AIBD vs. DOG

Last updated Jun 24, 2026

AIBD (Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X Shares) and DOG (ProShares Short Dow30) are both Inverse Equities funds - AIBD tracks the Solactive US AI & Big Data Index while DOG tracks the DJ Industrial Average (-100%). Both are passively managed. Over the past year, AIBD returned -50.84% vs -14.33% for DOG. A 0.54 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. AIBD charges 1.05%/yr vs 0.95%/yr for DOG.

Performance

AIBD vs. DOG - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X Shares (AIBD) and ProShares Short Dow30 (DOG). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, AIBD achieves a -29.34% return, which is significantly lower than DOG's -5.77% return.

AIBD

• 1D: 4.59%
• 1M: -0.57%
• YTD: -29.34%
• 6M: -27.18%
• 1Y: -50.84%
• 3Y*: —
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

DOG

• 1D: 0.05%
• 1M: -2.00%
• YTD: -5.77%
• 6M: -4.85%
• 1Y: -14.33%
• 3Y*: -8.97%
• 5Y*: -5.91%
• 10Y*: -11.50%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

AIBD vs. DOG - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024
AIBD Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X Shares	-29.34%	-49.15%	-34.56%
DOG ProShares Short Dow30	-5.77%	-8.40%	-3.49%

Correlation

The correlation between AIBD and DOG is 0.46, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.46
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since May 15, 2024	0.54

The correlation between AIBD and DOG has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.46 to 0.54 - a consistent structural relationship.

Return for Risk

AIBD vs. DOG — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

AIBD

AIBD Risk / Return Rank: 1
AIBD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2
AIBD Sortino Ratio Rank: 2
AIBD Omega Ratio Rank: 2
AIBD Calmar Ratio Rank: 1
AIBD Martin Ratio Rank: 0

DOG

DOG Risk / Return Rank: 1
DOG Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1
DOG Sortino Ratio Rank: 1
DOG Omega Ratio Rank: 1
DOG Calmar Ratio Rank: 0
DOG Martin Ratio Rank: 0

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

AIBD vs. DOG - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X Shares (AIBD) and ProShares Short Dow30 (DOG). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	AIBD	DOG	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-0.94	-1.16	+0.22
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	-1.45	-1.57	+0.13
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	0.85	0.82	+0.02
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.87	-1.02	+0.15
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-1.72	-1.82	+0.10

AIBD vs. DOG - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current AIBD Sharpe Ratio is -0.94, which is comparable to the DOG Sharpe Ratio of -1.16. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of AIBD and DOG, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

AIBD vs. DOG - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum AIBD drawdown since its inception was -82.11%, smaller than the maximum DOG drawdown of -92.79%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for AIBD and DOG.

Drawdown Indicators

	AIBD	DOG	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-82.11%	-92.79%	+10.68%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-58.75%	-14.12%	-44.63%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	—	-29.71%	—
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	—	-34.86%	—
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	—	-71.17%	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-78.50%	-92.73%	+14.23%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-48.87%	-66.45%	+17.58%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	32.08%	8.69%	+23.39%

Volatility

AIBD vs. DOG - Volatility Comparison

Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X Shares (AIBD) has a higher volatility of 21.86% compared to ProShares Short Dow30 (DOG) at 4.15%. This indicates that AIBD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than DOG based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	AIBD	DOG	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	21.86%	4.15%	+17.71%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	40.59%	9.86%	+30.73%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	54.13%	12.45%	+41.68%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	57.30%	14.83%	+42.47%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	57.30%	17.49%	+39.81%

AIBD vs. DOG - Expense Ratio Comparison

AIBD has a 1.05% expense ratio, which is higher than DOG's 0.95% expense ratio.

Dividends

AIBD vs. DOG - Dividend Comparison

AIBD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 5.81%, more than DOG's 3.55% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
AIBD Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X Shares	5.81%	4.37%	3.58%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
DOG ProShares Short Dow30	3.55%	3.65%	5.72%	4.54%	0.41%	0.00%	0.14%	1.54%	0.86%	0.04%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both AIBD and DOG in my portfolio?

AIBD and DOG have a correlation of 0.46, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, AIBD or DOG?

AIBD has higher volatility (21.86%) compared to DOG (4.15%). In terms of maximum drawdown, AIBD dropped -82.11% vs DOG's -92.79%.

Which ETF is better, AIBD or DOG?

On 1-year performance, DOG leads with -14.33% vs -50.84% for AIBD. On fees, DOG is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, DOG has been the lower-risk option at 4.15%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, AIBD or DOG?

Over the 1-year period, DOG has performed better with a -14.33% return vs -50.84%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, AIBD or DOG?

DOG is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.05% for AIBD.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, AIBD or DOG?

AIBD has the higher dividend yield at 5.81%, compared with 3.55% for DOG.

What is the main difference between AIBD and DOG?

AIBD tracks Solactive US AI & Big Data Index, while DOG tracks DJ Industrial Average (-100%). They also come from different issuers: Direxion and ProShares. Their fees differ too: 1.05% for AIBD and 0.95% for DOG.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

AIBD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.94 vs -1.16), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.