AIBD vs. SPXL

Last updated Jul 17, 2026

AIBD (Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X Shares) and SPXL (Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - AIBD is a Inverse Equities fund tracking the Solactive US AI & Big Data Index, while SPXL is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the S&P 500. Both are passively managed. Over the past year, AIBD returned -39.60% vs 55.18% for SPXL. At a correlation of -0.80, they often move in opposite directions. AIBD charges 1.05%/yr vs 0.84%/yr for SPXL.

Performance

AIBD vs. SPXL - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X Shares (AIBD) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X ETF (SPXL). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, AIBD achieves a -26.00% return, which is significantly lower than SPXL's 24.85% return.

AIBD

• 1D: 5.39%
• 1M: 9.76%
• 6M: -24.63%
• YTD: -26.00%
• 1Y: -39.60%
• 3Y*: —
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

SPXL

• 1D: -1.60%
• 1M: -0.19%
• 6M: 19.87%
• YTD: 24.85%
• 1Y: 55.18%
• 3Y*: 44.11%
• 5Y*: 21.24%
• 10Y*: 28.72%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

AIBD vs. SPXL - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024
AIBD Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X Shares	-26.00%	-49.15%	-34.56%
SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X ETF	24.85%	31.94%	29.26%

Correlation

The correlation between AIBD and SPXL is -0.74, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.74
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since May 15, 2024	-0.80

The correlation between AIBD and SPXL has been stable across timeframes, ranging from -0.80 to -0.74 - a consistent structural relationship.

Return for Risk

AIBD vs. SPXL — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

AIBD

AIBD Risk / Return Rank: 3
AIBD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 3
AIBD Sortino Ratio Rank: 4
AIBD Omega Ratio Rank: 4
AIBD Calmar Ratio Rank: 4
AIBD Martin Ratio Rank: 2

SPXL

SPXL Risk / Return Rank: 52
SPXL Sharpe Ratio Rank: 53
SPXL Sortino Ratio Rank: 48
SPXL Omega Ratio Rank: 49
SPXL Calmar Ratio Rank: 50
SPXL Martin Ratio Rank: 58

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

AIBD vs. SPXL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X Shares (AIBD) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X ETF (SPXL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	AIBD	SPXL	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-0.72	1.47	-2.20
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	-0.91	1.97	-2.88
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	0.90	1.26	-0.35
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.68	2.07	-2.75
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-1.41	8.18	-9.58

AIBD vs. SPXL - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current AIBD Sharpe Ratio is -0.72, which is lower than the SPXL Sharpe Ratio of 1.47. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of AIBD and SPXL, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

AIBD vs. SPXL - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum AIBD drawdown since its inception was -82.11%, which is greater than SPXL's maximum drawdown of -76.86%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for AIBD and SPXL.

Drawdown Indicators

	AIBD	SPXL	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-82.11%	-76.86%	-5.25%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-58.75%	-26.77%	-31.98%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	—	-48.95%	—
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	—	-63.80%	—
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	—	-76.86%	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-77.48%	-4.60%	-72.88%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-49.73%	-16.06%	-33.67%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	28.63%	6.77%	+21.86%

Volatility

AIBD vs. SPXL - Volatility Comparison

Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X Shares (AIBD) has a higher volatility of 15.87% compared to Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X ETF (SPXL) at 10.79%. This indicates that AIBD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPXL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	AIBD	SPXL	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	15.87%	10.79%	+5.08%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	42.24%	30.09%	+12.15%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	54.86%	37.68%	+17.18%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	57.20%	50.59%	+6.61%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	57.20%	53.38%	+3.82%

AIBD vs. SPXL - Expense Ratio Comparison

AIBD has a 1.05% expense ratio, which is higher than SPXL's 0.84% expense ratio.

Dividends

AIBD vs. SPXL - Dividend Comparison

AIBD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.41%, more than SPXL's 0.52% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
AIBD Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X Shares	3.41%	4.37%	3.58%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X ETF	0.52%	0.69%	0.74%	0.98%	0.32%	0.11%	0.22%	0.84%	1.02%	3.88%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both AIBD and SPXL in my portfolio?

AIBD and SPXL have a correlation of -0.74, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, AIBD or SPXL?

AIBD has higher volatility (15.87%) compared to SPXL (10.79%). In terms of maximum drawdown, AIBD dropped -82.11% vs SPXL's -76.86%.

Which ETF is better, AIBD or SPXL?

On 1-year performance, SPXL leads with 55.18% vs -39.60% for AIBD. On fees, SPXL is cheaper at 0.84% per year. On volatility, SPXL has been the lower-risk option at 10.79%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, AIBD or SPXL?

Over the 1-year period, SPXL has performed better with a 55.18% return vs -39.60%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, AIBD or SPXL?

SPXL is cheaper with a 0.84% expense ratio, compared with 1.05% for AIBD.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, AIBD or SPXL?

AIBD has the higher dividend yield at 3.41%, compared with 0.52% for SPXL.

What is the main difference between AIBD and SPXL?

AIBD is categorized as Inverse Equities, while SPXL is Leveraged Equities. AIBD tracks Solactive US AI & Big Data Index, while SPXL tracks S&P 500. Their fees differ too: 1.05% for AIBD and 0.84% for SPXL.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

SPXL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.47 vs -0.72), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.