Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
GC=F Gold Futures | 40% | |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 40% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 20% |
Find the right asset allocation for 40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 1.65% | 1.97% | 10.35% | 10.82% | 26.39% | 19.66% | 12.33% | 13.81% |
Portfolio 40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds | 0.73% | 1.35% | 4.49% | 4.68% | 11.79% | 8.97% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
GC=F Gold Futures | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.11% | 1.16% | -0.36% | -0.15% | 3.89% | 2.73% | -1.03% | 0.59% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.68% | 2.70% | 11.46% | 11.76% | 28.40% | 20.94% | 12.71% | 15.23% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 31, 2022, 40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.52%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 11.1 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +4.9%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -5.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, 40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +3.6%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -2.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.58% | 0.28% | -2.47% | 4.01% | 2.14% | -0.01% | 4.49% | ||||||
| 2025 | 1.33% | -0.21% | -2.27% | -0.06% | 2.13% | 2.38% | 0.81% | 1.30% | 1.56% | 1.08% | 0.31% | -0.14% | 8.46% |
| 2024 | 0.46% | 1.71% | 1.50% | -2.43% | 2.31% | 1.54% | 1.36% | 1.18% | 1.15% | -0.98% | 3.16% | -1.79% | 9.40% |
| 2023 | 3.48% | -1.65% | 1.84% | 0.61% | -0.11% | 2.56% | 1.47% | -0.99% | -2.70% | -1.50% | 4.85% | 3.06% | 11.16% |
| 2022 | 0.82% | 1.35% | 1.26% | -5.25% | 0.02% | -3.29% | 3.94% | -2.15% | -4.34% | 2.60% | 2.58% | -2.53% | -5.35% |
Benchmark Metrics
40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds has an annualized alpha of 0.87%, beta of 0.40, and R2 of 0.89 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 31, 2022.
- This portfolio participated in 50.24% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 41.18% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.40 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 0.87%
- Beta
- 0.40
- R²
- 0.89
- Upside Capture
- 41.18%
- Downside Capture
- 50.24%
Expense Ratio
40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds has an expense ratio of 0.04%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds ranks 50 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.16 | 2.14 | +0.02 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.10 | 2.89 | +0.21 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.41 | 1.39 | +0.02 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.12 | 2.91 | +0.20 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.74 | 13.08 | +0.66 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GC=F Gold Futures | — | — | — | — | — | — |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 24 | 0.83 | 1.26 | 1.14 | 0.96 | 2.67 |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 77 | 2.25 | 3.04 | 1.41 | 3.20 | 14.35 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds provided a 1.18% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.18% | 1.20% | 1.23% | 1.16% | 1.06% | 0.65% | 0.78% | 1.13% | 1.26% | 1.05% | 1.13% | 1.17% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
GC=F Gold Futures | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.89% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.01% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds was 12.11%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 295 trading sessions.
The current 40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds drawdown is 0.92%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -12.11%Oct 2022 | 6mo 18d | 1y 2mo | 1y 8moMar 2022 - Dec 2023 |
2025 selloff2025 | -7.62%Apr 2025 | 4mo | 2mo 17d | 6mo 17dDec 2024 - Jun 2025 |
2026 pullback2026 | -3.80%Mar 2026 | 1mo 2d | 15d | 1mo 17dFeb 2026 - Apr 2026 |
2024 pullback2024 | -3.33%Aug 2024 | 21d | 14d | 1mo 5dJul 2024 - Aug 2024 |
2024 pullback2024 | -2.92%Apr 2024 | 18d | 26d | 1mo 14dApr 2024 - May 2024 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.78, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.12 | 1.16 | 1.36 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.36, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.98 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.97 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 31, 2022 | 0.94 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VTI has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.99, while GC=F has the lowest at -0.05.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 40% Gold 30% stocks 20 bonds is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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