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Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period

As of Jun 13, 2026, the Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio returned 7.81% Year-To-Date and 9.96% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.50%0.31%8.56%8.85%24.33%19.37%11.84%13.61%
Portfolio
Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio
1.96%2.34%7.81%8.20%19.76%14.74%7.38%9.96%
VBTLX
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares
0.52%0.55%0.42%0.97%4.90%4.05%0.05%1.54%
VEUSX
Vanguard European Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares
2.88%1.83%7.24%9.41%19.18%16.77%8.40%9.96%
VFIAX
Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares
1.75%-1.31%8.58%8.92%25.15%21.03%13.30%15.40%
VSMAX
Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares
2.58%2.57%14.59%12.93%30.00%16.37%6.83%11.48%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 12, 2001, Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.72%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 8.1 years.

Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +11.2%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -15.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 15 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 13, 2008 with a return of +7.4%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -8.4%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.75%1.72%-5.11%6.37%2.80%-0.58%7.81%
20253.34%0.05%-2.81%0.35%4.00%3.39%0.30%2.92%1.99%0.88%0.94%0.87%17.27%
2024-0.62%2.99%3.08%-3.88%4.27%-0.02%3.31%1.87%1.45%-2.38%4.04%-3.60%10.51%
20237.19%-2.22%1.24%1.26%-1.96%4.82%2.74%-2.51%-4.30%-3.13%8.11%5.98%17.46%
2022-4.77%-1.99%0.43%-6.64%0.70%-7.29%6.80%-4.18%-8.17%6.18%6.95%-3.48%-15.85%
2021-0.35%2.54%1.96%3.79%1.40%0.71%1.05%1.64%-3.52%4.14%-2.41%3.36%14.93%

Benchmark Metrics

Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 2.04%, beta of 0.72, and R2 of 0.91 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 12, 2001.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (82.88%) than losses (81.22%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 2.04% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.

Alpha
2.04%
Beta
0.72
0.91
Upside Capture
82.88%
Downside Capture
81.22%

Expense Ratio

Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.06%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio ranks 38 for risk / return — below 38% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.


Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio Risk / Return Rank: 3838
Overall Rank
Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio Sharpe Ratio Rank: 3535
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio Sortino Ratio Rank: 3939
Sortino Ratio Rank
Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio Omega Ratio Rank: 3535
Omega Ratio Rank
Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio Calmar Ratio Rank: 3939
Calmar Ratio Rank
Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio Martin Ratio Rank: 4343
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

1.75

1.86

-0.11

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

2.51

2.53

-0.02

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.32

1.34

-0.02

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.50

2.53

-0.03

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

10.32

11.37

-1.05


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
VBTLX
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares
25
1.251.891.221.704.93
VEUSX
Vanguard European Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares
23
1.171.731.211.545.65
VFIAX
Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares
64
1.972.671.362.7312.43
VSMAX
Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares
55
1.672.391.293.1111.42

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk. Learn how to interpret the Sharpe ratio.

The current Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio Sharpe ratio is 1.75 as of Jun 13, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.53 to 2.41, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio provided a 2.24% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio2.24%2.29%2.45%2.31%2.26%1.86%1.79%2.32%2.55%2.10%2.39%2.41%
VBTLX
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares
3.98%3.87%3.69%3.10%2.59%1.96%2.39%2.74%2.57%2.56%2.53%2.82%
VEUSX
Vanguard European Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares
2.76%2.84%3.58%3.13%3.22%3.02%2.08%3.26%3.92%2.70%3.52%3.24%
VFIAX
Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares
1.04%1.12%1.24%1.45%1.68%1.24%1.53%1.87%2.05%1.78%2.02%2.10%
VSMAX
Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares
1.19%1.33%1.30%1.56%1.54%1.24%1.14%1.39%1.67%1.35%1.49%1.48%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio was 46.73%, occurring on Mar 9, 2009. Recovery took 477 trading sessions.

The current Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio drawdown is 0.79%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

Financial crisis2007–2009
-46.73%Mar 2009
1y 4mo1y 10mo
3y 2moNov 2007 - Jan 2011
COVID crash2020
-28.22%Mar 2020
1mo 2d5mo 4d
6mo 6dFeb 2020 - Aug 2020
Bear market2022
-24.31%Sep 2022
10mo 22d1y 5mo
2y 3moNov 2021 - Mar 2024
Dot-com crash2000–2002
-23.47%Oct 2002
5mo 25d11mo 4d
1y 4moApr 2002 - Sep 2003
2011 correction2011
-18.42%Oct 2011
5mo 4d5mo 25d
10mo 29dMay 2011 - Mar 2012

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.13

1.17

1.16

1.15

1.15

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.15, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.

Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio correlation to the S&P 500 Index

Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio has a 0.90 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.90

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.89

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.91

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.92

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 12, 2001

0.93


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VFIAX has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while VBTLX has the lowest at -0.19.

VBTLX
-0.19
VEUSX
0.72
VSMAX
0.88
VFIAX
1.00

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio. VFIAX has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.93, while VBTLX has the lowest at -0.09.

VBTLX
-0.09
VEUSX
0.87
VSMAX
0.93
VFIAX
0.93

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

VBTLXVEUSXVSMAXVFIAX
VBTLX1.00-0.11-0.18-0.19
VEUSX-0.111.000.680.72
VSMAX-0.180.681.000.88
VFIAX-0.190.720.881.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Nov 12, 2001
Diversification Analysis

Find what Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio is missing

See which holdings overlap, where Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification