FFLS vs. USO
FFLS (The Future Fund Long/Short ETF) and USO (United States Oil Fund LP) are both exchange-traded funds - FFLS is a Long-Short fund actively managed by The Future Fund, while USO is a Oil & Gas fund tracking the Front Month Light Sweet Crude Oil. FFLS is actively managed, while USO is passively managed. Over the past 3 years, FFLS returned 8.23%/yr vs 21.25%/yr for USO. At a correlation of -0.04, they often move in opposite directions. FFLS charges 1.75%/yr vs 0.86%/yr for USO.
Performance
FFLS vs. USO - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, FFLS achieves a -2.39% return, which is significantly lower than USO's 60.87% return.
FFLS
- 1D
- -0.79%
- 1M
- -0.64%
- YTD
- -2.39%
- 6M
- -2.29%
- 1Y
- -2.63%
- 3Y*
- 8.23%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
USO
- 1D
- -1.27%
- 1M
- -21.05%
- YTD
- 60.87%
- 6M
- 58.26%
- 1Y
- 45.61%
- 3Y*
- 21.25%
- 5Y*
- 17.42%
- 10Y*
- 2.01%
FFLS vs. USO - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
FFLS The Future Fund Long/Short ETF | -2.39% | 7.49% | 17.71% | 0.79% |
USO United States Oil Fund LP | 60.87% | -8.46% | 13.35% | 4.27% |
Correlation
The correlation between FFLS and USO is -0.25, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.25 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.03 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 21, 2023 | -0.04 |
Over the past year, the inverse relationship between FFLS and USO has strengthened: their correlation has moved from -0.04 to -0.25, meaning they now move in opposite directions more often than their long-term average.
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Return for Risk
FFLS vs. USO — Risk / Return Rank
FFLS
USO
FFLS vs. USO - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for The Future Fund Long/Short ETF (FFLS) and United States Oil Fund LP (USO). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| FFLS | USO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.32 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.00 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.96 | 1.21 | -0.25 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.24 | 1.68 | -1.92 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.50 | 4.57 | -5.07 |
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Drawdowns
FFLS vs. USO - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum FFLS drawdown since its inception was -11.05%, smaller than the maximum USO drawdown of -98.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for FFLS and USO.
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Drawdown Indicators
| FFLS | USO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -11.05% | -98.19% | +87.14% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -11.05% | -27.26% | +16.21% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -11.05% | -27.26% | +16.21% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -36.23% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -86.75% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -6.99% | -88.16% | +81.17% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -3.17% | -75.31% | +72.14% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 5.30% | 10.02% | -4.72% |
Volatility
FFLS vs. USO - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for The Future Fund Long/Short ETF (FFLS) is 4.42%, while United States Oil Fund LP (USO) has a volatility of 11.79%. This indicates that FFLS experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than USO based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| FFLS | USO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 4.42% | 11.79% | -7.37% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 7.92% | 39.34% | -31.42% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 9.68% | 44.35% | -34.67% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 11.40% | 36.32% | -24.92% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 11.40% | 39.02% | -27.62% |
FFLS vs. USO - Expense Ratio Comparison
FFLS has a 1.75% expense ratio, which is higher than USO's 0.86% expense ratio.
Dividends
FFLS vs. USO - Dividend Comparison
FFLS's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 6.74%, while USO has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
FFLS The Future Fund Long/Short ETF | 6.74% | 6.58% | 3.34% |
USO United States Oil Fund LP | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
FFLS and USO have a correlation of -0.25, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
USO has higher volatility (11.79%) compared to FFLS (4.42%). In terms of maximum drawdown, FFLS dropped -11.05% vs USO's -98.19%.
On 3-year performance, USO leads with 21.25% vs 8.23% for FFLS. On fees, USO is cheaper at 0.86% per year. On volatility, FFLS has been the lower-risk option at 4.42%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 3-year period, USO has performed better with a 21.25% return vs 8.23%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
USO is cheaper with a 0.86% expense ratio, compared with 1.75% for FFLS.
FFLS has the higher dividend yield at 6.74%, compared with 0.00% for USO.
FFLS is categorized as Long-Short, while USO is Oil & Gas. They also come from different issuers: The Future Fund and USCF. Their fees differ too: 1.75% for FFLS and 0.86% for USO.
USO currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.05 vs -0.27), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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