.19%
- 6M
- 25.23%
- 1Y
- 26.45%
- 3Y*
- -3.55%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
NVDU
- 1D
- -8.71%
- 1M
- -16.05%
- YTD
- 2.08%
- 6M
- -1.18%
- 1Y
- 51.92%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
MSFD vs. NVDU - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
MSFD Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares | 24.19% | -13.36% | -7.86% | -10.86% |
NVDU Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares ETF | 2.08% | 33.65% | 289.29% | 12.08% |
Correlation
The correlation between MSFD and NVDU is -0.40, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.40 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 13, 2023 | -0.50 |
The correlation between MSFD and NVDU has been stable across timeframes, ranging from -0.50 to -0.40 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
MSFD vs. NVDU — Risk / Return Rank
MSFD
NVDU
MSFD vs. NVDU - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD) and Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares ETF (NVDU). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| MSFD | NVDU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.27 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.23 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.20 | 1.17 | +0.04 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.14 | 1.23 | -0.09 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 3.69 | 2.70 | +0.99 |
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Drawdowns
MSFD vs. NVDU - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum MSFD drawdown since its inception was -59.90%, smaller than the maximum NVDU drawdown of -67.27%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MSFD and NVDU.
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Drawdown Indicators
| MSFD | NVDU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -59.90% | -67.27% | +7.37% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -23.25% | -42.27% | +19.02% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -40.50% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -43.99% | -30.48% | -13.51% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -41.61% | -18.91% | -22.70% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 7.35% | 19.30% | -11.95% |
Volatility
MSFD vs. NVDU - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD) is 11.74%, while Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares ETF (NVDU) has a volatility of 26.33%. This indicates that MSFD experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than NVDU based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| MSFD | NVDU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 11.74% | 26.33% | -14.59% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 22.81% | 53.28% | -30.47% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 26.33% | 70.48% | -44.15% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 26.27% | 91.03% | -64.76% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 26.27% | 91.03% | -64.76% |
MSFD vs. NVDU - Expense Ratio Comparison
MSFD has a 1.06% expense ratio, which is higher than NVDU's 1.04% expense ratio.
Dividends
MSFD vs. NVDU - Dividend Comparison
MSFD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.52%, less than NVDU's 5.68% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSFD Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares | 2.52% | 3.33% | 4.46% | 4.43% | 0.74% |
NVDU Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares ETF | 5.68% | 5.68% | 16.85% | 0.63% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
MSFD and NVDU have a correlation of -0.40, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
NVDU has higher volatility (26.33%) compared to MSFD (11.74%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MSFD dropped -59.90% vs NVDU's -67.27%.
On 1-year performance, NVDU leads with 51.92% vs 26.45% for MSFD. On fees, NVDU is cheaper at 1.04% per year. On volatility, MSFD has been the lower-risk option at 11.74%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, NVDU has performed better with a 51.92% return vs 26.45%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
NVDU is cheaper with a 1.04% expense ratio, compared with 1.06% for MSFD.
NVDU has the higher dividend yield at 5.68%, compared with 2.52% for MSFD.
MSFD is categorized as Inverse Equities, while NVDU is Leveraged Equities. Their fees differ too: 1.06% for MSFD and 1.04% for NVDU.
MSFD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.01 vs 0.74), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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