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HOLD_2025
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in HOLD_2025, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.


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Returns By Period


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.50%0.31%8.56%8.85%24.33%19.37%11.84%13.61%
Portfolio
HOLD_2025
-1.57%-11.36%-1.15%-5.65%25.45%
FBL
GraniteShares 2x Long META Daily ETF
-0.74%-17.57%-34.05%-31.11%-44.60%25.43%
FNGU
MicroSectors FANG+ 3X Leveraged ETNs
-2.52%-13.99%3.96%-3.67%25.83%
NUGT
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 2X Shares
5.72%-30.06%-27.03%-26.67%63.65%55.24%13.62%-9.77%
NVDX
T-REX 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF
0.28%-26.24%5.90%18.39%57.42%
TSLL
Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X ETF
3.58%-18.38%-28.34%-32.14%13.30%-3.31%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 20, 2025, HOLD_2025's average daily return is +0.13%, while the average monthly return is +2.55%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.3 years.

Historically, 47% of months were positive and 53% were negative. The best month was Apr 2026 with a return of +40.4%, while the worst month was Mar 2025 at -28.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 4 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, HOLD_2025 closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +36.4%, while the worst single day was Apr 3, 2025 at -17.9%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026-5.65%-10.44%-19.43%40.44%33.50%-22.56%-1.15%
2025-19.87%-28.73%6.87%34.11%24.75%4.47%-0.17%16.37%7.95%-7.28%-10.99%10.41%

Benchmark Metrics

HOLD_2025 has an annualized alpha of -23.00%, beta of 3.71, and R2 of 0.80 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 20, 2025.

  • This portfolio captured 652.40% of S&P 500 Index gains and 328.50% of its losses - amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
  • This portfolio had an annualized alpha of -23.00% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering less than market exposure alone would predict.
  • Beta of 3.71 means this portfolio moves significantly more than S&P 500 Index - expect amplified gains in rallies and amplified losses in downturns.

Alpha
-23.00%
Beta
3.71
0.80
Upside Capture
652.40%
Downside Capture
328.50%

Expense Ratio

HOLD_2025 has a high expense ratio of 2.30%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

HOLD_2025 ranks 8 for risk / return — in the bottom 8% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


HOLD_2025 Risk / Return Rank: 88
Overall Rank
HOLD_2025 Sharpe Ratio Rank: 77
Sharpe Ratio Rank
HOLD_2025 Sortino Ratio Rank: 88
Sortino Ratio Rank
HOLD_2025 Omega Ratio Rank: 99
Omega Ratio Rank
HOLD_2025 Calmar Ratio Rank: 77
Calmar Ratio Rank
HOLD_2025 Martin Ratio Rank: 77
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for HOLD_2025 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

0.38

1.86

-1.49

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

0.88

2.53

-1.65

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.11

1.34

-0.23

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.41

2.53

-2.12

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

1.05

11.37

-10.33


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
FBL
GraniteShares 2x Long META Daily ETF
4
-0.65-0.730.91-0.76-1.36
FNGU
MicroSectors FANG+ 3X Leveraged ETNs
16
0.350.871.110.360.85
NUGT
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 2X Shares
27
0.751.421.201.102.75
NVDX
T-REX 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF
25
0.731.381.171.162.58
TSLL
Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X ETF
15
0.200.921.100.320.65

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk. Learn how to interpret the Sharpe ratio.

The current HOLD_2025 Sharpe ratio is 0.38 as of Jun 13, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.53 to 2.41, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of HOLD_2025 compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

HOLD_2025 provided a 0.63% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018
Portfolio0.63%0.52%1.34%3.75%0.05%0.00%0.00%0.02%0.02%
FBL
GraniteShares 2x Long META Daily ETF
3.14%2.07%0.00%51.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
FNGU
MicroSectors FANG+ 3X Leveraged ETNs
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
NUGT
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 2X Shares
0.41%0.22%1.79%1.67%0.70%0.00%0.00%0.63%0.57%
NVDX
T-REX 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF
3.16%3.35%15.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TSLL
Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X ETF
7.14%5.00%2.47%4.44%1.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the HOLD_2025. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the HOLD_2025 was 58.45%, occurring on Apr 4, 2025. Recovery took 57 trading sessions.

The current HOLD_2025 drawdown is 25.14%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

2025 selloff2025
-58.45%Apr 2025
1mo 13d2mo 24d
4mo 7dFeb 2025 - Jun 2025
2026 bear market2026
-52.91%Mar 2026
5mo 1d2mo
7mo 1dOct 2025 - May 2026
2026 bear market2026
-29.13%Jun 2026
8d
13d 3hJun 2026 - now
2025 pullback2025
-9.55%Oct 2025
17d17d
1mo 4dSep 2025 - Oct 2025
2025 pullback2025
-9.39%Aug 2025
8d15d
23dAug 2025 - Sep 2025

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.53, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.11

1.07

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.07, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.

HOLD_2025 correlation to the S&P 500 Index

HOLD_2025 has a 0.81 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.81

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 20, 2025

0.81


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. FNGU has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.79, while NUGT has the lowest at 0.25.

NUGT
0.25
TSLL
0.61
FBL
0.62
NVDX
0.64
FNGU
0.79

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. HOLD_2025. FNGU has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.98, while NUGT has the lowest at 0.27.

NUGT
0.27
TSLL
0.57
FBL
0.69
NVDX
0.75
FNGU
0.98

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

NUGTTSLLFBLNVDXFNGU
NUGT1.000.160.030.120.18
TSLL0.161.000.460.460.54
FBL0.030.461.000.510.67
NVDX0.120.460.511.000.70
FNGU0.180.540.670.701.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Feb 20, 2025
Diversification Analysis

Find what HOLD_2025 is missing

See which holdings overlap, where HOLD_2025 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification