Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF | Corporate Bonds | 10% |
SCHP Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF | Inflation-Protected Bonds | 10% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 10% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 10% | |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 10% | |
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | Global Equities | 10% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | REIT | 10% |
VMBS Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF | Mortgage Backed Securities | 4.29% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Nasdaq-100 | 4.29% |
ARKK ARK Innovation ETF | Technology Equities | 4.29% |
BIZD VanEck BDC Income ETF | Financials Equities | 4.29% |
IFRA iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF | Industrials Equities | 4.29% |
IYT iShares Transportation Average ETF | Transportation Equities | 4.29% |
BVDAX BlackRock 60/40 Target Allocation ETF VI Fund | Diversified Portfolio | 4.29% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Yale Underground III, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -1.44% | -1.45% | 7.60% | 6.59% | 22.24% | 19.20% | 11.54% | 13.71% |
Portfolio Yale Underground III | -0.91% | -3.46% | -3.23% | -4.18% | 4.47% | 16.61% | 11.62% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
ARKK ARK Innovation ETF | -2.23% | 0.37% | -0.31% | -4.76% | 11.37% | 22.42% | -9.10% | 15.90% |
BIZD VanEck BDC Income ETF | 0.65% | -0.65% | -9.87% | -8.40% | -12.75% | 5.35% | 3.92% | 7.56% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -1.58% | -18.24% | -28.07% | -28.01% | -40.30% | 27.25% | 12.68% | 57.41% |
BVDAX BlackRock 60/40 Target Allocation ETF VI Fund | -0.12% | 1.88% | 9.42% | 8.90% | 20.67% | 14.79% | 7.86% | — |
ETH-USD Ethereum | -3.30% | -20.41% | -43.74% | -43.66% | -30.82% | -3.82% | -3.44% | 60.88% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -1.89% | -8.82% | -4.79% | -8.78% | 21.29% | 28.41% | 17.84% | 11.59% |
IFRA iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF | -0.86% | 2.48% | 19.25% | 17.89% | 30.85% | 20.61% | 14.07% | — |
IYT iShares Transportation Average ETF | -0.78% | 3.24% | 13.27% | 12.06% | 27.89% | 13.54% | 6.34% | 11.13% |
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF | 0.12% | 0.88% | 0.73% | 0.70% | 5.10% | 4.92% | -0.25% | 2.48% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | -3.29% | -0.43% | 16.45% | 14.99% | 34.88% | 26.05% | 16.01% | 22.07% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 5, 2018, Yale Underground III's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.77%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.3 years.
Historically, 56% of months were positive and 44% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +23.9%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -16.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, Yale Underground III closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was May 24, 2021 with a return of +7.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -15.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.50% | -0.86% | -3.83% | 5.97% | 0.07% | -3.82% | -3.23% | ||||||
| 2025 | 3.38% | -4.61% | -2.76% | 1.52% | 5.76% | 2.93% | 4.98% | 3.01% | 2.78% | -0.26% | -3.33% | -0.41% | 13.12% |
| 2024 | -1.26% | 10.90% | 5.39% | -7.03% | 6.69% | -1.48% | 2.04% | -2.63% | 3.40% | 0.26% | 12.69% | -4.28% | 25.31% |
| 2023 | 13.40% | -2.03% | 6.28% | 0.53% | -1.08% | 4.77% | 1.18% | -5.17% | -2.61% | 3.42% | 9.29% | 7.43% | 39.58% |
| 2022 | -8.20% | 1.24% | 2.45% | -8.46% | -4.93% | -10.60% | 8.20% | -4.47% | -8.54% | 4.00% | 3.29% | -3.46% | -27.38% |
| 2021 | 8.94% | 5.66% | 11.10% | 10.97% | -4.88% | -4.38% | 5.15% | 10.97% | -6.59% | 19.16% | 0.94% | -7.94% | 55.80% |
Benchmark Metrics
Yale Underground III has an annualized alpha of 5.80%, beta of 0.68, and R2 of 0.36 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 05, 2018.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (80.84%) than losses (75.46%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.68 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.36 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.36 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 5.80%
- Beta
- 0.68
- R²
- 0.36
- Upside Capture
- 80.84%
- Downside Capture
- 75.46%
Expense Ratio
Yale Underground III has an expense ratio of 0.71%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Top 10 holdings
