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CRDBX vs. GTAIX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

CRDBX vs. GTAIX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Potomac Defensive Bull Fund (CRDBX) and Donoghue Forlines Tactical Allocation Fund (GTAIX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, CRDBX achieves a 17.37% return, which is significantly higher than GTAIX's 12.59% return.


CRDBX

1D
-1.19%
1M
4.27%
YTD
17.37%
6M
16.82%
1Y
41.09%
3Y*
19.49%
5Y*
15.60%
10Y*

GTAIX

1D
0.78%
1M
3.45%
YTD
12.59%
6M
13.16%
1Y
22.76%
3Y*
15.11%
5Y*
7.08%
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

CRDBX vs. GTAIX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020
CRDBX
Potomac Defensive Bull Fund
17.37%25.36%19.91%18.44%-8.21%28.08%24.03%
GTAIX
Donoghue Forlines Tactical Allocation Fund
12.59%13.49%8.39%15.59%-14.49%9.25%12.07%

Correlation

The correlation between CRDBX and GTAIX is 0.60, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.60

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.57

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.52

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 2, 2020

0.53

The correlation between CRDBX and GTAIX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.52 to 0.60 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

CRDBX vs. GTAIX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

CRDBX
CRDBX Risk / Return Rank: 9090
Overall Rank
CRDBX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8888
Sharpe Ratio Rank
CRDBX Sortino Ratio Rank: 8585
Sortino Ratio Rank
CRDBX Omega Ratio Rank: 9090
Omega Ratio Rank
CRDBX Calmar Ratio Rank: 9595
Calmar Ratio Rank
CRDBX Martin Ratio Rank: 9292
Martin Ratio Rank

GTAIX
GTAIX Risk / Return Rank: 8989
Overall Rank
GTAIX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8888
Sharpe Ratio Rank
GTAIX Sortino Ratio Rank: 8787
Sortino Ratio Rank
GTAIX Omega Ratio Rank: 8383
Omega Ratio Rank
GTAIX Calmar Ratio Rank: 9393
Calmar Ratio Rank
GTAIX Martin Ratio Rank: 9595
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

CRDBX vs. GTAIX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Potomac Defensive Bull Fund (CRDBX) and Donoghue Forlines Tactical Allocation Fund (GTAIX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


CRDBXGTAIXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.02

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.05

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.67

1.55

+0.12

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

5.78

5.19

+0.59

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

18.99

22.04

-3.06

CRDBX vs. GTAIX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current CRDBX Sharpe Ratio is 2.90, which is comparable to the GTAIX Sharpe Ratio of 2.88. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of CRDBX and GTAIX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


CRDBXGTAIXDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.90

2.88

+0.02

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.83

0.66

+0.16

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

1.08

0.50

+0.58

Drawdowns

CRDBX vs. GTAIX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum CRDBX drawdown since its inception was -28.12%, which is greater than GTAIX's maximum drawdown of -24.25%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for CRDBX and GTAIX.


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Drawdown Indicators


CRDBXGTAIXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-28.12%

-24.25%

-3.87%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-7.13%

-4.51%

-2.62%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-17.77%

-11.89%

-5.88%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-28.12%

-19.43%

-8.69%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-1.19%

0.00%

-1.19%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-6.58%

-4.82%

-1.76%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

2.16%

1.06%

+1.10%

Volatility

CRDBX vs. GTAIX - Volatility Comparison

Potomac Defensive Bull Fund (CRDBX) has a higher volatility of 4.31% compared to Donoghue Forlines Tactical Allocation Fund (GTAIX) at 2.73%. This indicates that CRDBX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than GTAIX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


CRDBXGTAIXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

4.31%

2.73%

+1.58%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

10.84%

6.81%

+4.03%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

14.20%

8.14%

+6.06%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

19.73%

10.72%

+9.01%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

20.36%

11.50%

+8.86%

CRDBX vs. GTAIX - Expense Ratio Comparison

CRDBX has a 1.24% expense ratio, which is higher than GTAIX's 1.20% expense ratio.


Dividends

CRDBX vs. GTAIX - Dividend Comparison

CRDBX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 13.09%, more than GTAIX's 4.90% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018
CRDBX
Potomac Defensive Bull Fund
13.09%15.36%12.58%9.91%0.18%25.05%1.65%0.00%0.00%
GTAIX
Donoghue Forlines Tactical Allocation Fund
4.90%5.82%3.38%2.69%1.65%2.35%0.82%1.77%1.92%

Frequently Asked Questions


CRDBX and GTAIX have a correlation of 0.60, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

CRDBX has higher volatility (4.31%) compared to GTAIX (2.73%). In terms of maximum drawdown, CRDBX dropped -28.12% vs GTAIX's -24.25%.

CRDBX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.90 vs 2.88), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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