COST vs. VGSH

Last updated Jun 13, 2026

COST (Costco Wholesale Corporation) is a stock, while VGSH (Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF) is Government Bonds fund tracking the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury 1-3 Year Index. Over the past 10 years, COST returned 22.27%/yr vs 1.73%/yr for VGSH. At a correlation of -0.05, they often move in opposite directions.

Performance

COST vs. VGSH - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) and Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, COST achieves a 14.24% return, which is significantly higher than VGSH's 0.57% return. Over the past 10 years, COST has outperformed VGSH with an annualized return of 22.27%, while VGSH has yielded a comparatively lower 1.73% annualized return.

COST

• 1D: 0.68%
• 1M: -5.66%
• YTD: 14.24%
• 6M: 11.38%
• 1Y: -0.24%
• 3Y*: 25.12%
• 5Y*: 22.12%
• 10Y*: 22.27%

VGSH

• 1D: -0.03%
• 1M: 0.16%
• YTD: 0.57%
• 6M: 0.83%
• 1Y: 3.36%
• 3Y*: 4.25%
• 5Y*: 1.83%
• 10Y*: 1.73%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

COST vs. VGSH - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation	14.24%	-5.39%	39.62%	49.00%	-19.05%	51.82%	32.67%	45.70%	10.60%	22.37%
VGSH Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF	0.57%	5.07%	4.00%	4.31%	-3.86%	-0.60%	3.04%	3.52%	1.55%	0.04%

Correlation

The correlation between COST and VGSH is 0.01, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.01
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.00
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.07
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	-0.01
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 23, 2009	-0.05

The correlation between COST and VGSH shifts across timeframes, from -0.05 (all time) to 0.07 (5 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Return for Risk

COST vs. VGSH — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

COST

COST Risk / Return Rank: 37
COST Sharpe Ratio Rank: 40
COST Sortino Ratio Rank: 32
COST Omega Ratio Rank: 32
COST Calmar Ratio Rank: 40
COST Martin Ratio Rank: 39

VGSH

VGSH Risk / Return Rank: 88
VGSH Sharpe Ratio Rank: 90
VGSH Sortino Ratio Rank: 94
VGSH Omega Ratio Rank: 92
VGSH Calmar Ratio Rank: 81
VGSH Martin Ratio Rank: 84

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

COST vs. VGSH - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) and Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	COST	VGSH	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-0.08	2.61	-2.69
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	0.02	4.30	-4.28
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.00	1.55	-0.55
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.10	3.76	-3.85
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-0.22	14.67	-14.89

COST vs. VGSH - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current COST Sharpe Ratio is -0.08, which is lower than the VGSH Sharpe Ratio of 2.61. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of COST and VGSH, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

COST vs. VGSH - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum COST drawdown since its inception was -53.39%, which is greater than VGSH's maximum drawdown of -5.70%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for COST and VGSH.

Drawdown Indicators

	COST	VGSH	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-53.39%	-5.70%	-47.69%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-15.14%	-0.88%	-14.26%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-20.74%	-0.97%	-19.77%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-31.40%	-5.66%	-25.74%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-31.40%	-5.70%	-25.70%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-10.23%	-0.21%	-10.02%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-13.36%	-0.60%	-12.76%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	6.67%	0.23%	+6.44%

Volatility

COST vs. VGSH - Volatility Comparison

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) has a higher volatility of 7.44% compared to Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) at 0.37%. This indicates that COST's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than VGSH based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	COST	VGSH	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	7.44%	0.37%	+7.07%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	14.53%	0.90%	+13.63%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	18.80%	1.28%	+17.52%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	22.72%	1.97%	+20.75%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	21.95%	1.58%	+20.37%

Dividends

COST vs. VGSH - Dividend Comparison

COST's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.55%, less than VGSH's 3.87% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation	0.55%	0.59%	0.49%	2.87%	0.76%	0.54%	3.38%	0.86%	1.08%	4.81%	1.09%	4.06%
VGSH Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF	3.87%	4.00%	4.18%	3.31%	1.15%	0.66%	1.74%	2.28%	1.79%	1.10%	0.84%	0.69%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both COST and VGSH in my portfolio?

COST and VGSH have a correlation of 0.01, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, COST or VGSH?

COST has higher volatility (7.44%) compared to VGSH (0.37%). In terms of maximum drawdown, COST dropped -53.39% vs VGSH's -5.70%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

VGSH currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.61 vs -0.08), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.