Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BCIL Bancreek International Large Cap ETF | Foreign Large Cap Equities | 7.14% |
EFG iShares MSCI EAFE Growth ETF | Foreign Large Cap Equities | 7.14% |
GOOG Alphabet Inc | Communication Services | 7.14% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | Gold, Precious Metals | 7.14% |
IBM International Business Machines Corporation | Technology | 7.14% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | Technology | 7.14% |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | Communication Services | 7.14% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 7.14% |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 7.14% |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | Technology | 7.14% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities | 7.14% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 7.14% |
VIG Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF | Dividend | 7.14% |
VIGI Vanguard International Dividend Appreciation ETF | Foreign Large Cap Equities, Dividend | 7.14% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Watchlist, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Mar 21, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of BCIL
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Watchlist | 0.51% | -2.11% | -7.22% | -8.08% | 30.91% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
IBM International Business Machines Corporation | 2.06% | 1.17% | -15.74% | -12.48% | 1.74% | 27.71% | 18.92% | 10.02% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 1.11% | -7.54% | -22.60% | -27.29% | -1.52% | 10.00% | 9.94% | 22.58% |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | 3.25% | 0.98% | 5.23% | -15.13% | 5.46% | 41.49% | 12.83% | 25.19% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.93% | -1.47% | -4.88% | -6.08% | 60.69% | 85.17% | 66.71% | 70.07% |
GOOG Alphabet Inc | -0.15% | -2.93% | -6.10% | 19.65% | 86.00% | 41.44% | 22.67% | 23.06% |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | -0.74% | -2.61% | 0.23% | -12.91% | -3.23% | 16.47% | 21.98% | 17.55% |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 1.34% | 0.84% | -16.48% | -20.63% | 69.77% | 160.69% | 45.12% | — |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | -1.94% | -8.32% | 8.34% | 21.05% | 49.18% | 32.68% | 21.72% | 14.14% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0.09% | -3.34% | -3.56% | -1.44% | 17.51% | 18.37% | 11.88% | 14.11% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.11% | -2.64% | -4.65% | -3.18% | 23.45% | 22.97% | 13.18% | 19.05% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Mar 22, 2024, Watchlist's average daily return is +0.12%, while the average monthly return is +2.24%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.6 years.
Historically, 69% of months were positive and 31% were negative. The best month was Apr 2025 with a return of +10.8%, while the worst month was Nov 2025 at -4.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Watchlist closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +10.4%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -6.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -3.22% | -2.82% | -2.66% | 1.33% | -7.22% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 5.16% | -0.10% | -2.73% | 10.80% | 7.84% | 5.49% | 3.53% | 1.23% | 8.28% | 4.43% | -4.57% | 0.21% | 45.97% |
| 2024 | -0.87% | -4.40% | 5.76% | 5.18% | 0.90% | 3.75% | 3.63% | 0.64% | 10.68% | 0.77% | 28.37% |
Benchmark Metrics
Watchlist has an annualized alpha of 16.84%, beta of 1.13, and R² of 0.71 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since March 22, 2024.
- This portfolio captured 131.22% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 5.48% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 16.84% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 1.13 and R² of 0.71, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 16.84%
- Beta
- 1.13
- R²
- 0.71
- Upside Capture
- 131.22%
- Downside Capture
- 5.48%
Expense Ratio
Watchlist has an expense ratio of 0.14%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Watchlist ranks 48 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.31 | 0.88 | +0.43 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.91 | 1.37 | +0.54 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.25 | 1.21 | +0.05 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.92 | 1.39 | +0.53 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 5.66 | 6.43 | -0.77 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IBM International Business Machines Corporation | 39 | 0.05 | 0.29 | 1.04 | 0.06 | 0.15 |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 35 | -0.06 | 0.11 | 1.01 | -0.05 | -0.12 |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | 42 | 0.16 | 0.48 | 1.06 | 0.14 | 0.30 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 81 | 1.47 | 2.17 | 1.27 | 3.02 | 7.54 |
GOOG Alphabet Inc | 94 | 2.87 | 3.82 | 1.47 | 4.14 | 15.67 |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | 30 | -0.15 | -0.06 | 0.99 | -0.22 | -0.47 |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 74 | 1.22 | 1.79 | 1.24 | 1.99 | 4.80 |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 80 | 1.78 | 2.21 | 1.33 | 2.58 | 9.32 |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 53 | 0.92 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.51 | 7.11 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 59 | 1.04 | 1.62 | 1.23 | 1.93 | 7.00 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Watchlist provided a 0.93% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.93% | 0.88% | 0.85% | 0.88% | 0.97% | 1.23% | 0.86% | 1.00% | 1.19% | 0.99% | 1.04% | 1.02% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
IBM International Business Machines Corporation | 2.71% | 2.27% | 3.03% | 4.05% | 4.68% | 4.74% | 5.17% | 4.80% | 5.46% | 3.85% | 3.31% | 3.63% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 0.93% | 0.70% | 0.73% | 0.74% | 1.06% | 0.68% | 0.94% | 1.20% | 1.69% | 1.86% | 2.37% | 2.33% |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
GOOG Alphabet Inc | 0.29% | 0.26% | 0.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.13% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.48% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Watchlist. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Watchlist was 20.30%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 24 trading sessions.
The current Watchlist drawdown is 12.54%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -20.3% | Feb 19, 2025 | 35 | Apr 8, 2025 | 24 | May 13, 2025 | 59 |
| -16.64% | Nov 4, 2025 | 100 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -8.92% | Jul 11, 2024 | 18 | Aug 5, 2024 | 10 | Aug 19, 2024 | 28 |
| -6.57% | Dec 26, 2024 | 11 | Jan 13, 2025 | 6 | Jan 22, 2025 | 17 |
| -5.95% | Mar 25, 2024 | 19 | Apr 19, 2024 | 21 | May 20, 2024 | 40 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 14 assets, with an effective number of assets of 14.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | IAU | ORLY | NFLX | IBM | GOOG | PLTR | NVDA | MSFT | BCIL | VIGI | VIG | EFG | QQQ | SPY | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.11 | 0.16 | 0.42 | 0.46 | 0.59 | 0.57 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.64 | 0.67 | 0.85 | 0.76 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| IAU | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.12 | 0.28 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| ORLY | 0.16 | 0.08 | 1.00 | 0.09 | 0.23 | 0.02 | -0.02 | -0.10 | 0.05 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.30 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| NFLX | 0.42 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.37 | 0.36 | 0.43 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.47 | 0.42 | 0.51 |
| IBM | 0.46 | 0.05 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.51 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.46 | 0.43 |
| GOOG | 0.59 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.64 | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| PLTR | 0.57 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 0.37 | 0.30 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.44 | 0.45 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.60 | 0.56 | 0.85 |
| NVDA | 0.65 | 0.03 | -0.10 | 0.36 | 0.18 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 1.00 | 0.51 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.44 | 0.72 | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| MSFT | 0.65 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.43 | 0.28 | 0.44 | 0.45 | 0.51 | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.69 | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| BCIL | 0.64 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.39 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.82 | 0.64 | 0.84 | 0.55 | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| VIGI | 0.67 | 0.30 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.38 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.82 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.93 | 0.58 | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| VIG | 0.85 | 0.12 | 0.30 | 0.27 | 0.51 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.44 | 0.64 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.71 | 0.69 | 0.85 | 0.60 |
| EFG | 0.76 | 0.28 | 0.15 | 0.29 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.41 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.84 | 0.93 | 0.71 | 1.00 | 0.71 | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| QQQ | 0.94 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 0.47 | 0.40 | 0.64 | 0.60 | 0.72 | 0.69 | 0.55 | 0.58 | 0.69 | 0.71 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 0.85 |
| SPY | 1.00 | 0.11 | 0.16 | 0.42 | 0.46 | 0.59 | 0.56 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.85 | 0.76 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| Portfolio | 0.82 | 0.17 | 0.09 | 0.51 | 0.43 | 0.54 | 0.85 | 0.65 | 0.61 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 0.60 | 0.65 | 0.85 | 0.82 | 1.00 |