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Yale Underground III ranks 7 for risk / return — in the bottom 7% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Yale Underground III and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.30 | 1.78 | -1.49 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.51 | 2.44 | -1.93 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.06 | 1.32 | -0.27 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.32 | 2.46 | -2.13 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.71 | 10.92 | -10.21 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ARKK ARK Innovation ETF | 13 | 0.32 | 0.69 | 1.08 | 0.36 | 0.78 |
BIZD VanEck BDC Income ETF | 4 | -0.69 | -0.89 | 0.90 | -0.58 | -0.96 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 21 | -0.94 | -1.33 | 0.86 | -0.79 | -1.32 |
BVDAX BlackRock 60/40 Target Allocation ETF VI Fund | 72 | 2.26 | 3.20 | 1.43 | 3.09 | 13.59 |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 66 | -0.46 | -0.31 | 0.97 | -0.46 | -0.76 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 22 | 0.78 | 1.13 | 1.17 | 0.87 | 2.35 |
IFRA iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF | 68 | 2.05 | 2.97 | 1.34 | 3.69 | 13.48 |
IYT iShares Transportation Average ETF | 43 | 1.36 | 1.95 | 1.24 | 2.32 | 7.51 |
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF | 28 | 0.96 | 1.43 | 1.17 | 1.53 | 4.28 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 59 | 1.95 | 2.57 | 1.35 | 2.93 | 10.86 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Yale Underground III provided a 2.53% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.53% | 2.52% | 2.47% | 2.20% | 2.52% | 2.05% | 1.76% | 1.91% | 2.35% | 1.75% | 1.73% | 1.69% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
ARKK ARK Innovation ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.70% | 0.00% | 0.55% | 1.64% | 0.38% | 3.14% | 1.32% | 0.00% | 2.27% |
BIZD VanEck BDC Income ETF | 14.01% | 11.78% | 10.94% | 10.96% | 11.21% | 8.14% | 10.39% | 9.13% | 10.88% | 9.13% | 8.51% | 9.12% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BVDAX BlackRock 60/40 Target Allocation ETF VI Fund | 5.74% | 6.28% | 8.43% | 2.01% | 2.23% | 9.51% | 1.69% | 2.94% | 2.52% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IFRA iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF | 1.56% | 1.84% | 1.75% | 1.98% | 1.98% | 1.63% | 2.08% | 1.68% | 2.50% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IYT iShares Transportation Average ETF | 0.93% | 1.00% | 1.08% | 1.26% | 1.40% | 0.77% | 0.93% | 1.29% | 1.35% | 0.92% | 0.96% | 1.28% |
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF | 4.56% | 4.48% | 4.45% | 3.99% | 3.30% | 2.30% | 2.66% | 3.29% | 3.67% | 3.10% | 3.34% | 3.47% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.43% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Yale Underground III. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Yale Underground III was 39.55%, occurring on Oct 15, 2022. Recovery took 506 trading sessions.
The current Yale Underground III drawdown is 9.94%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -39.55%Oct 2022 | 11mo 10d | 1y 4mo | 2y 3moNov 2021 - Mar 2024 |
COVID crash2020 | -33.00%Mar 2020 | 1mo 2d | 4mo 9d | 5mo 11dFeb 2020 - Jul 2020 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -27.66%Dec 2018 | 7mo 23d | 5mo 26d | 1y 1moMay 2018 - Jun 2019 |
2021 bear market2021 | -24.24%Jul 2021 | 2mo 8d | 1mo 18d | 3mo 26dMay 2021 - Sep 2021 |
2025 selloff2025 | -17.44%Apr 2025 | 3mo 22d | 2mo 25d | 6mo 17dDec 2024 - Jul 2025 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 14 assets, with an effective number of assets of 12.07, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.42 | 1.46 | 1.42 | 1.45 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.45, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Yale Underground III correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.75 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.66 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.67 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 5, 2018 | 0.57 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VT has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.96, while GLD has the lowest at 0.09.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Yale Underground III is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Yale Underground III is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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