ADP vs. AIS

Last updated Jun 24, 2026

ADP (Automatic Data Processing, Inc.) is a stock, while AIS (VistaShares Artificial Intelligence Supercycle ETF) is Technology Equities fund actively managed by VistaShares. Over the past year, ADP returned -26.95% vs 204.96% for AIS. At a correlation of -0.06, they often move in opposite directions.

Performance

ADP vs. AIS - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) and VistaShares Artificial Intelligence Supercycle ETF (AIS). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, ADP achieves a -12.92% return, which is significantly lower than AIS's 113.37% return.

ADP

• 1D: 2.75%
• 1M: -1.39%
• YTD: -12.92%
• 6M: -12.84%
• 1Y: -26.95%
• 3Y*: 3.43%
• 5Y*: 4.65%
• 10Y*: 12.21%

AIS

• 1D: -8.85%
• 1M: 12.86%
• YTD: 113.37%
• 6M: 114.50%
• 1Y: 204.96%
• 3Y*: —
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

ADP vs. AIS - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024
ADP Automatic Data Processing, Inc.	-12.92%	-10.18%	-3.85%
AIS VistaShares Artificial Intelligence Supercycle ETF	113.37%	58.35%	-4.74%

Correlation

The correlation between ADP and AIS is -0.19, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.19
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 3, 2024	-0.06

The correlation between ADP and AIS shifts across timeframes, from -0.19 (1 year) to -0.06 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Return for Risk

ADP vs. AIS — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

ADP

ADP Risk / Return Rank: 9
ADP Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4
ADP Sortino Ratio Rank: 6
ADP Omega Ratio Rank: 7
ADP Calmar Ratio Rank: 15
ADP Martin Ratio Rank: 12

AIS

AIS Risk / Return Rank: 96
AIS Sharpe Ratio Rank: 98
AIS Sortino Ratio Rank: 94
AIS Omega Ratio Rank: 94
AIS Calmar Ratio Rank: 98
AIS Martin Ratio Rank: 97

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

ADP vs. AIS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) and VistaShares Artificial Intelligence Supercycle ETF (AIS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	ADP	AIS	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-1.10	4.96	-6.06
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	-1.57	4.50	-6.08
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	0.81	1.65	-0.84
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.71	13.02	-13.73
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-1.29	39.90	-41.20

ADP vs. AIS - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current ADP Sharpe Ratio is -1.10, which is lower than the AIS Sharpe Ratio of 4.96. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of ADP and AIS, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

ADP vs. AIS - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum ADP drawdown since its inception was -59.51%, which is greater than AIS's maximum drawdown of -32.78%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for ADP and AIS.

Drawdown Indicators

	ADP	AIS	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-59.51%	-32.78%	-26.73%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-38.16%	-15.84%	-22.32%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-40.78%	—	—
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-40.78%	—	—
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-40.78%	—	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-30.31%	-8.85%	-21.46%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-12.60%	-5.48%	-7.12%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	20.84%	5.16%	+15.68%

Volatility

ADP vs. AIS - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) is 8.81%, while VistaShares Artificial Intelligence Supercycle ETF (AIS) has a volatility of 23.82%. This indicates that ADP experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than AIS based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	ADP	AIS	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	8.81%	23.82%	-15.01%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	20.60%	36.25%	-15.65%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	24.56%	41.61%	-17.05%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	22.10%	41.09%	-18.99%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	24.50%	41.09%	-16.59%

Dividends

ADP vs. AIS - Dividend Comparison

ADP's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.01%, while AIS has not paid dividends to shareholders.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
ADP Automatic Data Processing, Inc.	3.01%	2.46%	1.96%	2.21%	1.83%	1.55%	2.08%	1.92%	2.14%	2.00%	2.10%	2.36%
AIS VistaShares Artificial Intelligence Supercycle ETF	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both ADP and AIS in my portfolio?

ADP and AIS have a correlation of -0.19, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, ADP or AIS?

AIS has higher volatility (23.82%) compared to ADP (8.81%). In terms of maximum drawdown, ADP dropped -59.51% vs AIS's -32.78%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

AIS currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (4.96 vs -1.10), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.