Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AVDV Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF | Foreign Small & Mid Cap Equities | 2.80% |
AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF | Small Cap Value Equities | 4.90% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 15% | |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 10% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | Foreign Large Cap Equities | 8.40% |
VMFXX Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund | Money Market | 40% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 14.70% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | Emerging Markets Equities | 4.20% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in All weather timothy ronald, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is May 25, 2021, corresponding to the inception date of VMFXX
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -0.11% | 2.78% | -0.42% | 4.03% | 27.10% | 18.38% | 10.55% | 12.70% |
Portfolio All weather timothy ronald | -0.41% | 1.39% | 0.59% | 0.16% | 16.71% | 17.70% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -0.18% | -5.14% | 10.30% | 18.42% | 46.72% | 32.89% | 21.77% | 13.80% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -2.58% | 0.36% | -18.63% | -38.13% | -16.51% | 32.79% | 2.29% | 66.83% |
VMFXX Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.59% | 1.58% | 3.75% | 3.32% | — | — |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | -0.12% | 3.06% | 0.25% | 4.74% | 29.52% | 19.61% | 10.91% | 14.16% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 0.28% | 6.32% | 8.62% | 16.60% | 41.44% | 17.90% | 9.43% | 9.81% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 0.55% | 5.05% | 5.56% | 10.14% | 35.34% | 15.31% | 4.99% | 8.10% |
AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF | -0.63% | 7.94% | 12.79% | 21.28% | 47.55% | 17.69% | 11.29% | — |
AVDV Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF | 0.54% | 6.83% | 12.43% | 22.79% | 61.64% | 26.06% | 14.23% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 26, 2021, All weather timothy ronald's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.91%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 6.4 years.
Historically, 60% of months were positive and 40% were negative. The best month was Jan 2023 with a return of +9.5%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -7.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, All weather timothy ronald closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +4.5%, while the worst single day was Jun 13, 2022 at -3.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.35% | 0.13% | -3.33% | 2.53% | 0.59% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 3.29% | -2.80% | -0.10% | 2.88% | 3.95% | 2.21% | 1.61% | 1.06% | 3.21% | 0.36% | -1.47% | 0.44% | 15.40% |
| 2024 | -0.32% | 8.00% | 5.20% | -3.21% | 3.47% | -0.84% | 2.26% | -0.69% | 2.57% | 1.15% | 7.28% | -1.85% | 24.78% |
| 2023 | 9.53% | -1.42% | 5.57% | 1.00% | -1.75% | 3.92% | 1.43% | -2.71% | -1.20% | 4.06% | 4.89% | 4.52% | 30.74% |
| 2022 | -4.08% | 1.54% | 1.35% | -5.33% | -1.96% | -7.37% | 4.71% | -3.94% | -4.22% | 3.13% | 1.44% | -1.84% | -16.03% |
| 2021 | 0.00% | -1.40% | 2.86% | 3.06% | -2.82% | 7.98% | -2.47% | -2.05% | 4.79% |
Benchmark Metrics
All weather timothy ronald has an annualized alpha of 3.23%, beta of 0.50, and R² of 0.51 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 26, 2021.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (54.96%) than losses (53.82%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 3.23% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.50 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 3.23%
- Beta
- 0.50
- R²
- 0.51
- Upside Capture
- 54.96%
- Downside Capture
- 53.82%
Expense Ratio
All weather timothy ronald has an expense ratio of 0.07%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
All weather timothy ronald ranks 17 for risk / return — in the bottom 17% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.71 | 2.23 | -0.53 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.36 | 3.12 | -0.76 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.28 | 1.42 | -0.14 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.87 | 4.05 | -3.18 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 2.17 | 17.91 | -15.74 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 39 | 1.82 | 2.24 | 1.34 | 3.06 | 10.54 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 41 | -0.39 | -0.29 | 0.97 | -1.00 | -1.71 |
VMFXX Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund | — | 3.51 | — | — | — | — |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 66 | 2.36 | 3.28 | 1.44 | 4.38 | 19.06 |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 79 | 3.09 | 4.11 | 1.56 | 4.57 | 18.43 |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 67 | 2.55 | 3.50 | 1.48 | 4.14 | 15.31 |
AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF | 77 | 2.67 | 3.75 | 1.46 | 6.92 | 19.82 |
AVDV Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF | 93 | 4.47 | 5.68 | 1.83 | 5.80 | 25.09 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
All weather timothy ronald provided a 2.12% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.12% | 2.37% | 1.45% | 2.61% | 0.84% | 0.68% | 0.57% | 0.68% | 0.70% | 0.58% | 0.64% | 0.67% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VMFXX Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund | 3.68% | 4.14% | 1.63% | 4.53% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.13% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 2.77% | 3.22% | 3.35% | 3.15% | 2.91% | 3.16% | 2.04% | 3.04% | 3.35% | 2.77% | 3.05% | 2.92% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 2.56% | 2.79% | 3.20% | 3.52% | 4.11% | 2.63% | 1.91% | 3.23% | 2.88% | 2.30% | 2.52% | 3.26% |
AVUV Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF | 1.35% | 1.58% | 1.61% | 1.65% | 1.74% | 1.28% | 1.21% | 0.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
AVDV Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF | 2.83% | 3.05% | 4.31% | 3.29% | 3.17% | 2.39% | 1.67% | 0.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the All weather timothy ronald. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the All weather timothy ronald was 24.49%, occurring on Sep 27, 2022. Recovery took 434 trading sessions.
The current All weather timothy ronald drawdown is 3.46%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -24.49% | Nov 9, 2021 | 323 | Sep 27, 2022 | 434 | Dec 5, 2023 | 757 |
| -8.77% | Jan 31, 2025 | 68 | Apr 8, 2025 | 24 | May 2, 2025 | 92 |
| -7.8% | Jan 29, 2026 | 60 | Mar 29, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -6.19% | Sep 7, 2021 | 15 | Sep 21, 2021 | 22 | Oct 13, 2021 | 37 |
| -5.84% | Jul 17, 2024 | 20 | Aug 5, 2024 | 45 | Sep 19, 2024 | 65 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.42, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | VMFXX | GLD | BTC-USD | AVUV | VWO | AVDV | VTI | VEA | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 0.37 | 0.73 | 0.62 | 0.68 | 0.99 | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| VMFXX | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.01 | -0.05 | 0.01 | 0.03 | -0.02 | 0.01 |
| GLD | 0.11 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 0.12 | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| BTC-USD | 0.37 | -0.05 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0.32 | 0.28 | 0.87 |
| AVUV | 0.73 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.65 | 0.73 | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| VWO | 0.62 | -0.05 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.69 | 0.59 | 0.72 | 0.53 |
| AVDV | 0.68 | 0.01 | 0.37 | 0.25 | 0.65 | 0.69 | 1.00 | 0.65 | 0.90 | 0.58 |
| VTI | 0.99 | 0.03 | 0.12 | 0.32 | 0.73 | 0.59 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| VEA | 0.78 | -0.02 | 0.31 | 0.28 | 0.67 | 0.72 | 0.90 | 0.74 | 1.00 | 0.61 |
| Portfolio | 0.67 | 0.01 | 0.29 | 0.87 | 0.56 | 0.53 | 0.58 | 0.61 | 0.61 | 1.00 |