Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Final 2/26, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Mar 8, 2022, corresponding to the inception date of CTA
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Final 2/26 | 0.21% | -1.47% | 1.12% | 7.49% | 21.08% | 18.30% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.16% | -3.26% | -3.13% | -1.24% | 17.86% | 18.10% | 10.66% | 13.75% |
AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF | 0.68% | -0.56% | 9.54% | 12.30% | 27.33% | 16.21% | 10.57% | — |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | -0.68% | -2.51% | 2.81% | 6.58% | 28.04% | 15.41% | 7.43% | 9.01% |
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 0.33% | 0.36% | 8.44% | 15.46% | 27.06% | 10.31% | 8.74% | — |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 0.04% | 0.32% | 0.92% | 1.92% | 4.10% | 4.81% | 3.42% | — |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 1.25% | 4.87% | 9.21% | 11.72% | 9.50% | 0.87% | 5.74% | — |
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 4.31% | 3.97% | 14.32% | 14.63% | 7.14% | 15.93% | — | — |
LLY Eli Lilly and Company | -1.98% | -7.16% | -12.80% | 14.47% | 15.19% | 39.72% | 39.64% | 31.19% |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | -3.45% | -11.90% | 2.13% | 54.69% | 113.88% | 43.94% | 23.23% | 16.57% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.09% | 0.32% | 8.94% | 16.35% | 83.82% | 44.85% | 26.17% | 31.69% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Mar 9, 2022, Final 2/26's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.15%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 5.1 years.
Historically, 72% of months were positive and 28% were negative. The best month was Feb 2024 with a return of +5.7%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -4.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, Final 2/26 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +6.2%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -4.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.16% | 2.72% | -4.47% | 0.87% | 1.12% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.44% | 0.34% | -3.53% | 0.02% | 1.51% | 3.93% | 0.54% | 2.27% | 3.40% | 2.76% | 3.40% | 0.99% | 19.38% |
| 2024 | 1.49% | 5.71% | 3.19% | -0.63% | 2.74% | 2.27% | -0.26% | 2.42% | 0.78% | -2.10% | 2.90% | -1.77% | 17.77% |
| 2023 | 2.97% | -1.73% | 0.43% | 3.23% | 1.08% | 4.83% | 2.20% | 0.62% | -1.49% | -1.80% | 4.88% | 2.34% | 18.68% |
| 2022 | 5.30% | -2.18% | 1.16% | -3.79% | 4.74% | -1.95% | -4.03% | 5.53% | 2.37% | -3.18% | 3.36% |
Benchmark Metrics
Final 2/26 has an annualized alpha of 6.72%, beta of 0.62, and R² of 0.84 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since March 09, 2022.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (66.95%) than losses (45.44%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 6.72% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.62 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 6.72%
- Beta
- 0.62
- R²
- 0.84
- Upside Capture
- 66.95%
- Downside Capture
- 45.44%
Expense Ratio
Final 2/26 has an expense ratio of 0.27%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Final 2/26 ranks 71 for risk / return — better than 71% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.52 | 0.88 | +0.64 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.15 | 1.37 | +0.78 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.32 | 1.21 | +0.11 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.33 | 1.39 | +0.94 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 10.64 | 6.43 | +4.21 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 54 | 0.94 | 1.47 | 1.22 | 1.53 | 7.16 |
AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF | 63 | 1.17 | 1.73 | 1.24 | 1.90 | 7.48 |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | 80 | 1.63 | 2.25 | 1.33 | 2.52 | 9.49 |
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 94 | 2.25 | 3.05 | 1.48 | 4.38 | 18.76 |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 100 | 20.63 | 286.00 | 202.83 | 412.76 | 4,634.41 |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 44 | 0.96 | 1.39 | 1.18 | 1.42 | 4.22 |
