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BITO vs. SMST
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

BITO vs. SMST - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) and Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, BITO achieves a -33.32% return, which is significantly lower than SMST's -5.14% return.


BITO

1D
-1.10%
1M
-22.17%
YTD
-33.32%
6M
-33.16%
1Y
-47.20%
3Y*
17.05%
5Y*
10Y*

SMST

1D
18.45%
1M
181.70%
YTD
-5.14%
6M
2.86%
1Y
236.89%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

BITO vs. SMST - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF
-33.32%-11.19%52.76%
SMST
Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF
-5.14%-44.36%-91.71%

Correlation

The correlation between BITO and SMST is -0.85, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.85

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 21, 2024

-0.79

The correlation between BITO and SMST has been stable across timeframes, ranging from -0.85 to -0.79 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

BITO vs. SMST — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

BITO
BITO Risk / Return Rank: 11
Overall Rank
BITO Sharpe Ratio Rank: 11
Sharpe Ratio Rank
BITO Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
Sortino Ratio Rank
BITO Omega Ratio Rank: 11
Omega Ratio Rank
BITO Calmar Ratio Rank: 22
Calmar Ratio Rank
BITO Martin Ratio Rank: 11
Martin Ratio Rank

SMST
SMST Risk / Return Rank: 5353
Overall Rank
SMST Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5454
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SMST Sortino Ratio Rank: 5555
Sortino Ratio Rank
SMST Omega Ratio Rank: 5454
Omega Ratio Rank
SMST Calmar Ratio Rank: 6464
Calmar Ratio Rank
SMST Martin Ratio Rank: 3838
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

BITO vs. SMST - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) and Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


BITOSMSTDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-2.71

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-4.00

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.82

1.30

-0.48

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.88

2.79

-3.67

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-1.49

5.52

-7.01

BITO vs. SMST - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current BITO Sharpe Ratio is -1.07, which is lower than the SMST Sharpe Ratio of 1.63. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of BITO and SMST, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

BITO vs. SMST - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum BITO drawdown since its inception was -77.86%, smaller than the maximum SMST drawdown of -99.25%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for BITO and SMST.


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Drawdown Indicators


BITOSMSTDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-77.86%

-99.25%

+21.39%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-54.01%

-85.39%

+31.38%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-54.01%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-54.01%

-96.27%

+42.26%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-36.89%

-90.74%

+53.85%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

31.65%

43.15%

-11.50%

Volatility

BITO vs. SMST - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) is 12.96%, while Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST) has a volatility of 46.13%. This indicates that BITO experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than SMST based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


BITOSMSTDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

12.96%

46.13%

-33.17%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

34.32%

130.40%

-96.08%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

44.16%

146.32%

-102.16%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

55.00%

167.25%

-112.25%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

55.00%

167.25%

-112.25%

BITO vs. SMST - Expense Ratio Comparison

BITO has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is lower than SMST's 1.29% expense ratio.


Dividends

BITO vs. SMST - Dividend Comparison

BITO's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 74.68%, while SMST has not paid dividends to shareholders.


PositionTTM202520242023
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF
74.68%78.29%61.59%15.14%
SMST
Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


BITO and SMST have a correlation of -0.85, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

SMST has higher volatility (46.13%) compared to BITO (12.96%). In terms of maximum drawdown, BITO dropped -77.86% vs SMST's -99.25%.

On 1-year performance, SMST leads with 236.89% vs -47.20% for BITO. On fees, BITO is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, BITO has been the lower-risk option at 12.96%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, SMST has performed better with a 236.89% return vs -47.20%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

BITO is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.29% for SMST.

BITO has the higher dividend yield at 74.68%, compared with 0.00% for SMST.

BITO is categorized as Cryptocurrency, while SMST is Inverse Equities. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Defiance. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for BITO and 1.29% for SMST.

SMST currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.63 vs -1.07), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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