PortfoliosLab logoPortfoliosLab logo
Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


Loading graphics...

The earliest data available for this chart is Nov 12, 2001, corresponding to the inception date of VBTLX

Returns By Period

As of Apr 4, 2026, the Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio returned -0.15% Year-To-Date and 9.24% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-4.18%-3.84%-1.98%21.98%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio
0.07%-3.07%-0.15%1.63%19.14%12.61%6.88%9.24%
VBTLX
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares
0.10%-1.32%-0.18%0.60%3.34%3.41%0.21%1.63%
VEUSX
Vanguard European Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares
-0.38%-3.38%0.06%3.74%23.48%14.44%8.91%9.03%
VSMAX
Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares
0.43%-3.58%2.97%3.38%27.14%13.43%5.56%10.70%
VFIAX
Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares
0.12%-4.07%-3.55%-1.41%23.47%18.45%11.93%14.17%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 13, 2001, Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.70%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 8.3 years.

Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +11.2%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -15.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 15 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 13, 2008 with a return of +7.4%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -8.4%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.75%1.72%-5.19%0.77%-0.15%
20253.34%0.05%-2.81%0.35%4.00%3.39%0.30%2.92%1.99%0.88%0.94%0.87%17.27%
2024-0.62%2.99%3.08%-3.88%4.27%-0.02%3.31%1.87%1.45%-2.38%4.04%-3.60%10.51%
20237.19%-2.22%1.24%1.26%-1.96%4.82%2.74%-2.51%-4.30%-3.13%8.11%5.98%17.46%
2022-4.77%-1.99%0.43%-6.64%0.70%-7.29%6.80%-4.18%-8.17%6.18%6.95%-3.48%-15.85%
2021-0.35%2.54%1.96%3.79%1.40%0.71%1.05%1.64%-3.52%4.14%-2.41%3.36%14.93%

Benchmark Metrics

Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 2.10%, beta of 0.72, and R² of 0.91 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 13, 2001.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (83.73%) than losses (81.54%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 2.10% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.

Alpha
2.10%
Beta
0.72
0.91
Upside Capture
83.73%
Downside Capture
81.54%

Expense Ratio

Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.06%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio ranks 41 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio Risk / Return Rank: 4141
Overall Rank
Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4343
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio Sortino Ratio Rank: 4242
Sortino Ratio Rank
Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio Omega Ratio Rank: 3838
Omega Ratio Rank
Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio Calmar Ratio Rank: 3939
Calmar Ratio Rank
Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio Martin Ratio Rank: 4242
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.16

0.88

+0.28

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

1.70

1.37

+0.33

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.24

1.21

+0.03

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

1.69

1.39

+0.30

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

7.37

6.43

+0.93


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
VBTLX
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares
310.901.301.161.383.83
VEUSX
Vanguard European Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares
581.281.761.251.856.91
VSMAX
Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares
370.861.341.181.446.13
VFIAX
Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares
460.961.471.221.517.11

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio Sharpe ratios as of Apr 4, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.16
  • 5-Year: 0.53
  • 10-Year: 0.69
  • All Time: 0.55

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.99 to 1.69, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


Loading graphics...

Dividends

Dividend yield

Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio provided a 2.26% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio2.26%2.29%2.45%2.31%2.26%1.86%1.79%2.32%2.55%2.10%2.39%2.41%
VBTLX
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares
3.60%3.87%3.69%3.10%2.59%1.96%2.39%2.74%2.57%2.56%2.53%2.82%
VEUSX
Vanguard European Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares
2.96%2.84%3.58%3.13%3.22%3.02%2.08%3.26%3.92%2.70%3.52%3.24%
VSMAX
Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares
1.32%1.33%1.30%1.56%1.54%1.24%1.14%1.39%1.67%1.35%1.49%1.48%
VFIAX
Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares
1.17%1.12%1.24%1.45%1.68%1.24%1.53%1.87%2.05%1.78%2.02%2.10%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


Loading graphics...

Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio was 46.73%, occurring on Mar 9, 2009. Recovery took 477 trading sessions.

The current Bill Bernstein's No Brainer Portfolio drawdown is 4.69%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-46.73%Nov 1, 2007339Mar 9, 2009477Jan 27, 2011816
-28.22%Feb 20, 202023Mar 23, 2020107Aug 24, 2020130
-24.31%Nov 9, 2021222Sep 27, 2022358Mar 1, 2024580
-23.47%Apr 17, 2002123Oct 9, 2002229Sep 8, 2003352
-18.42%May 2, 2011108Oct 3, 2011120Mar 26, 2012228

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


Loading graphics...

Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkVBTLXVEUSXVSMAXVFIAXPortfolio
Benchmark1.00-0.190.720.881.000.93
VBTLX-0.191.00-0.12-0.19-0.19-0.10
VEUSX0.72-0.121.000.680.720.87
VSMAX0.88-0.190.681.000.880.93
VFIAX1.00-0.190.720.881.000.93
Portfolio0.93-0.100.870.930.931.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Nov 13, 2001