Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in All weather, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Oct 31, 2014, corresponding to the inception date of ARKK
Returns By Period
As of Apr 11, 2026, the All weather returned 0.95% Year-To-Date and 30.65% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -0.11% | 0.61% | -0.42% | 4.03% | 29.40% | 18.38% | 10.55% | 12.70% |
Portfolio All weather | 0.21% | -0.06% | 0.95% | -0.13% | 30.18% | 23.71% | 10.59% | 30.65% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | -0.12% | 0.86% | 0.25% | 4.74% | 31.69% | 19.61% | 10.91% | 14.16% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 0.28% | 3.03% | 8.62% | 16.60% | 45.32% | 17.90% | 9.43% | 9.81% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 0.55% | 2.14% | 5.56% | 10.14% | 39.09% | 15.31% | 4.99% | 8.10% |
AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | -0.17% | -0.00% | 0.42% | 0.85% | 6.34% | 3.58% | 0.28% | 1.67% |
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | -0.27% | -0.29% | 0.00% | -0.22% | 2.48% | 3.93% | 0.19% | 1.75% |
VTIP Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF | 0.04% | 0.27% | 1.24% | 1.40% | 4.62% | 4.71% | 3.51% | 3.10% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | -0.73% | 1.32% | 27.46% | 33.48% | 42.80% | 10.32% | 14.31% | 9.46% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | -0.18% | -8.19% | 10.34% | 18.50% | 49.74% | 33.09% | 21.94% | 13.95% |
ARKK ARK Innovation ETF | 0.54% | -5.17% | -9.92% | -19.91% | 55.60% | 21.69% | -10.63% | 14.41% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 1.48% | 3.78% | -16.73% | -35.51% | -8.41% | 34.08% | 3.97% | 67.16% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 1, 2014, All weather's average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +2.16%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.7 years.
Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Nov 2017 with a return of +27.3%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -14.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, All weather closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Dec 7, 2017 with a return of +16.0%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -13.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.75% | -0.01% | -4.21% | 3.60% | 0.95% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.86% | -3.80% | -1.95% | 2.99% | 5.31% | 5.35% | 2.57% | 0.97% | 5.78% | 1.27% | -3.00% | 0.01% | 21.64% |
| 2024 | -1.52% | 9.89% | 5.70% | -5.59% | 4.33% | -0.40% | 2.41% | -0.67% | 3.95% | 1.13% | 10.97% | -2.47% | 29.89% |
| 2023 | 13.48% | -2.68% | 6.74% | -0.02% | -1.41% | 6.08% | 3.14% | -5.66% | -2.65% | 3.81% | 9.43% | 6.91% | 41.81% |
| 2022 | -6.36% | 0.64% | 1.53% | -8.65% | -2.26% | -9.85% | 5.00% | -4.37% | -7.35% | 3.50% | 4.58% | -3.45% | -25.11% |
| 2021 | 3.18% | 6.74% | 6.63% | 2.12% | -7.94% | 0.65% | 2.56% | 3.73% | -4.13% | 11.67% | -4.52% | -2.96% | 17.26% |
Benchmark Metrics
All weather has an annualized alpha of 14.36%, beta of 0.74, and R² of 0.41 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 01, 2014.
