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2025 Base
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


GLD 20.00%BTC-USD 10.00%SPY 40.00%EWS 30.00%CommodityCommodityCryptocurrencyCryptocurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right asset allocation for 2025 Base

Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 2025 Base, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period

As of Jun 13, 2026, the 2025 Base returned 2.64% Year-To-Date and 20.70% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.50%0.31%8.56%8.85%24.33%19.37%11.84%13.61%
Portfolio
2025 Base
0.22%-2.84%2.64%3.24%15.88%25.17%14.47%20.70%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
2.42%-17.06%-25.06%-25.64%-37.83%36.87%10.30%55.97%
EWS
iShares MSCI Singapore ETF
0.07%0.24%5.96%7.68%18.15%20.28%8.93%7.88%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.06%-7.37%-2.47%-2.25%22.21%28.89%17.08%12.15%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
0.54%0.35%9.07%9.42%25.67%20.86%13.36%15.42%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 29, 2012, 2025 Base's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.98%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.9 years.

Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Nov 2013 with a return of +64.4%, while the worst month was Dec 2013 at -18.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 8 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, 2025 Base closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 18, 2013 with a return of +13.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -11.5%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.80%0.86%-4.98%5.88%2.04%-3.58%2.64%
20254.41%-1.12%0.30%2.87%5.36%3.22%2.15%2.97%4.53%1.39%-0.53%0.04%28.52%
2024-1.16%6.82%5.97%-1.81%4.56%0.72%2.85%1.66%4.83%0.48%7.58%-2.06%34.26%
202310.05%-3.72%7.01%1.13%-2.45%4.06%3.87%-4.24%-2.95%2.11%5.87%5.57%28.26%
2022-4.50%1.00%1.98%-7.51%-2.68%-8.32%6.59%-4.63%-6.40%3.66%5.63%-2.45%-17.50%
20210.46%4.79%7.87%3.32%-1.36%-1.81%3.59%2.17%-3.81%8.94%-3.29%-0.06%21.82%

Benchmark Metrics

2025 Base has an annualized alpha of 11.96%, beta of 0.68, and R2 of 0.44 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 29, 2012.

  • This portfolio captured 111.81% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 72.86% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
  • Beta of 0.68 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.44 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R2 of 0.44 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
11.96%
Beta
0.68
0.44
Upside Capture
111.81%
Downside Capture
72.86%

Expense Ratio

2025 Base has an expense ratio of 0.27%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

2025 Base ranks 16 for risk / return — in the bottom 16% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


2025 Base Risk / Return Rank: 1616
Overall Rank
2025 Base Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1616
Sharpe Ratio Rank
2025 Base Sortino Ratio Rank: 1515
Sortino Ratio Rank
2025 Base Omega Ratio Rank: 1515
Omega Ratio Rank
2025 Base Calmar Ratio Rank: 1616
Calmar Ratio Rank
2025 Base Martin Ratio Rank: 1616
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 2025 Base and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

1.15

1.86

-0.71

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

1.60

2.53

-0.93

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.20

1.34

-0.14

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

1.47

2.53

-1.06

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

4.62

11.37

-6.75


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
36
-0.88-1.200.88-0.74-1.28
EWS
iShares MSCI Singapore ETF
38
1.151.691.212.245.40
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
25
0.871.241.180.982.81
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
67
1.982.681.362.7412.39

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk. Learn how to interpret the Sharpe ratio.

The current 2025 Base Sharpe ratio is 1.15 as of Jun 13, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.53 to 2.41, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of 2025 Base compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

2025 Base provided a 1.56% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.56%1.66%1.77%2.51%1.43%2.28%1.41%2.11%2.08%1.76%2.00%2.09%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
EWS
iShares MSCI Singapore ETF
3.87%4.10%4.28%6.50%2.56%6.00%2.68%4.70%4.21%3.46%3.96%4.20%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
1.00%1.07%1.21%1.40%1.65%1.20%1.52%1.75%2.04%1.80%2.03%2.06%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2025 Base. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the 2025 Base was 30.22%, occurring on Aug 24, 2015. Recovery took 546 trading sessions.

The current 2025 Base drawdown is 4.73%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

2015 bear market2015
-30.22%Aug 2015
1y 8mo1y 6mo
3y 2moDec 2013 - Feb 2017
Bear market2022
-28.66%Oct 2022
11mo 10d1y 3mo
2y 3moNov 2021 - Feb 2024
COVID crash2020
-28.44%Mar 2020
1mo 8d4mo 16d
5mo 24dFeb 2020 - Aug 2020
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018
-25.77%Dec 2018
1y 8d5mo 29d
1y 6moDec 2017 - Jun 2019
2013 correction2013
-19.71%Jul 2013
2mo 26d4mo 3d
6mo 29dApr 2013 - Nov 2013

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.33, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.39

1.42

1.39

1.45

1.52

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.52, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.

2025 Base correlation to the S&P 500 Index

2025 Base has a 0.81 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.81

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.78

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.80

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.74

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 29, 2012

0.70


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SPY has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while GLD has the lowest at 0.02.

GLD
0.02
EWS
0.61
SPY
1.00

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. 2025 Base. BTC-USD has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.67, while GLD has the lowest at 0.26.

GLD
0.26
EWS
0.61
SPY
0.62

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

GLDBTC-USDEWSSPY
GLD1.000.070.150.02
BTC-USD0.071.000.090.13
EWS0.150.091.000.56
SPY0.020.130.561.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Sep 29, 2012
Diversification Analysis

Find what 2025 Base is missing

See which holdings overlap, where 2025 Base is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification