Asset Allocation
Transactions
| Date | Type | Symbol | Quantity | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | Buy | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 1 | $147.71 |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Buy | Vanguard Energy ETF | 1 | $127.38 |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Buy | Vanguard Financials ETF | 1 | $81.13 |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Buy | Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund | 1 | $102.95 |
| Oct 16, 2023 | Buy | iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF | 1 | $108.55 |
| Oct 16, 2023 | Buy | Vanguard Financials ETF | 1 | $80.74 |
| Oct 16, 2023 | Buy | Vanguard Energy ETF | 1 | $126.26 |
| Oct 16, 2023 | Buy | Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund | 3 | $33.43 |
| Oct 16, 2023 | Buy | Vanguard Health Care ETF | 1 | $237.67 |
| Oct 16, 2023 | Buy | State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 3 | $89.91 |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends.
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Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Portfolio | -0.00% | -1.98% | 0.72% | 3.34% | 18.45% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 1.59% | -8.80% | -1.52% | -8.84% | -15.76% | -23.39% | -29.12% | -15.69% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.11% | -2.64% | -4.65% | -3.18% | 23.45% | 22.97% | 13.18% | 19.05% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0.09% | -3.34% | -3.56% | -1.44% | 17.51% | 18.37% | 11.88% | 14.11% |
XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.80% | -0.98% | -5.43% | -4.69% | 30.55% | 22.58% | 15.84% | 21.15% |
XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund | -0.40% | -6.39% | 5.87% | 6.87% | 24.75% | 19.11% | 12.34% | 13.48% |
XLV State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF | -0.62% | -5.95% | -4.77% | 3.39% | 3.55% | 5.64% | 6.45% | 9.60% |
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund | 0.18% | -2.78% | -9.10% | -6.36% | 0.27% | 17.30% | 9.41% | 12.53% |
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation | -0.06% | 5.84% | 34.42% | 46.62% | 40.06% | 15.29% | 27.66% | 11.56% |
CVX Chevron Corporation | 0.79% | 5.40% | 31.83% | 32.46% | 24.90% | 9.95% | 18.30% | 12.53% |
TGT Target Corporation | 0.00% | -0.29% | 24.48% | 37.65% | 19.10% | -6.85% | -7.05% | 7.03% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 7, 2023, Portfolio's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.28%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.5 years.
Historically, 69% of months were positive and 31% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +8.2%, while the worst month was Mar 2025 at -4.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Portfolio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.6%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -6.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.65% | 0.47% | -2.33% | -0.01% | 0.72% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.12% | -0.39% | -4.39% | -3.10% | 5.23% | 5.03% | 2.21% | 2.34% | 2.60% | 2.24% | 0.24% | 0.42% | 17.32% |
| 2024 | 1.68% | 5.02% | 3.94% | -4.34% | 3.11% | 2.39% | 1.98% | 1.60% | 0.68% | -0.54% | 5.76% | -3.59% | 18.59% |
| 2023 | -4.14% | -2.80% | 8.20% | 4.57% | 5.42% |
Benchmark Metrics
Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 1.70%, beta of 0.89, and R² of 0.94 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 07, 2023.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (94.81%) than losses (90.40%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- With beta of 0.89 and R² of 0.94, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 1.70%
- Beta
- 0.89
- R²
- 0.94
- Upside Capture
- 94.81%
- Downside Capture
- 90.40%
Expense Ratio
Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Top 10 holdings
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Portfolio ranks 38 for risk / return — below 38% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.08 | 0.88 | +0.20 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.57 | 1.37 | +0.20 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.26 | 1.21 | +0.05 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.53 | 1.39 | +0.14 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.93 | 6.43 | +1.49 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 4 | -0.47 | -0.45 | 0.95 | -0.59 | -0.94 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 59 | 1.04 | 1.62 | 1.23 | 1.93 | 7.00 |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 53 | 0.92 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.51 | 7.11 |
XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF | 61 | 1.13 | 1.71 | 1.24 | 1.98 | 6.27 |
XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund | 68 | 1.28 | 1.84 | 1.26 | 2.07 | 7.98 |
XLV State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF | 16 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 1.05 | 0.39 | 0.83 |
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund | 12 | 0.01 | 0.15 | 1.02 | 0.07 | 0.22 |
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation | 80 | 1.58 | 2.06 | 1.28 | 2.51 | 6.57 |
CVX Chevron Corporation | 66 | 0.98 | 1.37 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 2.67 |
TGT Target Corporation | 57 | 0.56 | 0.98 | 1.12 | 1.02 | 2.16 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Portfolio provided a 1.38% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.38% | 1.37% | 1.54% | 0.53% |
Monthly Dividends
The table below shows the monthly dividends paid by this portfolio.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $4.04 | $7.13 | $16.41 | $0.00 | $27.58 | ||||||||
| 2025 | $3.64 | $6.87 | $15.47 | $3.83 | $6.64 | $15.70 | $3.81 | $6.61 | $17.34 | $3.88 | $6.96 | $18.10 | $108.85 |
| 2024 | $3.36 | $6.53 | $14.47 | $3.45 | $6.66 | $15.70 | $3.44 | $6.42 | $16.48 | $3.50 | $6.40 | $17.96 | $104.38 |
| 2023 | $3.96 | $2.18 | $6.51 | $17.82 | $30.46 |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Portfolio was 17.88%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 57 trading sessions.