- This portfolio captured 126.91% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 77.03% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- R² of 0.41 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 14.36%
- Beta
- 0.74
- R²
- 0.41
- Upside Capture
- 126.91%
- Downside Capture
- 77.03%
Expense Ratio
All weather has an expense ratio of 0.18%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
All weather ranks 17 for risk / return — in the bottom 17% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.09 | 2.23 | -0.15 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.80 | 3.12 | -0.31 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.34 | 1.42 | -0.08 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.02 | 4.05 | -3.02 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 2.48 | 17.91 | -15.43 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 70 | 2.36 | 3.28 | 1.44 | 4.38 | 19.06 |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 82 | 3.09 | 4.11 | 1.56 | 4.57 | 18.43 |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 71 | 2.55 | 3.50 | 1.48 | 4.14 | 15.31 |
AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 34 | 1.58 | 2.36 | 1.28 | 2.28 | 7.42 |
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | 16 | 0.77 | 1.11 | 1.14 | 0.82 | 3.09 |
VTIP Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF | 78 | 2.73 | 4.16 | 1.59 | 4.31 | 15.29 |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 70 | 2.44 | 3.20 | 1.43 | 6.54 | 14.58 |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 43 | 1.84 | 2.26 | 1.34 | 3.08 | 10.60 |
ARKK ARK Innovation ETF | 30 | 1.52 | 2.15 | 1.25 | 2.27 | 5.64 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 56 | -0.20 | 0.01 | 1.00 | -0.95 | -1.64 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
All weather provided a 1.43% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.43% | 1.55% | 1.73% | 1.82% | 1.57% | 1.31% | 1.16% | 1.58% | 1.91% | 1.37% | 1.33% | 1.63% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.13% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 2.77% | 3.22% | 3.35% | 3.15% | 2.91% | 3.16% | 2.04% | 3.04% | 3.35% | 2.77% | 3.05% | 2.92% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 2.56% | 2.79% | 3.20% | 3.52% | 4.11% | 2.63% | 1.91% | 3.23% | 2.88% | 2.30% | 2.52% | 3.26% |
AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 3.94% | 3.89% | 3.74% | 3.13% | 2.39% | 1.77% | 2.14% | 2.70% | 2.72% | 2.32% | 2.39% | 2.45% |
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | 4.46% | 4.39% | 4.18% | 4.42% | 1.51% | 3.74% | 1.11% | 3.40% | 3.01% | 2.23% | 1.89% | 1.63% |
VTIP Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF | 3.61% | 3.81% | 2.70% | 2.86% | 6.84% | 4.68% | 1.20% | 1.95% | 2.45% | 1.52% | 0.76% | 0.00% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 2.61% | 3.33% | 5.22% | 4.94% | 0.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.59% | 1.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ARKK ARK Innovation ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.70% | 0.00% | 0.55% | 1.64% | 0.38% | 3.14% | 1.32% | 0.00% | 2.27% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the All weather. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the All weather was 39.58%, occurring on Dec 25, 2018. Recovery took 589 trading sessions.
The current All weather drawdown is 4.79%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -39.58% | Dec 17, 2017 | 374 | Dec 25, 2018 | 589 | Aug 5, 2020 | 963 |
| -36.53% | Nov 9, 2021 | 341 | Oct 15, 2022 | 499 | Feb 26, 2024 | 840 |
| -16.82% | Nov 13, 2014 | 285 | Aug 24, 2015 | 246 | Apr 26, 2016 | 531 |
| -15.55% | Feb 21, 2025 | 47 | Apr 8, 2025 | 35 | May 13, 2025 | 82 |
| -14.54% | Sep 2, 2017 | 13 | Sep 14, 2017 | 27 | Oct 11, 2017 | 40 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 6.72, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BNDX | BTC-USD | IAU | AGG | VTIP | DBC | ARKK | VWO | VTI | VEA | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.02 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.28 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.99 | 0.80 | 0.66 |
| BNDX | 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.02 | 0.24 | 0.69 | 0.36 | -0.10 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| BTC-USD | 0.19 | 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.22 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.77 |
| IAU | 0.02 | 0.24 | 0.08 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.23 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| AGG | 0.02 | 0.69 | 0.02 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.52 | -0.07 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| VTIP | 0.07 | 0.36 | 0.03 | 0.33 | 0.52 | 1.00 | 0.23 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| DBC | 0.28 | -0.10 | 0.06 | 0.23 | -0.07 | 0.23 | 1.00 | 0.16 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| ARKK | 0.68 | 0.06 | 0.22 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.16 | 1.00 | 0.51 | 0.66 | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| VWO | 0.68 | 0.01 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 0.33 | 0.51 | 1.00 | 0.64 | 0.75 | 0.52 |
| VTI | 0.99 | 0.02 | 0.16 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.26 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| VEA | 0.80 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.14 | 0.32 | 0.53 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.57 |
| Portfolio | 0.66 | 0.06 | 0.77 | 0.19 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.28 | 0.59 | 0.52 | 0.60 | 0.57 | 1.00 |