BITO vs. SMST
BITO (ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF) and SMST (Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - BITO is a Cryptocurrency fund actively managed by ProShares, while SMST is a Inverse Equities fund actively managed by Defiance. Both are actively managed. Over the past year, BITO returned -47.20% vs 236.89% for SMST. At a correlation of -0.79, they often move in opposite directions. BITO charges 0.95%/yr vs 1.29%/yr for SMST.
Performance
BITO vs. SMST - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, BITO achieves a -33.32% return, which is significantly lower than SMST's -5.14% return.
BITO
- 1D
- -1.10%
- 1M
- -22.17%
- YTD
- -33.32%
- 6M
- -33.16%
- 1Y
- -47.20%
- 3Y*
- 17.05%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
SMST
- 1D
- 18.45%
- 1M
- 181.70%
- YTD
- -5.14%
- 6M
- 2.86%
- 1Y
- 236.89%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
BITO vs. SMST - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | -33.32% | -11.19% | 52.76% |
SMST Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF | -5.14% | -44.36% | -91.71% |
Correlation
The correlation between BITO and SMST is -0.85, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.85 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 21, 2024 | -0.79 |
The correlation between BITO and SMST has been stable across timeframes, ranging from -0.85 to -0.79 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
BITO vs. SMST — Risk / Return Rank
BITO
SMST
BITO vs. SMST - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) and Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| BITO | SMST | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -2.71 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -4.00 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.82 | 1.30 | -0.48 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.88 | 2.79 | -3.67 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.49 | 5.52 | -7.01 |
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Drawdowns
BITO vs. SMST - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum BITO drawdown since its inception was -77.86%, smaller than the maximum SMST drawdown of -99.25%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for BITO and SMST.
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Drawdown Indicators
| BITO | SMST | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -77.86% | -99.25% | +21.39% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -54.01% | -85.39% | +31.38% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -54.01% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -54.01% | -96.27% | +42.26% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -36.89% | -90.74% | +53.85% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 31.65% | 43.15% | -11.50% |
Volatility
BITO vs. SMST - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) is 12.96%, while Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST) has a volatility of 46.13%. This indicates that BITO experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than SMST based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| BITO | SMST | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 12.96% | 46.13% | -33.17% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 34.32% | 130.40% | -96.08% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 44.16% | 146.32% | -102.16% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 55.00% | 167.25% | -112.25% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 55.00% | 167.25% | -112.25% |
BITO vs. SMST - Expense Ratio Comparison
BITO has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is lower than SMST's 1.29% expense ratio.
Dividends
BITO vs. SMST - Dividend Comparison
BITO's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 74.68%, while SMST has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 74.68% | 78.29% | 61.59% | 15.14% |
SMST Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
BITO and SMST have a correlation of -0.85, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
SMST has higher volatility (46.13%) compared to BITO (12.96%). In terms of maximum drawdown, BITO dropped -77.86% vs SMST's -99.25%.
On 1-year performance, SMST leads with 236.89% vs -47.20% for BITO. On fees, BITO is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, BITO has been the lower-risk option at 12.96%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, SMST has performed better with a 236.89% return vs -47.20%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
BITO is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.29% for SMST.
BITO has the higher dividend yield at 74.68%, compared with 0.00% for SMST.
BITO is categorized as Cryptocurrency, while SMST is Inverse Equities. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Defiance. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for BITO and 1.29% for SMST.
SMST currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.63 vs -1.07), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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