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 22 | 0.43 | 0.68 | 1.09 | 0.71 | 1.23 |
LLY Eli Lilly and Company | 51 | 0.36 | 0.78 | 1.11 | 0.56 | 1.37 |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | 81 | 2.00 | 2.13 | 1.38 | 2.70 | 8.21 |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 94 | 2.28 | 2.89 | 1.41 | 5.34 | 18.94 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Final 2/26 provided a 2.35% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.35% | 2.42% | 2.22% | 2.14% | 3.93% | 2.85% | 1.19% | 2.34% | 1.51% | 1.35% | 1.49% | 1.48% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.16% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF | 1.39% | 1.58% | 1.61% | 1.65% | 1.74% | 1.28% | 1.21% | 0.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | 2.95% | 3.18% | 3.37% | 3.24% | 3.09% | 3.10% | 2.14% | 3.06% | 3.18% | 2.73% | 2.93% | 2.83% |
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 5.28% | 5.91% | 5.75% | 2.91% | 7.72% | 10.38% | 0.86% | 9.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 3.95% | 4.10% | 5.10% | 4.87% | 1.45% | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 4.60% | 5.02% | 0.82% | 0.00% | 13.22% | 6.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 3.74% | 3.19% | 4.80% | 7.78% | 6.58% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
LLY Eli Lilly and Company | 0.67% | 0.56% | 0.67% | 0.78% | 1.07% | 1.23% | 1.75% | 1.96% | 1.94% | 2.46% | 2.77% | 2.37% |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.28% | 0.31% | 0.44% | 0.60% | 1.18% | 0.51% | 0.69% | 1.50% | 1.88% | 1.43% | 0.80% | 2.14% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Final 2/26. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Final 2/26 was 13.86%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 58 trading sessions.
The current Final 2/26 drawdown is 3.88%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -13.86% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 58 | Jul 2, 2025 | 92 |
| -8.51% | Jul 17, 2024 | 14 | Aug 5, 2024 | 37 | Sep 26, 2024 | 51 |
| -8.23% | Apr 20, 2022 | 41 | Jun 16, 2022 | 41 | Aug 16, 2022 | 82 |
| -8.06% | Aug 19, 2022 | 30 | Sep 30, 2022 | 88 | Feb 7, 2023 | 118 |
| -6.59% | Feb 15, 2023 | 18 | Mar 13, 2023 | 32 | Apr 27, 2023 | 50 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.14, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | SGOV | CTA | KMLM | DBMF | SLV | LLY | AVUV | SMH | VXUS | VTI | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.01 | -0.11 | -0.13 | 0.08 | 0.23 | 0.33 | 0.74 | 0.81 | 0.77 | 0.99 | 0.90 |
| SGOV | -0.01 | 1.00 | -0.01 | 0.01 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.05 | -0.01 | -0.03 | -0.01 | -0.03 |
| CTA | -0.11 | -0.01 | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.02 | -0.05 | -0.09 | -0.08 | -0.13 | -0.11 | 0.05 |
| KMLM | -0.13 | 0.01 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.53 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.09 | -0.12 | -0.12 | -0.13 | 0.08 |
| DBMF | 0.08 | -0.02 | 0.34 | 0.53 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
| SLV | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.07 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.44 | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| LLY | 0.33 | -0.01 | -0.05 | -0.01 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 1.00 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.32 | 0.53 |
| AVUV | 0.74 | -0.05 | -0.09 | -0.09 | 0.10 | 0.24 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.56 | 0.70 | 0.78 | 0.72 |
| SMH | 0.81 | -0.01 | -0.08 | -0.12 | 0.08 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.56 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.80 | 0.73 |
| VXUS | 0.77 | -0.03 | -0.13 | -0.12 | 0.07 | 0.44 | 0.23 | 0.70 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.77 |
| VTI | 0.99 | -0.01 | -0.11 | -0.13 | 0.08 | 0.24 | 0.32 | 0.78 | 0.80 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| Portfolio | 0.90 | -0.03 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.28 | 0.32 | 0.53 | 0.72 | 0.73 | 0.77 | 0.90 | 1.00 |