BITO vs. SMST
BITO (ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF) and SMST (Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - BITO is a Cryptocurrency fund actively managed by ProShares, while SMST is a Inverse Equities fund actively managed by Defiance. Both are actively managed. Over the past year, BITO returned -48.16% vs 257.89% for SMST. At a correlation of -0.78, they often move in opposite directions. BITO charges 0.95%/yr vs 1.29%/yr for SMST.
Performance
BITO vs. SMST - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, BITO achieves a -27.77% return, which is significantly higher than SMST's -31.71% return.
BITO
- 1D
- -0.91%
- 1M
- -2.11%
- 6M
- -33.51%
- YTD
- -27.77%
- 1Y
- -48.16%
- 3Y*
- 21.06%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
SMST
- 1D
- 7.64%
- 1M
- 37.45%
- 6M
- -8.12%
- YTD
- -31.71%
- 1Y
- 257.89%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
BITO vs. SMST - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | -27.77% | -11.19% | 52.76% |
SMST Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF | -31.71% | -44.36% | -91.71% |
Correlation
The correlation between BITO and SMST is -0.84, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.84 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 21, 2024 | -0.78 |
The correlation between BITO and SMST has been stable across timeframes, ranging from -0.84 to -0.78 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
BITO vs. SMST — Risk / Return Rank
BITO
SMST
BITO vs. SMST - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) and Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| BITO | SMST | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -2.84 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -4.08 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.81 | 1.31 | -0.50 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.89 | 3.04 | -3.93 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.42 | 5.82 | -7.24 |
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Drawdowns
BITO vs. SMST - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum BITO drawdown since its inception was -77.86%, smaller than the maximum SMST drawdown of -99.25%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for BITO and SMST.
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Drawdown Indicators
| BITO | SMST | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -77.86% | -99.25% | +21.39% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -54.47% | -85.39% | +30.92% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -54.47% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -50.18% | -97.32% | +47.14% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -37.06% | -90.93% | +53.87% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 33.91% | 44.56% | -10.65% |
Volatility
BITO vs. SMST - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) is 10.49%, while Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST) has a volatility of 55.38%. This indicates that BITO experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than SMST based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| BITO | SMST | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 10.49% | 55.38% | -44.89% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 34.48% | 135.32% | -100.84% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 44.10% | 149.40% | -105.30% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 54.80% | 167.53% | -112.73% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 54.80% | 167.53% | -112.73% |
BITO vs. SMST - Expense Ratio Comparison
BITO has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is lower than SMST's 1.29% expense ratio.
Dividends
BITO vs. SMST - Dividend Comparison
BITO's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 60.24%, while SMST has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 60.24% | 78.29% | 61.59% | 15.14% |
SMST Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
BITO and SMST have a correlation of -0.84, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
SMST has higher volatility (55.38%) compared to BITO (10.49%). In terms of maximum drawdown, BITO dropped -77.86% vs SMST's -99.25%.
On 1-year performance, SMST leads with 257.89% vs -48.16% for BITO. On fees, BITO is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, BITO has been the lower-risk option at 10.49%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, SMST has performed better with a 257.89% return vs -48.16%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
BITO is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.29% for SMST.
BITO has the higher dividend yield at 60.24%, compared with 0.00% for SMST.
BITO is categorized as Cryptocurrency, while SMST is Inverse Equities. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Defiance. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for BITO and 1.29% for SMST.
SMST currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.74 vs -1.10), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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