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CTA vs. GOVZ
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

CTA vs. GOVZ - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) and iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF (GOVZ). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, CTA achieves a 9.07% return, which is significantly higher than GOVZ's -0.91% return.


CTA

1D
-1.49%
1M
-5.00%
YTD
9.07%
6M
12.10%
1Y
9.47%
3Y*
10.84%
5Y*
10Y*

GOVZ

1D
-0.33%
1M
-0.38%
YTD
-0.91%
6M
-2.71%
1Y
2.81%
3Y*
-7.61%
5Y*
-11.53%
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

CTA vs. GOVZ - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025202420232022
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
9.07%0.88%24.15%-2.23%9.55%
GOVZ
iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF
-0.91%-1.81%-16.24%0.90%-35.27%

Correlation

The correlation between CTA and GOVZ is -0.28, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.28

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

-0.29

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 9, 2022

-0.26

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Return for Risk

CTA vs. GOVZ — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

CTA
CTA Risk / Return Rank: 2020
Overall Rank
CTA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1818
Sharpe Ratio Rank
CTA Sortino Ratio Rank: 1717
Sortino Ratio Rank
CTA Omega Ratio Rank: 1919
Omega Ratio Rank
CTA Calmar Ratio Rank: 2222
Calmar Ratio Rank
CTA Martin Ratio Rank: 2222
Martin Ratio Rank

GOVZ
GOVZ Risk / Return Rank: 1010
Overall Rank
GOVZ Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1010
Sharpe Ratio Rank
GOVZ Sortino Ratio Rank: 1010
Sortino Ratio Rank
GOVZ Omega Ratio Rank: 99
Omega Ratio Rank
GOVZ Calmar Ratio Rank: 1010
Calmar Ratio Rank
GOVZ Martin Ratio Rank: 1010
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

CTA vs. GOVZ - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) and iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF (GOVZ). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


CTAGOVZDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.50

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+0.65

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.11

1.02

+0.09

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

1.01

0.06

+0.95

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

2.58

0.13

+2.45

CTA vs. GOVZ - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current CTA Sharpe Ratio is 0.55, which is higher than the GOVZ Sharpe Ratio of 0.05. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of CTA and GOVZ, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


CTAGOVZDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.55

0.05

+0.50

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.48

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.57

-0.58

+1.15

Drawdowns

CTA vs. GOVZ - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum CTA drawdown since its inception was -18.07%, smaller than the maximum GOVZ drawdown of -59.65%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for CTA and GOVZ.


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Drawdown Indicators


CTAGOVZDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-18.07%

-59.65%

+41.58%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-11.00%

-14.16%

+3.16%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-11.23%

-28.72%

+17.49%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-57.63%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-10.51%

-56.46%

+45.95%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-5.68%

-39.93%

+34.25%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

4.28%

6.27%

-1.99%

Volatility

CTA vs. GOVZ - Volatility Comparison

Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) has a higher volatility of 6.69% compared to iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF (GOVZ) at 4.05%. This indicates that CTA's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than GOVZ based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


CTAGOVZDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

6.69%

4.05%

+2.64%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

17.42%

10.50%

+6.92%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

20.23%

16.05%

+4.18%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

16.60%

23.90%

-7.30%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

16.60%

23.34%

-6.74%

CTA vs. GOVZ - Expense Ratio Comparison

CTA has a 0.78% expense ratio, which is higher than GOVZ's 0.15% expense ratio.


Dividends

CTA vs. GOVZ - Dividend Comparison

CTA's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.99%, less than GOVZ's 5.18% yield.


PositionTTM202520242023202220212020
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
4.99%3.19%4.80%7.78%6.58%0.00%0.00%
GOVZ
iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF
5.18%5.00%4.68%3.84%3.69%1.76%0.39%

Frequently Asked Questions


CTA and GOVZ have a correlation of -0.28, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

CTA has higher volatility (6.69%) compared to GOVZ (4.05%). In terms of maximum drawdown, CTA dropped -18.07% vs GOVZ's -59.65%.

On 3-year performance, CTA leads with 10.84% vs -7.61% for GOVZ. On fees, GOVZ is cheaper at 0.15% per year. On volatility, GOVZ has been the lower-risk option at 4.05%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 3-year period, CTA has performed better with a 10.84% return vs -7.61%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

GOVZ is cheaper with a 0.15% expense ratio, compared with 0.78% for CTA.

GOVZ has the higher dividend yield at 5.18%, compared with 4.99% for CTA.

CTA is categorized as Systematic Trend, while GOVZ is Government Bonds. They also come from different issuers: Simplify and iShares. Their fees differ too: 0.78% for CTA and 0.15% for GOVZ.

CTA currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.55 vs 0.05), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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