AIYY vs. SMST
AIYY (YieldMax AI Option Income Strategy ETF) and SMST (Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - AIYY is a Derivative Income fund actively managed by YieldMax, while SMST is a Inverse Equities fund actively managed by Defiance. Both are actively managed. Over the past year, AIYY returned -58.45% vs 128.37% for SMST. Their -0.42 correlation means they have often moved in opposite directions in the past. AIYY charges 0.99%/yr vs 1.29%/yr for SMST.
Performance
AIYY vs. SMST - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
The year-to-date returns for both stocks are quite close, with AIYY having a -34.72% return and SMST slightly lower at -35.77%.
AIYY
- 1D
- 0.94%
- 1M
- 0.94%
- 6M
- -23.09%
- YTD
- -34.72%
- 1Y
- -58.45%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
- ALL TIME*
- -42.38%
SMST
- 1D
- 8.37%
- 1M
- 5.47%
- 6M
- -29.35%
- YTD
- -35.77%
- 1Y
- 128.37%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
- ALL TIME*
- -83.68%
Liquidity Comparison
| Position | Avg. Volume Value (2W) | Avg. Volume Value (1M) | Avg. Volume Value (3M) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $582.53K | $560.85K | $820.27K | |
| $15.35M | $15.12M | $17.58M |
AIYY vs. SMST - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
AIYY YieldMax AI Option Income Strategy ETF | -34.72% | -58.98% | 13.36% |
SMST Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF | -35.77% | -44.36% | -91.71% |
Correlation
The correlation between AIYY and SMST is -0.45, meaning they have often moved in opposite directions in the past. This relationship can weaken or reverse as market conditions change.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most. | -0.45 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 21, 2024 | -0.42 |
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Return for Risk
AIYY vs. SMST — Risk / Return Rank
AIYY
SMST
AIYY vs. SMST - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for YieldMax AI Option Income Strategy ETF (AIYY) and Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| AIYY | SMST | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -2.25 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -3.84 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.76 | 1.27 | -0.51 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.96 | 2.00 | -2.96 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.32 | 3.68 | -5.00 |
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Drawdowns
AIYY vs. SMST - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum AIYY drawdown since its inception was -80.28%, smaller than the maximum SMST drawdown of -99.25%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for AIYY and SMST.
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Drawdown Indicators
| AIYY | SMST | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -80.28% | -99.25% | +18.97% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -63.12% | -85.39% | +22.27% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -78.68% | -97.48% | +18.80% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -43.18% | -91.08% | +47.90% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 45.88% | 46.35% | -0.47% |
Volatility
AIYY vs. SMST - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for YieldMax AI Option Income Strategy ETF (AIYY) is 9.98%, while Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST) has a volatility of 38.14%. This indicates that AIYY experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than SMST based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| AIYY | SMST | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 9.98% | 38.14% | -28.16% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 39.51% | 135.29% | -95.78% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 53.88% | 151.04% | -97.16% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 49.87% | 166.75% | -116.88% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 49.87% | 166.75% | -116.88% |
AIYY vs. SMST - Expense Ratio Comparison
AIYY has a 0.99% expense ratio, which is lower than SMST's 1.29% expense ratio.
Dividends
AIYY vs. SMST - Dividend Comparison
AIYY's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 139.29%, while SMST has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
AIYY YieldMax AI Option Income Strategy ETF | 139.29% | 168.33% | 98.26% |
SMST Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
AIYY and SMST have a correlation of -0.45, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
SMST has higher volatility (38.14%) compared to AIYY (9.98%). In terms of maximum drawdown, AIYY dropped -80.28% vs SMST's -99.25%.
On 1-year performance, SMST leads with 128.37% vs -58.45% for AIYY. On fees, AIYY is cheaper at 0.99% per year. On volatility, AIYY has been the lower-risk option at 9.98%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, SMST has performed better with a 128.37% return vs -58.45%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
AIYY is cheaper with a 0.99% expense ratio, compared with 1.29% for SMST.
AIYY has the higher dividend yield at 139.29%, compared with 0.00% for SMST.
AIYY is categorized as Derivative Income, while SMST is Inverse Equities. They also come from different issuers: YieldMax and Defiance. Their fees differ too: 0.99% for AIYY and 1.29% for SMST.
SMST currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.13 vs -1.12), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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