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HCMT vs. PSMD
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

HCMT vs. PSMD - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF (HCMT) and Pacer Swan SOS Moderate (December) ETF (PSMD). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, HCMT achieves a 11.17% return, which is significantly higher than PSMD's 5.54% return.


HCMT

1D
-0.89%
1M
14.82%
YTD
11.17%
6M
9.27%
1Y
43.14%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*

PSMD

1D
-0.11%
1M
2.03%
YTD
5.54%
6M
6.22%
1Y
15.08%
3Y*
12.73%
5Y*
9.26%
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

HCMT vs. PSMD - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023
HCMT
Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF
11.17%7.39%39.14%5.67%
PSMD
Pacer Swan SOS Moderate (December) ETF
5.54%11.45%12.78%6.58%

Correlation

The correlation between HCMT and PSMD is 0.83, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.83

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 23, 2023

0.80

The correlation between HCMT and PSMD has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.80 to 0.83 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

HCMT vs. PSMD — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

HCMT
HCMT Risk / Return Rank: 4949
Overall Rank
HCMT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5252
Sharpe Ratio Rank
HCMT Sortino Ratio Rank: 4646
Sortino Ratio Rank
HCMT Omega Ratio Rank: 4848
Omega Ratio Rank
HCMT Calmar Ratio Rank: 5757
Calmar Ratio Rank
HCMT Martin Ratio Rank: 4444
Martin Ratio Rank

PSMD
PSMD Risk / Return Rank: 8383
Overall Rank
PSMD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8383
Sharpe Ratio Rank
PSMD Sortino Ratio Rank: 8888
Sortino Ratio Rank
PSMD Omega Ratio Rank: 8989
Omega Ratio Rank
PSMD Calmar Ratio Rank: 6969
Calmar Ratio Rank
PSMD Martin Ratio Rank: 8686
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

HCMT vs. PSMD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF (HCMT) and Pacer Swan SOS Moderate (December) ETF (PSMD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


HCMTPSMDDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.90

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-1.69

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.31

1.56

-0.26

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.84

3.43

-0.59

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

7.19

18.22

-11.03

HCMT vs. PSMD - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current HCMT Sharpe Ratio is 1.79, which is lower than the PSMD Sharpe Ratio of 2.70. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of HCMT and PSMD, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


HCMTPSMDDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

1.79

2.70

-0.90

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

1.08

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.74

1.17

-0.43

Drawdowns

HCMT vs. PSMD - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum HCMT drawdown since its inception was -36.26%, which is greater than PSMD's maximum drawdown of -11.96%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HCMT and PSMD.


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Drawdown Indicators


HCMTPSMDDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-36.26%

-11.96%

-24.30%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-15.27%

-4.42%

-10.85%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-10.70%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-11.96%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-0.89%

-0.12%

-0.77%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-8.24%

-1.66%

-6.58%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

6.01%

0.83%

+5.18%

Volatility

HCMT vs. PSMD - Volatility Comparison

Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF (HCMT) has a higher volatility of 5.80% compared to Pacer Swan SOS Moderate (December) ETF (PSMD) at 0.85%. This indicates that HCMT's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than PSMD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


HCMTPSMDDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

5.80%

0.85%

+4.95%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

16.58%

4.42%

+12.16%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

24.21%

5.62%

+18.59%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

28.48%

8.60%

+19.88%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

28.48%

8.47%

+20.01%

HCMT vs. PSMD - Expense Ratio Comparison

HCMT has a 1.17% expense ratio, which is higher than PSMD's 0.75% expense ratio.


Dividends

HCMT vs. PSMD - Dividend Comparison

HCMT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.38%, while PSMD has not paid dividends to shareholders.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021
HCMT
Direxion HCM Tactical Enhanced U.S. Equity Strategy ETF
0.38%0.43%2.75%0.63%0.00%0.00%
PSMD
Pacer Swan SOS Moderate (December) ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.47%

Frequently Asked Questions


HCMT and PSMD have a correlation of 0.83, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

HCMT has higher volatility (5.80%) compared to PSMD (0.85%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HCMT dropped -36.26% vs PSMD's -11.96%.

On 1-year performance, HCMT leads with 43.14% vs 15.08% for PSMD. On fees, PSMD is cheaper at 0.75% per year. On volatility, PSMD has been the lower-risk option at 0.85%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, HCMT has performed better with a 43.14% return vs 15.08%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

PSMD is cheaper with a 0.75% expense ratio, compared with 1.17% for HCMT.

HCMT has the higher dividend yield at 0.38%, compared with 0.00% for PSMD.

They also come from different issuers: Direxion and Pacer. Their fees differ too: 1.17% for HCMT and 0.75% for PSMD.

PSMD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.70 vs 1.79), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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