COST vs. AIRR

Last updated Jul 21, 2026

COST (Costco Wholesale Corporation) is a stock, while AIRR (First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF) is Building & Construction fund tracking the Richard Bernstein Advisors American Industrial Renaissance Index. Over the past 10 years, COST returned 20.81%/yr vs 20.34%/yr for AIRR. At a 0.32 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.

Performance

COST vs. AIRR - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) and First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF (AIRR). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, COST achieves a 8.82% return, which is significantly lower than AIRR's 22.34% return. Both investments have delivered pretty close results over the past 10 years, with COST having a 20.81% annualized return and AIRR not far behind at 20.34%.

COST

• 1D: -0.54%
• 1M: -1.64%
• 6M: -2.61%
• YTD: 8.82%
• 1Y: -1.04%
• 3Y*: 20.42%
• 5Y*: 18.94%
• 10Y*: 20.81%
• ALL TIME*: 16.93%

AIRR

• 1D: -0.75%
• 1M: -8.17%
• 6M: 5.94%
• YTD: 22.34%
• 1Y: 41.57%
• 3Y*: 30.56%
• 5Y*: 24.62%
• 10Y*: 20.34%
• ALL TIME*: 15.88%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

COST vs. AIRR - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation	8.82%	-5.39%	39.62%	49.00%	-19.05%	51.82%	32.67%	45.70%	10.60%	22.37%
AIRR First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF	22.34%	27.92%	33.45%	31.43%	-2.08%	33.01%	17.17%	33.97%	-20.57%	16.28%

Correlation

The correlation between COST and AIRR is -0.12, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.12
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.19
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.32
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.32
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 11, 2014	0.32

The correlation between COST and AIRR shifts across timeframes, from -0.12 (1 year) to 0.32 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Return for Risk

COST vs. AIRR — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

COST

COST Risk / Return Rank: 40
COST Sharpe Ratio Rank: 43
COST Sortino Ratio Rank: 35
COST Omega Ratio Rank: 35
COST Calmar Ratio Rank: 43
COST Martin Ratio Rank: 43

AIRR

AIRR Risk / Return Rank: 67
AIRR Sharpe Ratio Rank: 63
AIRR Sortino Ratio Rank: 60
AIRR Omega Ratio Rank: 54
AIRR Calmar Ratio Rank: 82
AIRR Martin Ratio Rank: 77

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

COST vs. AIRR - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) and First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF (AIRR). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	COST	AIRR	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-0.05	1.54	-1.60
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	0.06	2.16	-2.09
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.01	1.26	-0.25
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.06	3.19	-3.25
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-0.14	10.53	-10.67

COST vs. AIRR - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current COST Sharpe Ratio is -0.05, which is lower than the AIRR Sharpe Ratio of 1.54. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of COST and AIRR, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

COST vs. AIRR - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum COST drawdown since its inception was -53.39%, which is greater than AIRR's maximum drawdown of -42.37%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for COST and AIRR.

Drawdown Indicators

	COST	AIRR	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-53.39%	-42.37%	-11.02%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-16.57%	-13.09%	-3.48%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-20.74%	-27.95%	+7.21%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-31.40%	-27.95%	-3.45%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-31.40%	-42.37%	+10.97%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-14.49%	-9.79%	-4.70%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-13.36%	-7.46%	-5.90%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	7.38%	3.96%	+3.42%

Volatility

COST vs. AIRR - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is 7.25%, while First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF (AIRR) has a volatility of 8.05%. This indicates that COST experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than AIRR based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	COST	AIRR	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	7.25%	8.05%	-0.80%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	14.98%	21.03%	-6.05%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	19.74%	27.10%	-7.36%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	22.90%	25.49%	-2.59%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	22.02%	26.35%	-4.33%

Dividends

COST vs. AIRR - Dividend Comparison

COST's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.57%, more than AIRR's 0.09% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
AIRR First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF	0.09%	0.19%	0.18%	0.23%	0.12%	0.05%	0.10%	0.20%	0.43%	0.30%	0.08%	0.47%
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation	0.57%	0.59%	0.49%	2.87%	0.76%	0.54%	3.38%	0.86%	1.08%	4.81%	1.09%	4.06%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both COST and AIRR in my portfolio?

COST and AIRR have a correlation of -0.12, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, COST or AIRR?

AIRR has higher volatility (8.05%) compared to COST (7.25%). In terms of maximum drawdown, COST dropped -53.39% vs AIRR's -42.37%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

AIRR currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.54 vs -0.05), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.