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BTC-USD vs. SPY
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility

Performance

BTC-USD vs. SPY - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, BTC-USD achieves a -29.97% return, which is significantly lower than SPY's 8.45% return. Over the past 10 years, BTC-USD has outperformed SPY with an annualized return of 59.37%, while SPY has yielded a comparatively lower 15.16% annualized return.


BTC-USD

1D
-3.97%
1M
-24.76%
YTD
-29.97%
6M
-31.42%
1Y
-39.67%
3Y*
31.02%
5Y*
11.35%
10Y*
59.37%

SPY

1D
-2.58%
1M
0.51%
YTD
8.45%
6M
8.18%
1Y
25.79%
3Y*
21.43%
5Y*
13.32%
10Y*
15.16%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

BTC-USD vs. SPY - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
-29.97%-6.27%120.76%155.82%-64.23%59.40%304.57%94.10%-73.37%1,324.24%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
8.45%17.72%24.89%26.18%-18.18%28.73%18.33%31.22%-4.57%21.71%

Correlation

The correlation between BTC-USD and SPY is 0.39, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.39

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.27

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.31

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.19

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 21, 2012

0.13

Over the past year, BTC-USD and SPY have become more correlated (0.39) than their long-term average of 0.13, meaning their price movements have been converging.

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Return for Risk

BTC-USD vs. SPY — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

BTC-USD
BTC-USD Risk / Return Rank: 3030
Overall Rank
BTC-USD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1515
Sharpe Ratio Rank
BTC-USD Sortino Ratio Rank: 3333
Sortino Ratio Rank
BTC-USD Omega Ratio Rank: 3333
Omega Ratio Rank
BTC-USD Calmar Ratio Rank: 4848
Calmar Ratio Rank
BTC-USD Martin Ratio Rank: 2222
Martin Ratio Rank

SPY
SPY Risk / Return Rank: 6666
Overall Rank
SPY Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6666
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SPY Sortino Ratio Rank: 6363
Sortino Ratio Rank
SPY Omega Ratio Rank: 6666
Omega Ratio Rank
SPY Calmar Ratio Rank: 6060
Calmar Ratio Rank
SPY Martin Ratio Rank: 7373
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

BTC-USD vs. SPY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


BTC-USDSPYDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-3.07

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-4.17

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.87

1.39

-0.52

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.78

2.92

-3.70

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-1.39

13.50

-14.90

BTC-USD vs. SPY - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current BTC-USD Sharpe Ratio is -0.93, which is lower than the SPY Sharpe Ratio of 2.14. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of BTC-USD and SPY, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


BTC-USDSPYDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.93

2.14

-3.07

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.21

0.78

-0.57

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.87

0.85

+0.02

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

1.13

0.58

+0.54

Drawdowns

BTC-USD vs. SPY - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum BTC-USD drawdown since its inception was -85.30%, which is greater than SPY's maximum drawdown of -55.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for BTC-USD and SPY.


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Drawdown Indicators


BTC-USDSPYDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-85.30%

-55.19%

-30.11%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-50.87%

-8.88%

-41.99%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-50.87%

-18.76%

-32.11%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-76.67%

-24.50%

-52.17%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-83.80%

-33.72%

-50.08%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-50.87%

-2.90%

-47.97%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-42.29%

-9.05%

-33.24%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

34.02%

1.91%

+32.11%

Volatility

BTC-USD vs. SPY - Volatility Comparison

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has a higher volatility of 10.54% compared to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) at 3.73%. This indicates that BTC-USD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


BTC-USDSPYDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

10.54%

3.73%

+6.81%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

34.26%

9.31%

+24.95%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

35.65%

12.12%

+23.53%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

44.98%

17.09%

+27.89%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

56.70%

17.95%

+38.75%

Frequently Asked Questions


BTC-USD and SPY have a correlation of 0.39, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

BTC-USD has higher volatility (10.54%) compared to SPY (3.73%). In terms of maximum drawdown, BTC-USD dropped -85.30% vs SPY's -55.19%.

SPY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.14 vs -0.93), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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