Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 40% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 30% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 15% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | Gold, Precious Metals | 7.50% |
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust | Commodities | 7.50% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 全天候Dalio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 6 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 13, 2026, the 全天候Dalio returned 5.02% Year-To-Date and 5.97% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio 全天候Dalio | -0.06% | -0.32% | 5.02% | 5.30% | 13.94% | 9.52% | 3.76% | 5.97% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust | -1.23% | -10.56% | 32.61% | 33.30% | 32.73% | 16.62% | 13.86% | 6.89% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 0.08% | -7.39% | -2.44% | -2.22% | 22.32% | 29.07% | 17.23% | 12.31% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.17% | 1.05% | -0.47% | -0.18% | 3.78% | 2.86% | -1.24% | 0.59% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.24% | 2.93% | 0.27% | 0.45% | 3.88% | -1.38% | -6.53% | -1.75% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 0.55% | 0.37% | 9.08% | 9.44% | 25.76% | 20.95% | 13.43% | 15.50% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 9, 2010, 全天候Dalio's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.56%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 10.3 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +6.9%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -7.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 8 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, 全天候Dalio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 10, 2022 with a return of +3.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -4.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.10% | 2.80% | -2.48% | 3.16% | 0.87% | -1.40% | 5.02% | ||||||
| 2025 | 1.87% | 2.31% | -1.13% | -0.82% | 0.40% | 3.12% | 0.35% | 1.24% | 3.57% | 1.76% | 0.79% | -0.98% | 13.07% |
| 2024 | -0.18% | 0.50% | 2.45% | -3.84% | 2.95% | 2.02% | 2.42% | 1.77% | 2.05% | -2.54% | 2.41% | -3.47% | 6.37% |
| 2023 | 5.90% | -3.91% | 4.15% | 0.74% | -1.79% | 2.05% | 0.85% | -1.88% | -5.02% | -2.78% | 6.94% | 5.08% | 9.87% |
| 2022 | -2.71% | -0.34% | -0.72% | -6.44% | -0.27% | -3.91% | 3.93% | -4.09% | -7.58% | 0.23% | 5.54% | -3.01% | -18.43% |
| 2021 | -1.81% | -1.40% | -1.12% | 3.79% | 1.04% | 2.32% | 2.81% | 0.50% | -2.63% | 3.60% | 0.12% | 1.27% | 8.54% |
Benchmark Metrics
全天候Dalio has an annualized alpha of 4.13%, beta of 0.20, and R2 of 0.18 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 09, 2010.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (35.40%) than losses (32.73%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.20 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.18 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.18 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 4.13%
- Beta
- 0.20
- R²
- 0.18
- Upside Capture
- 35.40%
- Downside Capture
- 32.73%
Expense Ratio
全天候Dalio has an expense ratio of 0.17%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
全天候Dalio ranks 59 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 全天候Dalio and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.01 | 1.86 | +0.14 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.81 | 2.53 | +0.28 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.37 | 1.34 | +0.03 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.31 | 2.53 | +0.78 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.08 | 11.37 | +1.71 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust | 55 | 1.58 | 2.14 | 1.29 | 3.05 | 9.32 |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 26 | 0.89 | 1.25 | 1.19 | 0.99 | 2.83 |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 21 | 0.72 | 1.10 | 1.12 | 0.84 | 2.35 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 13 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 0.38 | 0.92 |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 67 | 1.99 | 2.70 | 1.36 | 2.75 | 12.42 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
全天候Dalio provided a 2.72% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.72% | 2.68% | 2.64% | 2.23% | 1.87% | 1.10% | 1.22% | 1.78% | 2.01% | 1.78% | 1.92% | 1.96% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.89% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.56% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.05% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 全天候Dalio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 全天候Dalio was 22.76%, occurring on Oct 20, 2022. Recovery took 671 trading sessions.
The current 全天候Dalio drawdown is 1.76%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -22.76%Oct 2022 | 11mo 14d | 2y 8mo | 3y 7moNov 2021 - Jun 2025 |
COVID crash2020 | -13.94%Mar 2020 | 9d | 2mo 24d | 3mo 3dMar 2020 - Jun 2020 |
2016 pullback2016 | -8.51%Jan 2016 | 11mo 12d | 4mo 23d | 1y 4moFeb 2015 - Jun 2016 |
2016 pullback2016 | -7.59%Dec 2016 | 4mo 23d | 8mo 5d | 1y 23dJul 2016 - Aug 2017 |
2013 pullback2013 | -6.92%Jun 2013 | 1mo 23d | 8mo 5d | 9mo 28dMay 2013 - Feb 2014 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.52, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.76 | 1.56 | 1.58 | 1.73 | 1.84 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.84, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.
全天候Dalio correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.63 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.59 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.55 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.49 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 9, 2010 | 0.39 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VOO has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while TLT has the lowest at -0.22.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 全天候Dalio is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 全天候Dalio is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification