Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 40% |
EWS iShares MSCI Singapore ETF | Asia Pacific Equities | 30% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 20% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 10% |
Find the right asset allocation for 2025 Base
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 2025 Base, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 13, 2026, the 2025 Base returned 2.64% Year-To-Date and 20.70% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio 2025 Base | 0.22% | -2.84% | 2.64% | 3.24% | 15.88% | 25.17% | 14.47% | 20.70% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 2.42% | -17.06% | -25.06% | -25.64% | -37.83% | 36.87% | 10.30% | 55.97% |
EWS iShares MSCI Singapore ETF | 0.07% | 0.24% | 5.96% | 7.68% | 18.15% | 20.28% | 8.93% | 7.88% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.06% | -7.37% | -2.47% | -2.25% | 22.21% | 28.89% | 17.08% | 12.15% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0.54% | 0.35% | 9.07% | 9.42% | 25.67% | 20.86% | 13.36% | 15.42% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 29, 2012, 2025 Base's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.98%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.9 years.
Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Nov 2013 with a return of +64.4%, while the worst month was Dec 2013 at -18.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 8 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, 2025 Base closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 18, 2013 with a return of +13.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -11.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.80% | 0.86% | -4.98% | 5.88% | 2.04% | -3.58% | 2.64% | ||||||
| 2025 | 4.41% | -1.12% | 0.30% | 2.87% | 5.36% | 3.22% | 2.15% | 2.97% | 4.53% | 1.39% | -0.53% | 0.04% | 28.52% |
| 2024 | -1.16% | 6.82% | 5.97% | -1.81% | 4.56% | 0.72% | 2.85% | 1.66% | 4.83% | 0.48% | 7.58% | -2.06% | 34.26% |
| 2023 | 10.05% | -3.72% | 7.01% | 1.13% | -2.45% | 4.06% | 3.87% | -4.24% | -2.95% | 2.11% | 5.87% | 5.57% | 28.26% |
| 2022 | -4.50% | 1.00% | 1.98% | -7.51% | -2.68% | -8.32% | 6.59% | -4.63% | -6.40% | 3.66% | 5.63% | -2.45% | -17.50% |
| 2021 | 0.46% | 4.79% | 7.87% | 3.32% | -1.36% | -1.81% | 3.59% | 2.17% | -3.81% | 8.94% | -3.29% | -0.06% | 21.82% |
Benchmark Metrics
2025 Base has an annualized alpha of 11.96%, beta of 0.68, and R2 of 0.44 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 29, 2012.
- This portfolio captured 111.81% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 72.86% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
- Beta of 0.68 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.44 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.44 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 11.96%
- Beta
- 0.68
- R²
- 0.44
- Upside Capture
- 111.81%
- Downside Capture
- 72.86%
Expense Ratio
2025 Base has an expense ratio of 0.27%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
2025 Base ranks 16 for risk / return — in the bottom 16% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 2025 Base and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.15 | 1.86 | -0.71 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.60 | 2.53 | -0.93 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.20 | 1.34 | -0.14 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.47 | 2.53 | -1.06 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 4.62 | 11.37 | -6.75 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 36 | -0.88 | -1.20 | 0.88 | -0.74 | -1.28 |
EWS iShares MSCI Singapore ETF | 38 | 1.15 | 1.69 | 1.21 | 2.24 | 5.40 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 25 | 0.87 | 1.24 | 1.18 | 0.98 | 2.81 |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 67 | 1.98 | 2.68 | 1.36 | 2.74 | 12.39 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
2025 Base provided a 1.56% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.56% | 1.66% | 1.77% | 2.51% | 1.43% | 2.28% | 1.41% | 2.11% | 2.08% | 1.76% | 2.00% | 2.09% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
EWS iShares MSCI Singapore ETF | 3.87% | 4.10% | 4.28% | 6.50% | 2.56% | 6.00% | 2.68% | 4.70% | 4.21% | 3.46% | 3.96% | 4.20% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.00% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2025 Base. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 2025 Base was 30.22%, occurring on Aug 24, 2015. Recovery took 546 trading sessions.
The current 2025 Base drawdown is 4.73%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 bear market2015 | -30.22%Aug 2015 | 1y 8mo | 1y 6mo | 3y 2moDec 2013 - Feb 2017 |
Bear market2022 | -28.66%Oct 2022 | 11mo 10d | 1y 3mo | 2y 3moNov 2021 - Feb 2024 |
COVID crash2020 | -28.44%Mar 2020 | 1mo 8d | 4mo 16d | 5mo 24dFeb 2020 - Aug 2020 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -25.77%Dec 2018 | 1y 8d | 5mo 29d | 1y 6moDec 2017 - Jun 2019 |
2013 correction2013 | -19.71%Jul 2013 | 2mo 26d | 4mo 3d | 6mo 29dApr 2013 - Nov 2013 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.33, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.39 | 1.45 | 1.52 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.52, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
2025 Base correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.81 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.78 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.80 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.74 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 29, 2012 | 0.70 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SPY has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while GLD has the lowest at 0.02.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 2025 Base is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 2025 Base is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification