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FCTE vs. USPX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

FCTE vs. USPX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) and Franklin U.S. Equity Index ETF (USPX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, FCTE achieves a 8.91% return, which is significantly higher than USPX's 8.24% return.


FCTE

1D
-0.88%
1M
-0.24%
YTD
8.91%
6M
7.45%
1Y
2.91%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*

USPX

1D
-2.63%
1M
0.61%
YTD
8.24%
6M
7.76%
1Y
25.33%
3Y*
21.51%
5Y*
11.90%
10Y*
12.40%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

FCTE vs. USPX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
FCTE
SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF
8.91%-3.80%5.47%
USPX
Franklin U.S. Equity Index ETF
8.24%17.78%7.94%

Correlation

The correlation between FCTE and USPX is 0.67, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.67

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 3, 2024

0.77

The correlation between FCTE and USPX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.67 to 0.77 - a consistent structural relationship.

FCTE vs. USPX - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
FCTE
USPX

Technology

44.1%
35.4%

Healthcare

21.8%
8.6%

Industrials

13.8%
8.4%

Consumer Cyclical

9.3%
10.1%

Communication Services

6.1%
11.5%

Consumer Defensive

4.8%
4.8%

Basic Materials

-

1.7%

Energy

-

3.6%

Financial Services

-

11.8%

Real Estate

-

1.8%

Utilities

-

2.3%

Technology

FCTE
44.1%
USPX
35.4%

Healthcare

FCTE
21.8%
USPX
8.6%

Industrials

FCTE
13.8%
USPX
8.4%

Consumer Cyclical

FCTE
9.3%
USPX
10.1%

Communication Services

FCTE
6.1%
USPX
11.5%

Consumer Defensive

FCTE
4.8%
USPX
4.8%

Basic Materials

FCTE

-

USPX
1.7%

Energy

FCTE

-

USPX
3.6%

Financial Services

FCTE

-

USPX
11.8%

Real Estate

FCTE

-

USPX
1.8%

Utilities

FCTE

-

USPX
2.3%

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Return for Risk

FCTE vs. USPX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

FCTE
FCTE Risk / Return Rank: 1212
Overall Rank
FCTE Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1212
Sharpe Ratio Rank
FCTE Sortino Ratio Rank: 1212
Sortino Ratio Rank
FCTE Omega Ratio Rank: 1212
Omega Ratio Rank
FCTE Calmar Ratio Rank: 1212
Calmar Ratio Rank
FCTE Martin Ratio Rank: 1212
Martin Ratio Rank

USPX
USPX Risk / Return Rank: 6565
Overall Rank
USPX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6666
Sharpe Ratio Rank
USPX Sortino Ratio Rank: 6363
Sortino Ratio Rank
USPX Omega Ratio Rank: 6565
Omega Ratio Rank
USPX Calmar Ratio Rank: 5959
Calmar Ratio Rank
USPX Martin Ratio Rank: 7171
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

FCTE vs. USPX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) and Franklin U.S. Equity Index ETF (USPX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


FCTEUSPXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-1.86

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-2.40

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.05

1.37

-0.33

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.23

2.78

-2.55

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

0.63

12.63

-12.00

FCTE vs. USPX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current FCTE Sharpe Ratio is 0.20, which is lower than the USPX Sharpe Ratio of 2.06. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of FCTE and USPX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


FCTEUSPXDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.20

2.06

-1.86

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.74

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.78

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.29

0.78

-0.50

Drawdowns

FCTE vs. USPX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum FCTE drawdown since its inception was -19.68%, smaller than the maximum USPX drawdown of -31.21%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for FCTE and USPX.


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Drawdown Indicators


FCTEUSPXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-19.68%

-31.21%

+11.53%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-12.85%

-9.15%

-3.70%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-19.21%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-24.60%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-31.21%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-3.10%

-2.90%

-0.20%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-6.01%

-4.44%

-1.57%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

4.66%

2.01%

+2.65%

Volatility

FCTE vs. USPX - Volatility Comparison

SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) and Franklin U.S. Equity Index ETF (USPX) have volatilities of 3.77% and 3.80%, respectively, indicating that both stocks experience similar levels of price fluctuations. This suggests that the risk associated with both stocks, as measured by volatility, is nearly the same. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


FCTEUSPXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.77%

3.80%

-0.03%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

12.35%

9.57%

+2.78%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

14.99%

12.39%

+2.60%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

18.68%

16.21%

+2.47%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

18.68%

15.94%

+2.74%

FCTE vs. USPX - Expense Ratio Comparison

FCTE has a 0.85% expense ratio, which is higher than USPX's 0.03% expense ratio.


Dividends

FCTE vs. USPX - Dividend Comparison

FCTE's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.08%, less than USPX's 1.06% yield.


PositionTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
FCTE
SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF
0.08%0.18%0.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
USPX
Franklin U.S. Equity Index ETF
1.06%1.07%1.23%1.35%2.21%2.40%2.51%3.07%2.91%2.60%4.89%

Frequently Asked Questions


FCTE and USPX have a correlation of 0.67, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

USPX has higher volatility (3.80%) compared to FCTE (3.77%). In terms of maximum drawdown, FCTE dropped -19.68% vs USPX's -31.21%.

On 1-year performance, USPX leads with 25.33% vs 2.91% for FCTE. On fees, USPX is cheaper at 0.03% per year. Their volatility is very similar. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, USPX has performed better with a 25.33% return vs 2.91%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

USPX is cheaper with a 0.03% expense ratio, compared with 0.85% for FCTE.

USPX has the higher dividend yield at 1.06%, compared with 0.08% for FCTE.

They also come from different issuers: SMI 3Fourteen and Franklin Templeton. Their fees differ too: 0.85% for FCTE and 0.03% for USPX.

USPX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.06 vs 0.20), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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