Asset Allocation
Find the right asset allocation for HOLD_2025
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in HOLD_2025, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio HOLD_2025 | -1.57% | -11.36% | -1.15% | -5.65% | 25.45% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
FBL GraniteShares 2x Long META Daily ETF | -0.74% | -17.57% | -34.05% | -31.11% | -44.60% | 25.43% | — | — |
FNGU MicroSectors FANG+ 3X Leveraged ETNs | -2.52% | -13.99% | 3.96% | -3.67% | 25.83% | — | — | — |
NUGT Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 2X Shares | 5.72% | -30.06% | -27.03% | -26.67% | 63.65% | 55.24% | 13.62% | -9.77% |
NVDX T-REX 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF | 0.28% | -26.24% | 5.90% | 18.39% | 57.42% | — | — | — |
TSLL Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X ETF | 3.58% | -18.38% | -28.34% | -32.14% | 13.30% | -3.31% | — | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 20, 2025, HOLD_2025's average daily return is +0.13%, while the average monthly return is +2.55%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.3 years.
Historically, 47% of months were positive and 53% were negative. The best month was Apr 2026 with a return of +40.4%, while the worst month was Mar 2025 at -28.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 4 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, HOLD_2025 closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +36.4%, while the worst single day was Apr 3, 2025 at -17.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -5.65% | -10.44% | -19.43% | 40.44% | 33.50% | -22.56% | -1.15% | ||||||
| 2025 | -19.87% | -28.73% | 6.87% | 34.11% | 24.75% | 4.47% | -0.17% | 16.37% | 7.95% | -7.28% | -10.99% | 10.41% |
Benchmark Metrics
HOLD_2025 has an annualized alpha of -23.00%, beta of 3.71, and R2 of 0.80 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 20, 2025.
- This portfolio captured 652.40% of S&P 500 Index gains and 328.50% of its losses - amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio had an annualized alpha of -23.00% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering less than market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 3.71 means this portfolio moves significantly more than S&P 500 Index - expect amplified gains in rallies and amplified losses in downturns.
- Alpha
- -23.00%
- Beta
- 3.71
- R²
- 0.80
- Upside Capture
- 652.40%
- Downside Capture
- 328.50%
Expense Ratio
HOLD_2025 has a high expense ratio of 2.30%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
HOLD_2025 ranks 8 for risk / return — in the bottom 8% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for HOLD_2025 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.38 | 1.86 | -1.49 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.88 | 2.53 | -1.65 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.11 | 1.34 | -0.23 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.41 | 2.53 | -2.12 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.05 | 11.37 | -10.33 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FBL GraniteShares 2x Long META Daily ETF | 4 | -0.65 | -0.73 | 0.91 | -0.76 | -1.36 |
FNGU MicroSectors FANG+ 3X Leveraged ETNs | 16 | 0.35 | 0.87 | 1.11 | 0.36 | 0.85 |
NUGT Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 2X Shares | 27 | 0.75 | 1.42 | 1.20 | 1.10 | 2.75 |
NVDX T-REX 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF | 25 | 0.73 | 1.38 | 1.17 | 1.16 | 2.58 |
TSLL Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X ETF | 15 | 0.20 | 0.92 | 1.10 | 0.32 | 0.65 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
HOLD_2025 provided a 0.63% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.63% | 0.52% | 1.34% | 3.75% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.02% | 0.02% |
| Portfolio components: | |||||||||
FBL GraniteShares 2x Long META Daily ETF | 3.14% | 2.07% | 0.00% | 51.58% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FNGU MicroSectors FANG+ 3X Leveraged ETNs | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NUGT Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 2X Shares | 0.41% | 0.22% | 1.79% | 1.67% | 0.70% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.63% | 0.57% |
NVDX T-REX 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF | 3.16% | 3.35% | 15.48% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TSLL Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X ETF | 7.14% | 5.00% | 2.47% | 4.44% | 1.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the HOLD_2025. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the HOLD_2025 was 58.45%, occurring on Apr 4, 2025. Recovery took 57 trading sessions.
The current HOLD_2025 drawdown is 25.14%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 selloff2025 | -58.45%Apr 2025 | 1mo 13d | 2mo 24d | 4mo 7dFeb 2025 - Jun 2025 |
2026 bear market2026 | -52.91%Mar 2026 | 5mo 1d | 2mo | 7mo 1dOct 2025 - May 2026 |
2026 bear market2026 | -29.13%Jun 2026 | 8d | — | 13d 3hJun 2026 - now |
2025 pullback2025 | -9.55%Oct 2025 | 17d | 17d | 1mo 4dSep 2025 - Oct 2025 |
2025 pullback2025 | -9.39%Aug 2025 | 8d | 15d | 23dAug 2025 - Sep 2025 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.53, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.11 | 1.07 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.07, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.
HOLD_2025 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.81 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 20, 2025 | 0.81 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. FNGU has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.79, while NUGT has the lowest at 0.25.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what HOLD_2025 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where HOLD_2025 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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