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All weather timothy ronald
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in All weather timothy ronald, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is May 25, 2021, corresponding to the inception date of VMFXX

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
-0.11%2.78%-0.42%4.03%27.10%18.38%10.55%12.70%
Portfolio
All weather timothy ronald
-0.41%1.39%0.59%0.16%16.71%17.70%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
-0.18%-5.14%10.30%18.42%46.72%32.89%21.77%13.80%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
-2.58%0.36%-18.63%-38.13%-16.51%32.79%2.29%66.83%
VMFXX
Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund
0.00%0.00%0.59%1.58%3.75%3.32%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
-0.12%3.06%0.25%4.74%29.52%19.61%10.91%14.16%
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
0.28%6.32%8.62%16.60%41.44%17.90%9.43%9.81%
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
0.55%5.05%5.56%10.14%35.34%15.31%4.99%8.10%
AVUV
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
-0.63%7.94%12.79%21.28%47.55%17.69%11.29%
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
0.54%6.83%12.43%22.79%61.64%26.06%14.23%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 26, 2021, All weather timothy ronald's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.91%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 6.4 years.

Historically, 60% of months were positive and 40% were negative. The best month was Jan 2023 with a return of +9.5%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -7.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, All weather timothy ronald closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +4.5%, while the worst single day was Jun 13, 2022 at -3.1%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20261.35%0.13%-3.33%2.53%0.59%
20253.29%-2.80%-0.10%2.88%3.95%2.21%1.61%1.06%3.21%0.36%-1.47%0.44%15.40%
2024-0.32%8.00%5.20%-3.21%3.47%-0.84%2.26%-0.69%2.57%1.15%7.28%-1.85%24.78%
20239.53%-1.42%5.57%1.00%-1.75%3.92%1.43%-2.71%-1.20%4.06%4.89%4.52%30.74%
2022-4.08%1.54%1.35%-5.33%-1.96%-7.37%4.71%-3.94%-4.22%3.13%1.44%-1.84%-16.03%
20210.00%-1.40%2.86%3.06%-2.82%7.98%-2.47%-2.05%4.79%

Benchmark Metrics

All weather timothy ronald has an annualized alpha of 3.23%, beta of 0.50, and R² of 0.51 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 26, 2021.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (54.96%) than losses (53.82%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 3.23% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • Beta of 0.50 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.

Alpha
3.23%
Beta
0.50
0.51
Upside Capture
54.96%
Downside Capture
53.82%

Expense Ratio

All weather timothy ronald has an expense ratio of 0.07%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

All weather timothy ronald ranks 17 for risk / return — in the bottom 17% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


All weather timothy ronald Risk / Return Rank: 1717
Overall Rank
All weather timothy ronald Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2424
Sharpe Ratio Rank
All weather timothy ronald Sortino Ratio Rank: 2525
Sortino Ratio Rank
All weather timothy ronald Omega Ratio Rank: 1919
Omega Ratio Rank
All weather timothy ronald Calmar Ratio Rank: 77
Calmar Ratio Rank
All weather timothy ronald Martin Ratio Rank: 77
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.71

2.23

-0.53

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.36

3.12

-0.76

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.28

1.42

-0.14

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.87

4.05

-3.18

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

2.17

17.91

-15.74


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
391.822.241.343.0610.54
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
41-0.39-0.290.97-1.00-1.71
VMFXX
Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund
3.51
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
662.363.281.444.3819.06
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
793.094.111.564.5718.43
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
672.553.501.484.1415.31
AVUV
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
772.673.751.466.9219.82
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
934.475.681.835.8025.09

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

All weather timothy ronald Sharpe ratios as of Apr 11, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.71
  • All Time: 0.90

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 2.14 to 3.05, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of All weather timothy ronald compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

All weather timothy ronald provided a 2.12% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio2.12%2.37%1.45%2.61%0.84%0.68%0.57%0.68%0.70%0.58%0.64%0.67%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VMFXX
Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund
3.68%4.14%1.63%4.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
1.13%1.12%1.27%1.44%1.66%1.21%1.42%1.78%2.04%1.71%1.92%1.98%
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
2.77%3.22%3.35%3.15%2.91%3.16%2.04%3.04%3.35%2.77%3.05%2.92%
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
2.56%2.79%3.20%3.52%4.11%2.63%1.91%3.23%2.88%2.30%2.52%3.26%
AVUV
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
1.35%1.58%1.61%1.65%1.74%1.28%1.21%0.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
2.83%3.05%4.31%3.29%3.17%2.39%1.67%0.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the All weather timothy ronald. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the All weather timothy ronald was 24.49%, occurring on Sep 27, 2022. Recovery took 434 trading sessions.

The current All weather timothy ronald drawdown is 3.46%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-24.49%Nov 9, 2021323Sep 27, 2022434Dec 5, 2023757
-8.77%Jan 31, 202568Apr 8, 202524May 2, 202592
-7.8%Jan 29, 202660Mar 29, 2026
-6.19%Sep 7, 202115Sep 21, 202122Oct 13, 202137
-5.84%Jul 17, 202420Aug 5, 202445Sep 19, 202465

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.42, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkVMFXXGLDBTC-USDAVUVVWOAVDVVTIVEAPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.030.110.370.730.620.680.990.780.67
VMFXX0.031.000.00-0.050.01-0.050.010.03-0.020.01
GLD0.110.001.000.100.120.290.370.120.310.29
BTC-USD0.37-0.050.101.000.280.270.250.320.280.87
AVUV0.730.010.120.281.000.500.650.730.670.56
VWO0.62-0.050.290.270.501.000.690.590.720.53
AVDV0.680.010.370.250.650.691.000.650.900.58
VTI0.990.030.120.320.730.590.651.000.740.61
VEA0.78-0.020.310.280.670.720.900.741.000.61
Portfolio0.670.010.290.870.560.530.580.610.611.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from May 26, 2021