FCTE vs. BITI

Last updated Aug 2, 2026

FCTE (SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF) and BITI (ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - FCTE is a Large Cap Blend Equities fund actively managed by SMI 3Fourteen, while BITI is a Cryptocurrency fund tracking the Bloomberg Bitcoin Index. FCTE is actively managed, while BITI is passively managed. Over the past year, FCTE returned 13.55% vs 58.64% for BITI. Their -0.27 correlation means they have often moved in opposite directions in the past. FCTE charges 0.85%/yr vs 1.03%/yr for BITI.

Performance

FCTE vs. BITI - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) and ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF (BITI). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, FCTE achieves a 16.87% return, which is significantly lower than BITI's 27.11% return.

FCTE

• 1D: 1.22%
• 1M: 0.54%
• 6M: 9.25%
• YTD: 16.87%
• 1Y: 13.55%
• 3Y*: —
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —
• ALL TIME*: 8.91%

BITI

• 1D: 3.01%
• 1M: -2.58%
• 6M: 22.77%
• YTD: 27.11%
• 1Y: 58.64%
• 3Y*: -31.77%
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —
• ALL TIME*: -35.65%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Liquidity Comparison

Position	Avg. Volume Value (2W)	Avg. Volume Value (1M)	Avg. Volume Value (3M)
BITI ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF	$24.10M	$26.49M	$38.71M
FCTE SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF	$395.29K	$768.22K	$634.95K

FCTE vs. BITI - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024
FCTE SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF	16.87%	-3.80%	6.19%
BITI ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF	27.11%	-1.76%	-39.21%

Correlation

The correlation between FCTE and BITI is -0.24, meaning they have often moved in opposite directions in the past. This relationship can weaken or reverse as market conditions change.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most.	-0.24
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 2, 2024	-0.27

Return for Risk

FCTE vs. BITI — Risk / Return Rank

Compare historical risk-adjusted metric ranks over the past 12 months.

FCTE

FCTE Risk / Return Rank: 32
FCTE Sharpe Ratio Rank: 33
FCTE Sortino Ratio Rank: 33
FCTE Omega Ratio Rank: 31
FCTE Calmar Ratio Rank: 30
FCTE Martin Ratio Rank: 31

BITI

BITI Risk / Return Rank: 61
BITI Sharpe Ratio Rank: 63
BITI Sortino Ratio Rank: 60
BITI Omega Ratio Rank: 55
BITI Calmar Ratio Rank: 73
BITI Martin Ratio Rank: 53

The rank (0–100) uses a weighted average of the Sharpe, Sortino, Omega, Calmar, and Martin percentile ranks for the trailing 12 months. Higher means stronger historical risk-adjusted performance within the peer group.

FCTE vs. BITI - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) and ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF (BITI). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	FCTE	BITI	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	0.82	1.45	-0.63
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	1.26	2.02	-0.76
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.15	1.24	-0.09
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	0.97	2.53	-1.56
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	2.74	6.17	-3.43

FCTE vs. BITI - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current FCTE Sharpe Ratio is 0.82, which is lower than the BITI Sharpe Ratio of 1.45. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of FCTE and BITI, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

FCTE vs. BITI - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum FCTE drawdown since its inception was -19.68%, smaller than the maximum BITI drawdown of -92.16%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for FCTE and BITI.

Drawdown Indicators

	FCTE	BITI	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-19.68%	-92.16%	+72.48%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-12.85%	-25.28%	+12.43%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	—	-84.63%	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-0.37%	-86.12%	+85.75%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-5.63%	-68.59%	+62.96%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	4.55%	10.35%	-5.80%

Volatility

FCTE vs. BITI - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) is 3.40%, while ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF (BITI) has a volatility of 9.13%. This indicates that FCTE experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than BITI based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	FCTE	BITI	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	3.40%	9.13%	-5.73%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	12.21%	33.31%	-21.10%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	15.29%	44.23%	-28.94%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	18.40%	52.03%	-33.63%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	18.40%	52.03%	-33.63%

FCTE vs. BITI - Expense Ratio Comparison

FCTE has a 0.85% expense ratio, which is lower than BITI's 1.03% expense ratio.

Dividends

FCTE vs. BITI - Dividend Comparison

FCTE's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.08%, less than BITI's 15.30% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022
BITI ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF	15.17%	1.60%	3.91%	3.33%	0.06%
FCTE SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF	0.08%	0.18%	0.18%	0.00%	0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both FCTE and BITI in my portfolio?

FCTE and BITI have a correlation of -0.24, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, FCTE or BITI?

BITI has higher volatility (9.13%) compared to FCTE (3.40%). In terms of maximum drawdown, FCTE dropped -19.68% vs BITI's -92.16%.

Which ETF is better, FCTE or BITI?

On 1-year performance, BITI leads with 58.64% vs 13.55% for FCTE. On fees, FCTE is cheaper at 0.85% per year. On volatility, FCTE has been the lower-risk option at 3.40%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, FCTE or BITI?

Over the 1-year period, BITI has performed better with a 58.64% return vs 13.55%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, FCTE or BITI?

FCTE is cheaper with a 0.85% expense ratio, compared with 1.03% for BITI.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, FCTE or BITI?

BITI has the higher dividend yield at 15.17%, compared with 0.08% for FCTE.

What is the main difference between FCTE and BITI?

FCTE is categorized as Large Cap Blend Equities, while BITI is Cryptocurrency. They also come from different issuers: SMI 3Fourteen and ProShares. Their fees differ too: 0.85% for FCTE and 1.03% for BITI.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

BITI currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.45 vs 0.82), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.