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IBTP vs. UCO
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

IBTP vs. UCO - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in iShares iBonds Dec 2034 Term Treasury ETF (IBTP) and ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (UCO). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, IBTP achieves a -0.59% return, which is significantly lower than UCO's 149.12% return.


IBTP

1D
-0.24%
1M
-0.12%
YTD
-0.59%
6M
-1.11%
1Y
4.34%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*

UCO

1D
2.71%
1M
-4.64%
YTD
149.12%
6M
137.09%
1Y
120.48%
3Y*
25.90%
5Y*
22.16%
10Y*
-11.31%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

IBTP vs. UCO - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
IBTP
iShares iBonds Dec 2034 Term Treasury ETF
-0.59%8.16%0.42%
UCO
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil
149.12%-29.75%-12.34%

Correlation

The correlation between IBTP and UCO is -0.40, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.40

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 13, 2024

-0.29

The correlation between IBTP and UCO shifts across timeframes, from -0.40 (1 year) to -0.29 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

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Return for Risk

IBTP vs. UCO — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

IBTP
IBTP Risk / Return Rank: 2525
Overall Rank
IBTP Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2626
Sharpe Ratio Rank
IBTP Sortino Ratio Rank: 2626
Sortino Ratio Rank
IBTP Omega Ratio Rank: 2424
Omega Ratio Rank
IBTP Calmar Ratio Rank: 2424
Calmar Ratio Rank
IBTP Martin Ratio Rank: 2525
Martin Ratio Rank

UCO
UCO Risk / Return Rank: 5454
Overall Rank
UCO Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6262
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UCO Sortino Ratio Rank: 5050
Sortino Ratio Rank
UCO Omega Ratio Rank: 5050
Omega Ratio Rank
UCO Calmar Ratio Rank: 6969
Calmar Ratio Rank
UCO Martin Ratio Rank: 4141
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

IBTP vs. UCO - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for iShares iBonds Dec 2034 Term Treasury ETF (IBTP) and ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (UCO). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


IBTPUCODifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-1.21

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-1.08

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.16

1.32

-0.16

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

1.09

3.49

-2.39

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

3.25

6.60

-3.35

IBTP vs. UCO - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current IBTP Sharpe Ratio is 0.91, which is lower than the UCO Sharpe Ratio of 2.12. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of IBTP and UCO, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


IBTPUCODifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.91

2.12

-1.21

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.37

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.16

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.67

-0.34

+1.01

Drawdowns

IBTP vs. UCO - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum IBTP drawdown since its inception was -7.40%, smaller than the maximum UCO drawdown of -99.95%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for IBTP and UCO.


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Drawdown Indicators


IBTPUCODifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-7.40%

-99.95%

+92.55%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-3.99%

-34.77%

+30.78%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-50.38%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-67.24%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-98.75%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-2.77%

-99.23%

+96.46%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-2.11%

-85.49%

+83.38%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.34%

18.33%

-16.99%

Volatility

IBTP vs. UCO - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for iShares iBonds Dec 2034 Term Treasury ETF (IBTP) is 1.49%, while ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (UCO) has a volatility of 20.83%. This indicates that IBTP experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than UCO based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


IBTPUCODifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

1.49%

20.83%

-19.34%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

3.27%

46.44%

-43.17%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

4.77%

57.11%

-52.34%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

5.96%

59.78%

-53.82%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

5.96%

71.36%

-65.40%

IBTP vs. UCO - Expense Ratio Comparison

IBTP has a 0.07% expense ratio, which is lower than UCO's 0.95% expense ratio.


Dividends

IBTP vs. UCO - Dividend Comparison

IBTP's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.05%, while UCO has not paid dividends to shareholders.


PositionTTM20252024
IBTP
iShares iBonds Dec 2034 Term Treasury ETF
4.05%3.92%1.78%
UCO
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil
0.00%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


IBTP and UCO have a correlation of -0.40, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

UCO has higher volatility (20.83%) compared to IBTP (1.49%). In terms of maximum drawdown, IBTP dropped -7.40% vs UCO's -99.95%.

On 1-year performance, UCO leads with 120.48% vs 4.34% for IBTP. On fees, IBTP is cheaper at 0.07% per year. On volatility, IBTP has been the lower-risk option at 1.49%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, UCO has performed better with a 120.48% return vs 4.34%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

IBTP is cheaper with a 0.07% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for UCO.

IBTP has the higher dividend yield at 4.05%, compared with 0.00% for UCO.

IBTP is categorized as Government Bonds, while UCO is Leveraged Commodities. IBTP tracks ICE 2034 Maturity US Treasury Index, while UCO tracks Dow Jones-UBS Crude Oil Sub-Index (200%). They also come from different issuers: iShares and ProShares. Their fees differ too: 0.07% for IBTP and 0.95% for UCO.

UCO currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.12 vs 0.91), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for IBTP and UCO

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