FFLS vs. USO
FFLS (The Future Fund Long/Short ETF) and USO (United States Oil Fund LP) are both exchange-traded funds - FFLS is a Long-Short fund actively managed by The Future Fund, while USO is a Oil & Gas fund tracking the Front Month Light Sweet Crude Oil. FFLS is actively managed, while USO is passively managed. Over the past 3 years, FFLS returned 8.72%/yr vs 21.22%/yr for USO. At a correlation of -0.04, they often move in opposite directions. FFLS charges 1.75%/yr vs 0.86%/yr for USO.
Performance
FFLS vs. USO - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, FFLS achieves a -0.46% return, which is significantly lower than USO's 73.76% return.
FFLS
- 1D
- 0.68%
- 1M
- 2.83%
- 6M
- -2.74%
- YTD
- -0.46%
- 1Y
- -2.03%
- 3Y*
- 8.72%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
USO
- 1D
- 2.02%
- 1M
- -4.19%
- 6M
- 63.54%
- YTD
- 73.76%
- 1Y
- 58.91%
- 3Y*
- 21.22%
- 5Y*
- 19.63%
- 10Y*
- 3.17%
FFLS vs. USO - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
FFLS The Future Fund Long/Short ETF | -0.46% | 7.49% | 17.71% | 0.79% |
USO United States Oil Fund LP | 73.76% | -8.46% | 13.35% | 4.27% |
Correlation
The correlation between FFLS and USO is -0.25, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.25 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.04 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 21, 2023 | -0.04 |
Over the past year, the inverse relationship between FFLS and USO has strengthened: their correlation has moved from -0.04 to -0.25, meaning they now move in opposite directions more often than their long-term average.
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Return for Risk
FFLS vs. USO — Risk / Return Rank
FFLS
USO
FFLS vs. USO - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for The Future Fund Long/Short ETF (FFLS) and United States Oil Fund LP (USO). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| FFLS | USO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.53 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.21 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.97 | 1.25 | -0.27 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.18 | 1.82 | -2.01 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.37 | 4.88 | -5.25 |
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Drawdowns
FFLS vs. USO - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum FFLS drawdown since its inception was -11.05%, smaller than the maximum USO drawdown of -98.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for FFLS and USO.
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Drawdown Indicators
| FFLS | USO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -11.05% | -98.19% | +87.14% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -11.05% | -32.49% | +21.44% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -11.05% | -32.49% | +21.44% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -36.23% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -86.75% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -5.15% | -87.21% | +82.06% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -3.20% | -75.35% | +72.15% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 5.42% | 12.11% | -6.69% |
Volatility
FFLS vs. USO - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for The Future Fund Long/Short ETF (FFLS) is 3.77%, while United States Oil Fund LP (USO) has a volatility of 14.67%. This indicates that FFLS experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than USO based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| FFLS | USO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 3.77% | 14.67% | -10.90% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 8.14% | 40.75% | -32.61% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 9.83% | 44.93% | -35.10% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 11.38% | 36.68% | -25.30% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 11.38% | 39.08% | -27.70% |
FFLS vs. USO - Expense Ratio Comparison
FFLS has a 1.75% expense ratio, which is higher than USO's 0.86% expense ratio.
Dividends
FFLS vs. USO - Dividend Comparison
FFLS's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 6.61%, while USO has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
FFLS The Future Fund Long/Short ETF | 6.61% | 6.58% | 3.34% |
USO United States Oil Fund LP | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
FFLS and USO have a correlation of -0.25, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
USO has higher volatility (14.67%) compared to FFLS (3.77%). In terms of maximum drawdown, FFLS dropped -11.05% vs USO's -98.19%.
On 3-year performance, USO leads with 21.22% vs 8.72% for FFLS. On fees, USO is cheaper at 0.86% per year. On volatility, FFLS has been the lower-risk option at 3.77%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 3-year period, USO has performed better with a 21.22% return vs 8.72%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
USO is cheaper with a 0.86% expense ratio, compared with 1.75% for FFLS.
FFLS has the higher dividend yield at 6.61%, compared with 0.00% for USO.
FFLS is categorized as Long-Short, while USO is Oil & Gas. They also come from different issuers: The Future Fund and USCF. Their fees differ too: 1.75% for FFLS and 0.86% for USO.
USO currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.32 vs -0.21), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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