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CTA vs. UUP
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

CTA vs. UUP - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) and Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, CTA achieves a 9.07% return, which is significantly higher than UUP's 3.66% return.


CTA

1D
-1.49%
1M
-5.00%
YTD
9.07%
6M
12.10%
1Y
9.47%
3Y*
10.84%
5Y*
10Y*

UUP

1D
0.65%
1M
2.49%
YTD
3.66%
6M
3.19%
1Y
5.60%
3Y*
4.04%
5Y*
6.04%
10Y*
3.28%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

CTA vs. UUP - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025202420232022
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
9.07%0.88%24.15%-2.23%9.55%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
3.66%-4.99%13.50%3.63%5.87%

Correlation

The correlation between CTA and UUP is 0.10, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.10

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.15

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 9, 2022

0.21

The correlation between CTA and UUP shifts across timeframes, from 0.10 (1 year) to 0.21 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

CTA vs. UUP - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
CTA
UUP

Basic Materials

-

-

Communication Services

-

-

Consumer Cyclical

-

-

Consumer Defensive

-

-

Energy

-

-

Healthcare

-

-

Industrials

-

-

Real Estate

-

-

Technology

-

-

Utilities

-

-

Financial Services

-49.1%
97.4%

Basic Materials

CTA

-

UUP

-

Communication Services

CTA

-

UUP

-

Consumer Cyclical

CTA

-

UUP

-

Consumer Defensive

CTA

-

UUP

-

Energy

CTA

-

UUP

-

Healthcare

CTA

-

UUP

-

Industrials

CTA

-

UUP

-

Real Estate

CTA

-

UUP

-

Technology

CTA

-

UUP

-

Utilities

CTA

-

UUP

-

Financial Services

CTA
-49.1%
UUP
97.4%

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Return for Risk

CTA vs. UUP — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

CTA
CTA Risk / Return Rank: 2020
Overall Rank
CTA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1818
Sharpe Ratio Rank
CTA Sortino Ratio Rank: 1717
Sortino Ratio Rank
CTA Omega Ratio Rank: 1919
Omega Ratio Rank
CTA Calmar Ratio Rank: 2222
Calmar Ratio Rank
CTA Martin Ratio Rank: 2222
Martin Ratio Rank

UUP
UUP Risk / Return Rank: 3030
Overall Rank
UUP Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2929
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UUP Sortino Ratio Rank: 2828
Sortino Ratio Rank
UUP Omega Ratio Rank: 2727
Omega Ratio Rank
UUP Calmar Ratio Rank: 3636
Calmar Ratio Rank
UUP Martin Ratio Rank: 3131
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

CTA vs. UUP - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) and Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


CTAUUPDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.46

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.62

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.11

1.18

-0.07

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

1.01

1.69

-0.69

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

2.58

4.49

-1.91

CTA vs. UUP - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current CTA Sharpe Ratio is 0.55, which is lower than the UUP Sharpe Ratio of 1.01. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of CTA and UUP, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


CTAUUPDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.55

1.01

-0.46

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.84

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.47

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.57

0.20

+0.36

Drawdowns

CTA vs. UUP - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum CTA drawdown since its inception was -18.07%, smaller than the maximum UUP drawdown of -22.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for CTA and UUP.


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Drawdown Indicators


CTAUUPDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-18.07%

-22.19%

+4.12%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-11.00%

-3.65%

-7.35%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-11.23%

-10.05%

-1.18%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-10.37%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-14.24%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-10.51%

-2.93%

-7.58%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-5.68%

-8.91%

+3.23%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

4.28%

1.37%

+2.91%

Volatility

CTA vs. UUP - Volatility Comparison

Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) has a higher volatility of 6.69% compared to Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) at 1.23%. This indicates that CTA's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than UUP based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


CTAUUPDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

6.69%

1.23%

+5.46%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

17.42%

4.26%

+13.16%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

20.23%

6.10%

+14.13%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

16.60%

7.22%

+9.38%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

16.60%

6.96%

+9.64%

CTA vs. UUP - Expense Ratio Comparison

CTA has a 0.78% expense ratio, which is higher than UUP's 0.75% expense ratio.


Dividends

CTA vs. UUP - Dividend Comparison

CTA's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.99%, more than UUP's 3.31% yield.


PositionTTM202520242023202220212020201920182017
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
4.99%3.19%4.80%7.78%6.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
3.31%3.43%4.48%6.44%0.89%0.00%0.00%2.03%1.08%0.10%

Frequently Asked Questions


CTA and UUP have a correlation of 0.10, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

CTA has higher volatility (6.69%) compared to UUP (1.23%). In terms of maximum drawdown, CTA dropped -18.07% vs UUP's -22.19%.

On 3-year performance, CTA leads with 10.84% vs 4.04% for UUP. On fees, UUP is cheaper at 0.75% per year. On volatility, UUP has been the lower-risk option at 1.23%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 3-year period, CTA has performed better with a 10.84% return vs 4.04%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

UUP is cheaper with a 0.75% expense ratio, compared with 0.78% for CTA.

CTA has the higher dividend yield at 4.99%, compared with 3.31% for UUP.

CTA is categorized as Systematic Trend, while UUP is Currency. They also come from different issuers: Simplify and Invesco. Their fees differ too: 0.78% for CTA and 0.75% for UUP.

UUP currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.01 vs 0.55), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for CTA and UUP

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