Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | Total Bond Market | 20% |
VYMI Vanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF | Dividend, Foreign Large Cap Equities | 20% |
STIP iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF | Inflation-Protected Bonds | 18% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Nasdaq-100 | 15% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 10% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 10% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductors, Technology Equities | 5% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 2% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in *60 40 test, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 9, 2026, the *60 40 test returned 8.43% Year-To-Date and 14.78% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.30% | 0.09% | 8.18% | 8.17% | 23.42% | 19.88% | 11.91% | 13.45% |
Portfolio *60 40 test | 0.69% | -1.12% | 8.43% | 9.27% | 23.48% | 19.70% | 11.96% | 14.78% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | -0.03% | -0.67% | -0.07% | 0.23% | 4.87% | 3.89% | -0.05% | 1.53% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -1.22% | -22.47% | -28.54% | -31.02% | -40.89% | 33.16% | 10.82% | 59.68% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.26% | -8.41% | 0.24% | 3.07% | 30.18% | 29.71% | 17.55% | 12.56% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 1.56% | 0.68% | 16.71% | 15.00% | 35.78% | 27.15% | 16.98% | 21.59% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 5.00% | 5.58% | 66.10% | 62.81% | 137.42% | 60.43% | 37.89% | 36.92% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0.23% | 0.22% | 8.70% | 8.75% | 24.79% | 21.35% | 13.42% | 15.27% |
STIP iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF | 0.01% | -0.17% | 1.78% | 1.92% | 4.65% | 5.17% | 3.38% | 3.12% |
VYMI Vanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF | 0.24% | -1.37% | 10.04% | 13.58% | 27.88% | 20.99% | 11.79% | 10.62% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Mar 2, 2016, *60 40 test's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +1.19%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 4.9 years.
Historically, 70% of months were positive and 30% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +7.6%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -7.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, *60 40 test closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.1%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -7.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.24% | 1.96% | -4.32% | 6.13% | 3.41% | -1.90% | 8.43% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.47% | 0.32% | -0.39% | 1.79% | 3.35% | 3.17% | 0.82% | 2.33% | 3.76% | 2.19% | 0.70% | 1.07% | 23.75% |
| 2024 | 0.42% | 3.11% | 3.14% | -2.32% | 4.06% | 1.51% | 1.29% | 1.18% | 2.26% | -0.82% | 2.42% | -1.19% | 15.92% |
| 2023 | 6.84% | -2.05% | 4.69% | 0.86% | 0.66% | 3.18% | 2.34% | -1.97% | -2.92% | -0.15% | 6.63% | 4.41% | 24.26% |
| 2022 | -2.96% | -0.65% | 0.75% | -5.95% | 0.35% | -5.90% | 4.09% | -3.57% | -6.38% | 2.27% | 5.93% | -2.35% | -14.26% |
| 2021 | 0.11% | 1.28% | 2.24% | 2.43% | 0.42% | 0.50% | 1.68% | 1.73% | -2.89% | 4.39% | -0.40% | 1.57% | 13.66% |
Benchmark Metrics
*60 40 test has an annualized alpha of 6.52%, beta of 0.52, and R2 of 0.76 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since March 02, 2016.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (68.67%) than losses (52.36%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 6.52% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.52 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 6.52%
- Beta
- 0.52
- R²
- 0.76
- Upside Capture
- 68.67%
- Downside Capture
- 52.36%
Expense Ratio
*60 40 test has an expense ratio of 0.12%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
*60 40 test ranks 73 for risk / return — better than 73% of Portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for *60 40 test and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.45 | 1.94 | +0.51 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.29 | 2.63 | +0.66 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.46 | 1.35 | +0.10 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.55 | 2.59 | +0.97 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 14.75 | 11.84 | +2.91 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 40 | 1.32 | 1.96 | 1.23 | 1.83 | 5.43 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 28 | -0.95 | -1.35 | 0.86 | -0.80 | -1.42 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 33 | 1.13 | 1.51 | 1.23 | 1.51 | 3.78 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 69 | 2.15 | 2.77 | 1.38 | 3.00 | 11.43 |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 96 | 4.27 | 4.33 | 1.62 | 9.26 | 34.80 |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 69 | 2.06 | 2.78 | 1.38 | 2.80 | 12.93 |
STIP iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF | 95 | 3.22 | 5.56 | 1.70 | 6.72 | 26.62 |
VYMI Vanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF | 69 | 2.14 | 2.91 | 1.39 | 2.76 | 10.83 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
*60 40 test provided a 2.44% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.44% | 2.44% | 2.40% | 2.31% | 2.89% | 2.24% | 1.64% | 2.12% | 2.29% | 1.81% | 1.54% | 0.98% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 3.98% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.39% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.18% | 0.31% | 0.44% | 0.60% | 1.18% | 0.51% | 0.69% | 1.50% | 1.88% | 1.43% | 0.80% | 2.14% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.00% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
STIP iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF | 4.31% | 4.11% | 2.62% | 2.84% | 6.04% | 4.15% | 1.40% | 2.06% | 2.44% | 1.59% | 0.89% | 0.00% |
VYMI Vanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF | 3.48% | 3.68% | 4.84% | 4.58% | 4.70% | 4.30% | 3.22% | 4.20% | 4.29% | 3.21% | 2.39% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the *60 40 test. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the *60 40 test was 20.38%, occurring on Oct 15, 2022. Recovery took 398 trading sessions.
The current *60 40 test drawdown is 2.34%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -20.38%Oct 2022 | 11mo 10d | 1y 1mo | 2y 8dNov 2021 - Nov 2023 |
COVID crash2020 | -19.03%Mar 2020 | 27d | 3mo 20d | 4mo 17dFeb 2020 - Jul 2020 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -15.77%Dec 2018 | 1y 8d | 6mo 3d | 1y 6moDec 2017 - Jun 2019 |
2025 selloff2025 | -8.35%Apr 2025 | 1mo 16d | 24d | 2mo 10dFeb 2025 - May 2025 |
2026 pullback2026 | -6.60%Mar 2026 | 1mo 2d | 16d | 1mo 18dFeb 2026 - Apr 2026 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 6.34, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.40 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.40, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
*60 40 test correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.86 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.87 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.88 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.86 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 2, 2016 | 0.86 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SPY has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while BND has the lowest at 0.04.
Asset Correlations Table
| BND | GLD | BTC-USD | STIP | SMH | VYMI | QQQ | SPY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BND | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.03 | 0.53 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| GLD | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.37 | 0.04 | 0.22 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| BTC-USD | 0.03 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.04 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| STIP | 0.53 | 0.37 | 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.14 | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| SMH | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.16 | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.52 | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| VYMI | 0.05 | 0.22 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.52 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.68 |
| QQQ | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.07 | 0.79 | 0.55 | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| SPY | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.09 | 0.72 | 0.68 | 0.86 | 1.00 |
Find what *60 40 test is missing
See which holdings overlap, where *60 40 test is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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