The current Portfolio drawdown is 2.69%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -17.88% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 57 | Jul 1, 2025 | 91 |
| -9.01% | Sep 15, 2023 | 31 | Oct 27, 2023 | 23 | Nov 30, 2023 | 54 |
| -7.63% | Jul 17, 2024 | 14 | Aug 5, 2024 | 19 | Aug 30, 2024 | 33 |
| -4.69% | Mar 5, 2026 | 18 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -4.63% | Apr 1, 2024 | 15 | Apr 19, 2024 | 20 | May 17, 2024 | 35 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 22 assets, with an effective number of assets of 12.42, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TMF | JNJ | ABT | ABBV | XOM | CVX | TGT | AMZN | PSX | XLE | VDE | ITA | XLK | JPM | QQQ | XLV | VHT | XLF | VFH | SPY | XLI | DIA | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.35 | 0.66 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.57 | 0.89 | 0.53 | 0.94 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.66 | 0.68 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.82 | 0.94 |
| TMF | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.18 | -0.04 | -0.06 | 0.06 | 0.03 | -0.02 | -0.05 | -0.05 | 0.06 | 0.06 | -0.01 | 0.09 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| JNJ | 0.05 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.18 | -0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.06 | -0.12 | 0.15 | -0.10 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 0.06 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| ABT | 0.21 | 0.18 | 0.45 | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.17 | -0.02 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 0.17 | 0.05 | 0.21 | 0.08 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| ABBV | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.45 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.20 | -0.01 | 0.22 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 0.04 | 0.19 | 0.07 | 0.59 | 0.57 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.20 | 0.26 | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| XOM | 0.09 | -0.04 | 0.16 | 0.07 | 0.16 | 1.00 | 0.81 | 0.17 | -0.05 | 0.62 | 0.90 | 0.89 | 0.16 | -0.02 | 0.20 | -0.02 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.10 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| CVX | 0.12 | -0.06 | 0.16 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.81 | 1.00 | 0.20 | -0.00 | 0.63 | 0.88 | 0.86 | 0.18 | 0.02 | 0.23 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.13 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| TGT | 0.35 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.35 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| AMZN | 0.66 | 0.03 | -0.14 | -0.02 | -0.01 | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.31 | 0.63 | 0.27 | 0.71 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.66 | 0.41 | 0.48 | 0.62 |
| PSX | 0.23 | -0.02 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.22 | 0.62 | 0.63 | 0.21 | 0.08 | 1.00 | 0.73 | 0.72 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 0.28 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.23 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| XLE | 0.22 | -0.05 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.90 | 0.88 | 0.24 | 0.04 | 0.73 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.26 | 0.09 | 0.30 | 0.09 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.22 | 0.35 | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| VDE | 0.23 | -0.05 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.17 | 0.89 | 0.86 | 0.25 | 0.05 | 0.72 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.11 | 0.30 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.24 | 0.37 | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| ITA | 0.57 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.18 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.46 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.57 | 0.76 | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| XLK | 0.89 | 0.06 | -0.12 | 0.05 | 0.04 | -0.02 | 0.02 | 0.18 | 0.63 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.44 | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.95 | 0.26 | 0.32 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.89 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.78 |
| JPM | 0.53 | -0.01 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.43 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 0.80 | 0.78 | 0.53 | 0.55 | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| QQQ | 0.94 | 0.09 | -0.10 | 0.08 | 0.07 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 0.23 | 0.71 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.46 | 0.95 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.46 | 0.49 | 0.93 | 0.62 | 0.66 | 0.83 |
| XLV | 0.49 | 0.23 | 0.54 | 0.53 | 0.59 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.31 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.55 | 0.53 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.65 | 0.54 |
| VHT | 0.54 | 0.23 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.57 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.34 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 0.58 | 0.57 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| XLF | 0.66 | 0.13 | 0.26 | 0.35 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.40 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.51 | 0.40 | 0.80 | 0.46 | 0.55 | 0.58 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.66 | 0.71 | 0.83 | 0.74 |
| VFH | 0.68 | 0.14 | 0.23 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.42 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.52 | 0.42 | 0.78 | 0.49 | 0.53 | 0.57 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 0.68 | 0.74 | 0.83 | 0.76 |
| SPY | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.35 | 0.66 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.57 | 0.89 | 0.53 | 0.93 | 0.49 | 0.55 | 0.66 | 0.68 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.83 | 0.94 |
| XLI | 0.78 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.29 | 0.26 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.42 | 0.41 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.76 | 0.59 | 0.55 | 0.62 | 0.51 | 0.56 | 0.71 | 0.74 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 0.81 | 0.83 |
| DIA | 0.82 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.44 | 0.48 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.57 | 0.60 | 0.63 | 0.66 | 0.65 | 0.69 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.81 | 1.00 | 0.87 |
| Portfolio | 0.94 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.27 | 0.30 | 0.28 | 0.32 | 0.43 | 0.62 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.43 | 0.60 | 0.78 | 0.61 | 0.83 | 0.54 | 0.59 | 0.74 | 0.76 | 0.94 | 0.83 | 0.87 | 1.00 |