PortfoliosLab logoPortfoliosLab logo
4 Ultimate ETF
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


^CASHX 25.00%GLD 25.00%SPY 25.00%XLE 25.00%BondBondCommodityCommodityEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right asset allocation for 4 Ultimate ETF

Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

Open Portfolio Optimizer

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 4 Ultimate ETF, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


Loading charts...

Returns By Period

As of Jun 13, 2026, the 4 Ultimate ETF returned 10.62% Year-To-Date and 11.48% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.50%0.31%8.56%8.85%24.33%19.37%11.84%13.61%
Portfolio
4 Ultimate ETF
0.34%-2.37%10.62%10.58%23.51%18.61%14.55%11.48%
^CASHX
US Money Market Index
0.01%0.27%1.60%1.78%3.88%4.63%3.53%2.32%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.06%-9.52%-2.47%-2.25%22.21%28.89%17.08%12.15%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
0.54%-0.86%9.07%9.42%25.67%20.86%13.36%15.42%
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
0.75%-0.90%29.56%28.37%34.84%16.18%20.12%9.91%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 18, 2004, 4 Ultimate ETF's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.77%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 7.5 years.

Historically, 60% of months were positive and 40% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +12.8%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -13.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, 4 Ultimate ETF closed higher 69% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 13, 2008 with a return of +7.1%, while the worst single day was Dec 1, 2008 at -6.0%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20267.05%4.68%-0.95%1.70%-0.17%-1.84%10.62%
20253.04%1.20%2.07%-2.24%1.95%2.59%1.21%2.76%3.85%1.25%2.14%0.61%22.31%
20240.02%2.36%5.69%-0.39%1.66%0.61%2.32%0.71%1.25%1.17%2.72%-3.37%15.51%
20233.81%-3.65%3.05%1.41%-2.66%2.85%3.44%-0.19%-1.60%-0.03%2.85%1.65%11.14%
20222.96%2.83%3.98%-3.11%3.28%-7.06%4.08%-1.02%-5.54%7.86%3.77%-1.54%9.80%
2021-0.13%4.96%1.86%2.39%3.52%-0.30%-0.85%0.28%-0.01%4.66%-1.68%2.76%18.62%

Benchmark Metrics

4 Ultimate ETF has an annualized alpha of 4.11%, beta of 0.51, and R2 of 0.62 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 18, 2004.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (56.38%) than losses (45.21%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 4.11% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • Beta of 0.51 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.

Alpha
4.11%
Beta
0.51
0.62
Upside Capture
56.38%
Downside Capture
45.21%

Expense Ratio

4 Ultimate ETF has an expense ratio of 0.14%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

4 Ultimate ETF ranks 85 for risk / return — in the top 85% of Portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.


4 Ultimate ETF Risk / Return Rank: 8585
Overall Rank
4 Ultimate ETF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7979
Sharpe Ratio Rank
4 Ultimate ETF Sortino Ratio Rank: 7979
Sortino Ratio Rank
4 Ultimate ETF Omega Ratio Rank: 8585
Omega Ratio Rank
4 Ultimate ETF Calmar Ratio Rank: 9292
Calmar Ratio Rank
4 Ultimate ETF Martin Ratio Rank: 8989
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 4 Ultimate ETF and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

2.45

1.86

+0.58

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

3.27

2.53

+0.74

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.47

1.34

+0.13

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

5.64

2.53

+3.11

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

19.17

11.37

+7.80


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
^CASHX
US Money Market Index
259.86
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
26
0.871.241.180.982.81
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
67
1.982.681.362.7412.39
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
58
1.822.401.303.108.63

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk. Learn how to interpret the Sharpe ratio.

The current 4 Ultimate ETF Sharpe ratio is 2.45 as of Jun 13, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.53 to 2.41, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of 4 Ultimate ETF compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


Loading charts...

Dividends

Dividend yield

4 Ultimate ETF provided a 0.90% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio0.90%1.09%1.14%1.24%1.33%1.35%1.79%2.12%1.40%1.21%1.07%1.36%
^CASHX
US Money Market Index
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
1.00%1.07%1.21%1.40%1.65%1.20%1.52%1.75%2.04%1.80%2.03%2.06%
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
2.59%3.28%3.36%3.55%3.68%4.21%5.62%6.72%3.54%3.03%2.26%3.39%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


Loading charts...

Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 4 Ultimate ETF. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the 4 Ultimate ETF was 31.96%, occurring on Nov 20, 2008. Recovery took 692 trading sessions.

The current 4 Ultimate ETF drawdown is 2.85%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

Financial crisis2007–2009
-31.96%Nov 2008
6mo 3d1y 10mo
2y 4moMay 2008 - Oct 2010
COVID crash2020
-22.91%Mar 2020
2mo 16d2mo 14d
5moJan 2020 - Jun 2020
2016 correction2016
-18.08%Jan 2016
1y 6mo1y 7mo
3y 2moJul 2014 - Sep 2017
Bear market2022
-12.42%Sep 2022
3mo 20d3mo 18d
7mo 8dJun 2022 - Jan 2023
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018
-11.79%Dec 2018
10mo 29d5mo 28d
1y 4moJan 2018 - Jun 2019

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


Loading charts...

Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.57

1.46

1.42

1.36

1.32

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.32, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.

4 Ultimate ETF correlation to the S&P 500 Index

4 Ultimate ETF has a 0.39 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.39

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.53

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.60

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.66

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 18, 2004

0.71


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SPY has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.99, while ^CASHX has the lowest at -0.01.

^CASHX
-0.01
GLD
0.07
XLE
0.59
SPY
0.99

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. 4 Ultimate ETF. XLE has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.82, while ^CASHX has the lowest at 0.11.

^CASHX
0.11
GLD
0.44
SPY
0.65
XLE
0.82

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

^CASHXGLDXLESPY
^CASHX1.000.020.01-0.01
GLD0.021.000.150.06
XLE0.010.151.000.54
SPY-0.010.060.541.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Nov 18, 2004
Diversification Analysis

Find what 4 Ultimate ETF is missing

See which holdings overlap, where 4 Ultimate ETF is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification